Sentences with phrase «term predictions about»

I don't believe that we can make long - term predictions about climate change when we are still unable to make solid predictions about the short term, dynamic behavior of the electric power grid.

Long - term predictions about the effect of this or that driver using such models are bogus.

I work with the CCSM, and I can't imagine using it to make a short - term prediction about a seasonal fluctuation in a parameter such as Arctic ice.

Not exact matches

I don't like predictions, and I'll never make short term predictions, but I'll venture a wild guess about the next decade.

When asked for his prediction for the future of Bitcoin in terms of the custody issue Bogart talked about new buyers using apps like Robinhood and Square as well as major exchanges like Coinbase.

In terms of the historical future, reason makes acts of belief: predictions about the weather, about the state of business next year, about the chances of achieving an academic degree, etc..

We've got a little ways to go in terms of some of the movie's predictions (where we're going, we still need roads) and we're being lied to about others.

Armed with these tools, Zeebe was able to make new predictions about long - term future climate change.

People who claim we can stop worrying about global warming on the basis of a cooler year or a cooler decade — or just on questionable predictions of cooling — are as naive as a child mistaking a falling tide, or a spring low tide, for a real long - term fall in sea level.

Prof. Latif cautions against too much optimism regarding short - term regional climate predictions: «Since the reliability of those predictions is still at about 50 %, you might as well flip a coin.»

The astronomers» long - term goal is to find about ten similar examples of these cold flows, which would allow for a much more detailed comparison of their observations with the predictions of numerical models.

However, Professor Ferguson highlighted there are still many questions to answer about Zika - and therefore many caveats to making predictions: «In a worst case scenario Zika would become endemic in Latin America in the long - term, which would mean smaller, frequent outbreaks.

In one sense, Malthus was a guy who ran afoul of the idea that you shouldn't make predictions about the long term, or, assume that people can't make changes to solve problems.

Predictions that require being accurate about the behavior of humans in the short term are particularly shunned.

Market prices in OPMI markets seem to be set by market participants focused on short - run outlooks and trying to pick market bottoms; technical chartist considerations; predictions about stock market movements over the near term; general stock market predictions at the expense of company analysis; emphasis on earnings per share, cash flow and dividends to the exclusion of balance sheet considerations, especially creditworthiness.

But when it comes to takeaways that can improve your retirement planning and investing, I think there's one big lesson we should all draw from 2016: Don't let the constant flow of predictions and prognostications about the markets and the economy — no matter how prescient they may seem — divert you from a comprehensive plan designed to achieve success over the long - term.

Advisors with a long - term perspective won't make predictions about what any of the gyrations mean or will lead to because these fluctuations don't genuinely matter in the grand scheme of things.

no more season's my opinion is no this game will continue to evolve evidence is the survey it over 9000 people took for the future of Killer instinct is in the hands of the community they hear us same situation with the limited edition Shadow Jago figure about the two colors but there are people out there that don't even have internet or don't have no access to the internet so this is good in terms of Making the fan base grow I am always positive meaning there might be a season 4 who knows predictions might be a sequel in the words but who knows I just hope I made some valid points if anybody wants to discuss it with me feel free to do so

We've made predictions about how long we see the 3DS and Vita lasting, as well as guessing what's next in terms of portable hardware from Nintendo and Sony.

I note that the long term trend of the predictions about the magnitude of global warming has been to decrease over time.

The terms «attribution» and «detection» apply to phenomena that either occurred in the past or continue to occur, they do not refer to predictions about the future.

Norbert was sober - minded and skeptical about the prospects of skillful short - term sea ice predictions, but even he couldn't help but be drawn into the dubious excitement around the precipitous decline of arctic sea ice and regularly added his own guestimate to the sea ice outlook.

Also, perhaps I'm misunderstanding the methodology you've described, but I find the idea of delivering short term predictions from AR4 models a little strange, based on previous discussions made here about the Cox and Stephenson's «sweet spot» of climate model simulations of ~ 20 - 50 years.

We apparently agree that predictions about regional climate are not yet that reliable (again, moderators, correct me if I'm mistaken), but disagree here on how to weigh this in terms of where the science is.

RE the back & forth about models, & that they are only best for short term predictions....

