Sentences with phrase «term prediction on»

My point is that if an organisation with one of the biggest supercomputers in the world can not forecast the conditions 12 hours ahead for a 5 km grid area, what hope is there for a long term prediction on a 1 km scale?
However, when buying or selling options, my understanding is that you are making a short term prediction on stock price.

Not exact matches

The Fed raised short - term interest rates three times in 2017 and based on their predictions at the December meeting, they expect a repeat performance in 2018.
And that dire prediction came before many of the big banks had started incrementally increasing rates on their fixed - term mortgages in the wake of market reaction to U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke's recent warning that $ 85 billion (U.S.) in monthly bond buying may be coming to an end this year.
The 2016 Best of the Hot List includes ideas from David Dreman on why analysts» predictions are like powerball tickets, insights from Peter Lynch on what investors can learn from the Maya and a discussion of what elections mean for long - term investors.
As it turns out, we were mostly on the mark in our predictions, at least in terms of direction if not always in magnitude.
His prediction is focused on the short - term, and it doesn't exclude emerging markets.
Unlike most contemporary philosophers, who restrict their examination of induction to the modern sense of the term, in which it is construed as a method of inference which permits some prediction of future events on the basis of past events, Whitehead also recognizes the importance of the ancient meaning of induction.
It is significant that the earliest Gospel, Mark, uses the term «after three days» consistently in the prediction passages, but where these are quoted in Matthew or Luke the phrase has been changed to «on the third day».23 The change can be explained by saying that between the writing of the first and the later Gospels the story of the empty tomb had become more widely known, and the phrase «after three days», as a dating of the resurrection event, fell out of use.
Having spent hundreds of hours over the past two years on this study already, my prediction is that the passages he has in mind either use the term «saved» which in context does not refer to justification, OR, the term «gospel» is not clearly defined in the context so it is unclear what exactly the person believed.
As part of his prediction piece for Sky Sports, Nicholas gave us all a bit of insight in terms of team selection with various media outlets running with his call on the possibility of Conte rotating and resting Alvaro Morata with youngster Charly Musonda getting a run out.
Match Predictions: Arsenal are wounder and struggling in terms of form but they will go into the monday night game as odds on favourites.
At present, the long - term recovery of the Ozone Layer from the effects of CFCs is still on track, but the presence of increasing dichloromethane will add some uncertainty to our future predictions of ozone and climate.»
Their cunning scheme was based on another famous theory of physics that gives quantum mechanics a run for its money in terms of odd predictions: Einstein's theory of relativity.
However, the 2015 predictions confirm our projections on long - term trends made two years ago that lung cancer death rates would overtake breast cancer in women around 2015.»
«Because the complexity of the climate makes accurate prediction difficult, the APS urges an enhanced effort to understand the effects of human activity on the Earth's climate, and to provide the technological options for meeting the climate challenge in the near and longer terms.
At present, the long - term recovery of the Ozone Layer from the effects of CFCs is still on track, but the presence of increasing dichloromethane will lead to uncertainty in our future predictions of ozone and climate.»
If passed into law, the federal budget for 2011 that lawmakers will vote on this week will harm key efforts in daily weather forecasting, search - and - rescue operations, and long - term weather prediction, says a top U.S. government official.
Applied to unfolding, real - time events, prediction seems too grandiose a term for what is often a sighting on radar or in the open fields and an exclamation of «Look, the storm has a hook!»
Sala added that some of the more dramatic changes to the grasslands did not occur until later in the study, proving how important long - term studies are, as well as the difficulty of making long - term predictions based on short - term experimentation.
People who claim we can stop worrying about global warming on the basis of a cooler year or a cooler decade — or just on questionable predictions of cooling — are as naive as a child mistaking a falling tide, or a spring low tide, for a real long - term fall in sea level.
Predictions of global cooling in the short term are partly based on the idea that sea surface temperatures will fall in the northern Atlantic, due to slow, irregular swings in conditions known as the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation.
In: Investigations on the Model System of the Short - Term Climate Predictions [Ding, Y., et al. (eds.)-RSB-.
The second half of the podcast we cover the impact of Nate Parker's rape controversy on his film, The Birth of a Nation, and how the GRG responded in terms of Oscar predictions.
