Not exact matches
Long -
term risks can arise from purely social causes (e.g., those associated with political or economic institutions, violence, and technology), but often arise from the interaction of humans with the Earth system (e.g., climate
change;
ozone depletion; resource depletion; pandemics; flood and seismic risk in areas subject to increasing development).
The burning of agricultural residue causes severe pollution in land, water and air and contributes to increased
ozone levels and climate
change in the long
term.
* The role of the US in global efforts to address pollutants that are broadly dispersed across national borders, such as greenhouse gasses, persistent organic pollutants,
ozone, etc...; * How they view a president's ability to influence national science policy in a way that will persist beyond their
term (s), as would be necessary for example to address global climate
change or enhancement of science education nationwide; * Their perspective on the relative roles that scientific knowledge, ethics, economics, and faith should play in resolving debates over embryonic stem cell research, evolution education, human population growth, etc... * What specific steps they would take to prevent the introduction of political or economic bias in the dissemination and use of scientific knowledge; * (and many more...)
Although (1) the effects of a pH
change have been demonstrated in the lab, and (2) it's a longer -
term change than
ozone depletion, which fixes itself on a time scale of decades after freon emission is stopped.
The dominant driver of these trends is increasing greenhouse forcing, although there may be contributions from anthropogenic
changes of the
ozone layer and long -
term increase of geomagnetic activity throughout the 20th century.
What I miss is their assertion: «The dominant driver of these trends is increasing greenhouse forcing, although there may be contributions from anthropogenic
changes of the
ozone layer and long -
term increase of geomagnetic activity throughout the 20th century».
Observations from satellites and balloons suggest that
ozone abundances have decreased in the tropical lower stratosphere since the late 1970s, but this long -
term change is occurring in a region of large interannual variability.
As of this writing, there is observational and modeling evidence that: 1) both annular modes are sensitive to month - to - month and year - to - year variability in the stratospheric flow (see section on Stratosphere / troposphere coupling, below); 2) both annular modes have exhibited long
term trends which may reflect the impact of stratospheric
ozone depletion and / or increased greenhouse gases (see section on Climate
Change, below); and 3) the NAM responds to
changes in the distribution of sea - ice over the North Atlantic sector.
-- The second, being the observed
change of some trees» CO2 - enhanced growth storing more carbon in their standing wood, is of very limited potential and is not rising at anywhere near the rate of the countervailing increase since 1980 of the impacts on forests of droughts, heat waves and surface
ozone concentrations in
terms of growth - suppression and of pests, ailments, dieback and rising frequency, duration and intensity of wildfires.
It is emphasized, however, that not all aspects of the SH climate response to stratospheric
ozone forcing can be understood in
terms of
changes in the midlatitude jet.
erlhapp (16:21:33): Look at the Hood presentation They even say «Conclusion: The
ozone solar cycle response coefficients calculated using a standard multiple regression statistical model do not
change significantly when an ENSO
term is added to the model».
Long -
term trends in the upper atmosphere - ionosphere are a complex problem due to simultaneous presence of several drivers of trends, which behave in a different way: increasing atmospheric concentration of greenhouse gases, mainly CO2, long -
term changes of geomagnetic and solar activity, secular
change of the Earth's main magnetic field, remarkable long -
term changes of stratospheric
ozone concentration, and very probably long -
term changes of atmospheric dynamics, particularly of atmospheric wave activity (Lastovicka 2009; Qian et al. 2011; Lastovicka et al. 2012).
Possible correlations between solar ultraviolet variability and climate
change have previously been explained in
terms of
changes in
ozone heating influencing stratospheric weather.
Mesospheric temperature trends at mid-latitudes in summer, Berger et al, 11/2011; ``... This large cooling is primarily caused by long -
term changes of
ozone in the upper stratosphere in combination with a CO2 increase.»
Although biogenic NMVOC emissions increase with increasing temperature, all three studies concur that climate - driven
changes in vegetation types unfavourable to isoprene emissions (notably the recession of tropical forests) would partly compensate for the effect of warming in
terms of
ozone generation.
In
terms of atmospheric chemistry, a strong consensus was reached for the first time that science could predict the
changes in tropospheric
ozone in response to scenarios for CH4 and the indirect greenhouse gases (CO, NOx, VOC) and that a quantitative GWP for CO could be reported.