Sentences with phrase «term predictions so»

What makes long - term predictions so difficult in general is the appearance of disruptive technologies, which almost by definition are unforeseeable.

Not exact matches

So in terms of the technology, I have some predictions.

So we have positive real estate market predictions in both the short and long - term, from two different sources.

Some psychologists have explained the apparent prevalence of precognitive dreams in terms of memory biases, namely a selective memory for accurate predictions and distorted memory so that dreams are retrospectively fitted onto subsequent events.

In general terms... the rationality of ecclesiastical hierarchies as well as of patrimonial sovereigns is substantive in character, so that their aim is not that of achieving the highest degree of formal juridical precision which would maximize the chances for the correct prediction of legal consequences....

Having spent hundreds of hours over the past two years on this study already, my prediction is that the passages he has in mind either use the term «saved» which in context does not refer to justification, OR, the term «gospel» is not clearly defined in the context so it is unclear what exactly the person believed.

The same can be said of our defence though and so with the suspect form of both teams so far this term a draw is probably the favourite result but i'm willing to bet there will be goals galore and anything could happen, hopefully a win for us, my prediction PSG 3 — 4 Arsenal.

Peterson isn't sure how engineers will use the new information, but he says the agency couldn't be confident in longer term predictions when so many factors — the price of oil, the actions of regulators — could influence earthquake rates.

At the same time, there is considerable public interest in dependable predictions concerning Arctic sea ice development over the next few decades, so as to have a basis for long - term strategic planning.

Based upon the alleged «failure» of Petitioner's students to meet computer predictions that generate a so - called student growth percentile («SGP») 5 for each of her fifteen (15) students, the algorithm somehow adjusted the SPGs and averaged the adjusted SGPs to create a so - called mean growth percentile («MGP») which Respondents» computer program in turn used to determine that she was an «ineffective educator» in terms of promoting growth.

So for this year we have decided to list just three big trends, which we see as more near term, and not go in for any long - term predictions!

I'm much better at making long - term predictions, so that's where I operate.

no more season's my opinion is no this game will continue to evolve evidence is the survey it over 9000 people took for the future of Killer instinct is in the hands of the community they hear us same situation with the limited edition Shadow Jago figure about the two colors but there are people out there that don't even have internet or don't have no access to the internet so this is good in terms of Making the fan base grow I am always positive meaning there might be a season 4 who knows predictions might be a sequel in the words but who knows I just hope I made some valid points if anybody wants to discuss it with me feel free to do so

And ten years after his testimony, he said that the forces that govern climate change are so poorly understood that long - term prediction was IMPOSSIBLE.

Gavin, the near - term ENSO predictions are tilting ever so slightly towards another La Niña: http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/enso/.

In general it's recognised that prediction of the so far unpredictable phenomena (El Nino's, La Nina's, the fine details of ocean circulation oscillations, volcanos and any solar variation outwith the 11 year solar cycle) that provide short term modulation of any trend is likley to be unfruitful at present.

So much easier to «stupid in, stupid out» and stand in the gravy train of long term gorrific predictions.

In 1990 the IPCC's central business - as - usual prediction for the medium term was equivalent to 0.28 K per decade, so, on any view, Karl's paper is an admission that the models have been exaggerating by well over double.

The claim is that there are too many unknowns with their source data to be able assign an accuracy value to a prediction so uncertainty is the correct term.

However, calling it by its proper name, carbon fertilization, would be like discussing global warming predictions while using the specific term CAGW rather than «climate change» and so admitting that global cooling is contradictory: not sufficiently dishonest.

So where are the long - term predictions and appropriate statistical analysis.

It can't be both so complex as to defy confident prediction and predictably modest in terms of its response to CO2.

Over the long term, these effects average out, which is why climate models do so well at long - term predictions.

The current rate of environmental change is much faster than most climate changes in the Earth's history, so predictions from longer term geological records may not be applicable if the changes occur within a few generations of a species.

«In terms of how we should think about climate change prediction in the future, reducing emissions and so on, it really wouldn't make much of a difference.»

So the practical use of models is for models to make short term predictions which can within a reasonable period of time, be checked against reality.

Weather is predictable for a week or so — initialised and nested models at different scales may be able to integrate weather into short term climate prediction.

So, will the author's proposed cycles from the land record fit your SST data over the available 160 time period; and if it does fit, what is «their» near - term prediction for the next 60 years?

But you work with something that nobody can explain in physical terms and that requires so much time that any meaningful prediction might take hundreds of years to happen.