The theory suggests that the disruptive models of blended learning will be the agents of change over the long term, but we placed a caveat on this prediction.
Whenever a new model debuts, we look at its long - term prospects, and our predictions depend on how well the vehicle covers the basics.
Prediction of how the stock will move, normally for the longer term, is based on the company's fundamentals and valuation.
For example, index movement provides highly accurate prediction on short - term direction for many individual stocks.
Thanks - I understand that making predictions is difficult, but on the other hand there are people who understand things like macroeconomic conditions and geopolitical risk a lot better than I do, and I suspect someone with the appropriate expertise would have a much better idea of the possible long - term trajectories than me.
There is great interest in short - term predictions — experts in this field continue to offer them on a daily basis despite the mountain of research showing that they don't...
Market prices in OPMI markets seem to be set by market participants focused on short - run outlooks and trying to pick market bottoms; technical chartist considerations; predictions about stock market movements over the near term; general stock market predictions at the expense of company analysis; emphasis on earnings per share, cash flow and dividends to the exclusion of balance sheet considerations, especially creditworthiness.
Avoid making investment decision based on short - term market movements» predictions, rumors, and gossip.
For those nervous that interest rates are going to be significantly higher in five years, it might make sense to take a longer term — but that means making a prediction on where rates are headed in the future.
However, I don't make macroeconomic predictions on the price of oil over the short term.
«Longer term, I have a prediction that the airline world will embrace the system that Southwest and JetBlue use, that you'll be able to get that last seat on the airplane with points,» he says.
Finally in this mini-series, both Riddles and I will look to The Future with predictions, hopes, and thoughts on what's to come in terms of motion gaming and its influence on mainstream gaming.
If anyone can point me toward on - line data that documents near term regional modelling predictions and documents actual results after the fact I would appreciate it.
The prediction of the long - term trajectory, depends on the climate forcing (greenhouse gases, aerosols, solar variability) and how the model responds to those forcings via feedbacks.
The natural variations contain a large random component, depending on the specific variation — for example, a huge volcanic eruption six months from now would require new short - term climate predictions (but the long - term forecast would remain unchanged).
For is it not true that the IPCC is comprised of a wide range of scientist and they all must agree on the content of their reports, that some of said scientists are either on the payroll of oil - dependent nations or are politically conservative, and that the IPCC predictions have consistently underestimated the effects of climate change in terms of temperature rise, sea level rise, ice cap diminution, etc..?
It's not that CC won't affect these things in the long term, rather when Climate Scientists make bold predictions on 50/50 propositions (or less) and are wrong, the public doesn't distinguish «wrong this year» from «wrong this century.»
Also, perhaps I'm misunderstanding the methodology you've described, but I find the idea of delivering short term predictions from AR4 models a little strange, based on previous discussions made here about the Cox and Stephenson's «sweet spot» of climate model simulations of ~ 20 - 50 years.
We apparently agree that predictions about regional climate are not yet that reliable (again, moderators, correct me if I'm mistaken), but disagree here on how to weigh this in terms of where the science is.
It's important to note that a substantial short - term influence on the globe's average temperature, the cycle of El Niño warmth and La Niña cooling in the tropical Pacific Ocean, was in the warm phase until May but a La Niña cooling is forecast later this year, according to the Climate Prediction Center of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.
Comparing model predictions of GHG - induced warming with recent natural temperature fluctuations also indicates the potential scale of man - made climate change.Early modelling experiments focused on the total long - term change resulting from a doubling of carbon dioxide (CO2) levels.
Long horizons of prediction are inevitably associated with high uncertainty, whose quantification relies on the long - term stochastic properties of the processes.
In 1990 the IPCC's central business - as - usual prediction for the medium term was equivalent to 0.28 K per decade, so, on any view, Karl's paper is an admission that the models have been exaggerating by well over double.
This capability would enable a model to continuously update and improve parameterization approaches on the fly, with the potential to improve climate predictions and short - term weather forecasts.
The paper does however, support the notion that even if models do not produce good short term predictions, they can be reliable on longer timeframes.
In its 2001 report, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change admitted that long - term climate prediction is not possible.
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