At this point, I think the failure of the climate community to take predictions about SC24 (and now SC25) seriously pose a greater threat to the long term climate than CO2.

He uses a method that is clearly intended to examine the long - term response of temperature to changes in carbon dioxide, and which is never used by the IPCC (nor should it be) to make predictions about current temperature trends.

A couple of the terms you mention have precise meanings within physical science (limit, prediction) and this is likely to be true of many words about the future — therefore the cause is the embedding of a scientific argument within a broader political one.

I am making no prediction about long term trends in sea ice.

One does not have to be skeptical about the science of global warming to be skeptical of excessively «certain» long term predictions that involve weather and climate, the ultimate chaotic system that can not be accurately predicted.

How about good models which get discarded early because short term prediction was poor?

Anyway, related to Arctic sea ice, seasonal predictions and the dynamical considerations behind them are quite interesting and tell us much about the dynamics of short term natural variations.

When I say historical long - term predictions, I am talking about predictions hopeully for more than one climate cycle.

Back in the past when all those dire predictions about the coming doom of CAGW were made — if those scientists (I use the term loosely in their case) had then the data we have now — WOULD THOSE PREDICTIONS HAVE EVERpredictions about the coming doom of CAGW were made — if those scientists (I use the term loosely in their case) had then the data we have now — WOULD THOSE PREDICTIONS HAVE EVERPREDICTIONS HAVE EVER BEEN MADE?

«In terms of how we should think about climate change prediction in the future, reducing emissions and so on, it really wouldn't make much of a difference.»

That long term is what climate change predictions are about.

It was not about climate change at all — it was simply about the utter futility and absurdity of trying to make long - term predictions in chaotic systems with more unknowns than knowns..

In which case the IPCC prediction might be seen as an inappropriate expectation about the nature of short - term (20 years being short term) projections.

I was speaking of the short term prediction / projection for trends over two decades which everyone here has been talking about.

Sure, yesterday's rosy predictions about shale gas could bear out in terms of years, but the high cost of shale drilling, the rapid rate of well depletion, and increased gas exports will translate into higher domestic prices.

But evidence that climate predictions can provide precise and accurate guidance about how the long - term future may evolve is fundamentally lacking.

Because the prediction was based on known falsehoods about the disease (in different terms, the IPCC lied.)

I don't know about your «Mr. Spock», but if you really want to know why a longer - term prediction has a lower confidence level than a shorter - term one, read Nassim Taleb's The Black Swan.

assuming what you say about skeptics changing topic as you describe is accurate, and at this point I do we are talking about data that is less than 200 years old, out of which extraordinary claims are made as to how that data relates to distant past and future trends tough sell assuming that all adjustments to the data are scientifically sound, It is very difficult for me to believe that measurements that have gone through so many iterations can be trusted to.0 and.00 in most other sciences, I doubt they would tough sell (the photo of the thermometer is downright funny) in terms of goal post moving I observe predicted heat being re-branded as «missing» a prediction of no snow re-branded as more snow a warming world re-branded to a «warm, cold, we don't know what to expect» world topped off with suggestions that one who thinks the above has some sort of psychological disorder extraordinary claims demand extraordinary evidence especially when you are teaching children that their world is endangered

From a 100 % renewable world by 2050 to Britain's legally - binding commitment to 50 % CO2 cuts by 2025, we have plenty medium - and long - term commitments and predictions for a clean energy economy, but what about the short - term?

Dr. Latif is not making any predictions about what will happen after 2015 — other than that the long - term temperature warming trend driven by anthropogenic GHGs will continue and that the near - term temperature trend must catch up with the long - term trend, likely during a period of rapid warming.

Sentencing guru professor Doug Berman declines to make any predictions about Skilling's sentence term on remand.

It telegraphed to the public a prediction that evidence of wrongdoing was forthcoming and, because in terms of public interest the most important witnesses were yet to come (including the Applicant and other senior officials and cabinet ministers), the comment was clearly directed at what might be expected from or about them.

These predictions come packaged in the usual caveats about short term volatility coupled with an overall understanding that cryptocurrency is an experiment, not a risk - free investment opportunity.

Tunbridge Wells About Blog PCL has particular expertise in interpreting personality profiles in terms of performance predictions and in relating assessments to competency frameworks.