RE: 4th Error -RCB- Poses an objection to the non-scientific term catastrophic [NOTE: Scientific «consensus» is often being used & / or implied in standard climate - change discourse - Yet Consensus is a Political Term - NOT a Scientific Term]- HOWEVER - When Jim Hansen, the IPCC & Al Gore, et - al - go from predicting 450 — 500 ppm CO2 to 800 — 1000ppm by the end of the 21st century -LCB- said to the be highest atmospheric CO2 content in 20 — 30 Million YRS -RCB-; — & estimates for aver global temps by 21st century's end go from 2 * C to 6 * C to 10 * C; — & increased sea level estimates go from 10 - 20 cm to 50 - 60 cm to 1M — 2M -LCB- which would totally submerge the Maldives & partially so Bangladesh -RCB-; — predictions of the total melting of the Himalayan Ice caps by 2050, near total melting of Greenland's ice sheet & partial melting of Antarctica's ice sheet before the 21st century's end; — massive crop failures; — more intense & frequent hurricane -LCB- ala Katrina -RCB- for much longer seasonal durations, etc, etc, etc... — IMO That's Sounds pretty damned CATASTROPHIC toterm catastrophic [NOTE: Scientific «consensus» is often being used & / or implied in standard climate - change discourse - Yet Consensus is a Political Term - NOT a Scientific Term]- HOWEVER - When Jim Hansen, the IPCC & Al Gore, et - al - go from predicting 450 — 500 ppm CO2 to 800 — 1000ppm by the end of the 21st century -LCB- said to the be highest atmospheric CO2 content in 20 — 30 Million YRS -RCB-; — & estimates for aver global temps by 21st century's end go from 2 * C to 6 * C to 10 * C; — & increased sea level estimates go from 10 - 20 cm to 50 - 60 cm to 1M — 2M -LCB- which would totally submerge the Maldives & partially so Bangladesh -RCB-; — predictions of the total melting of the Himalayan Ice caps by 2050, near total melting of Greenland's ice sheet & partial melting of Antarctica's ice sheet before the 21st century's end; — massive crop failures; — more intense & frequent hurricane -LCB- ala Katrina -RCB- for much longer seasonal durations, etc, etc, etc... — IMO That's Sounds pretty damned CATASTROPHIC toTerm - NOT a Scientific Term]- HOWEVER - When Jim Hansen, the IPCC & Al Gore, et - al - go from predicting 450 — 500 ppm CO2 to 800 — 1000ppm by the end of the 21st century -LCB- said to the be highest atmospheric CO2 content in 20 — 30 Million YRS -RCB-; — & estimates for aver global temps by 21st century's end go from 2 * C to 6 * C to 10 * C; — & increased sea level estimates go from 10 - 20 cm to 50 - 60 cm to 1M — 2M -LCB- which would totally submerge the Maldives & partially so Bangladesh -RCB-; — predictions of the total melting of the Himalayan Ice caps by 2050, near total melting of Greenland's ice sheet & partial melting of Antarctica's ice sheet before the 21st century's end; — massive crop failures; — more intense & frequent hurricane -LCB- ala Katrina -RCB- for much longer seasonal durations, etc, etc, etc... — IMO That's Sounds pretty damned CATASTROPHIC toTerm]- HOWEVER - When Jim Hansen, the IPCC & Al Gore, et - al - go from predicting 450 — 500 ppm CO2 to 800 — 1000ppm by the end of the 21st century -LCB- said to the be highest atmospheric CO2 content in 20 — 30 Million YRS -RCB-; — & estimates for aver global temps by 21st century's end go from 2 * C to 6 * C to 10 * C; — & increased sea level estimates go from 10 - 20 cm to 50 - 60 cm to 1M — 2M -LCB- which would totally submerge the Maldives & partially so Bangladesh -RCB-; — predictions of the total melting of the Himalayan Ice caps by 2050, near total melting of Greenland's ice sheet & partial melting of Antarctica's ice sheet before the 21st century's end; — massive crop failures; — more intense & frequent hurricane -LCB- ala Katrina -RCB- for much longer seasonal durations, etc, etc, etc... — IMO That's Sounds pretty damned CATASTROPHIC to ME!

assuming what you say about skeptics changing topic as you describe is accurate, and at this point I do we are talking about data that is less than 200 years old, out of which extraordinary claims are made as to how that data relates to distant past and future trends tough sell assuming that all adjustments to the data are scientifically sound, It is very difficult for me to believe that measurements that have gone through so many iterations can be trusted to.0 and.00 in most other sciences, I doubt they would tough sell (the photo of the thermometer is downright funny) in terms of goal post moving I observe predicted heat being re-branded as «missing» a prediction of no snow re-branded as more snow a warming world re-branded to a «warm, cold, we don't know what to expect» world topped off with suggestions that one who thinks the above has some sort of psychological disorder extraordinary claims demand extraordinary evidence especially when you are teaching children that their world is endangered

WRT our current discussion of ice sheet dynamics, the latest IPCC report actually has * less * to offer in terms of icesheet change predictions precisely because there have been so many new findings and such dramatic changes in just the last few years.

So while it may be theoretically possible to predict long - scale climate changes, it may still be impossible to discern the true drivers of these climate systems amidst the chaos, making the long - term prediction problem moot.

While other relationship scientists have foretold such statuses twelve months out, their participating couples had already been together a year or more.2, 3,4 So much can change or come to light in the first twelve months of dating relationships, from a cross-country move for work to the discovery of a drinking problem or anger issue, that short - term predictions may be the best we can do with «early» love scores.

Dr. Gottman's research began in 1972, continues today, and so far has involved over 3,000 couples in 12 different longitudinal studies — 7 of which were prediction studies — that has allowed him to identify specific behavior patterns in couples he has termed the «Masters» and «Disasters» of relationships.