For most of the period from 2010 through mid 2016, long - term interest rates fell while the Fed kept its benchmark short -
term rate near zero.
The Fed repeated its plan to keep its key short -
term rate near zero at least until unemployment falls to 6.5 per cent from the current 7.3 per cent.
That helps give the Fed leeway to keep its benchmark short -
term rate near zero without worrying so much about higher inflation.
It also decided to keep its benchmark short -
term rate near zero through at least mid-2015.
The Fed intends to keep short -
term rates near zero as long as unemployment remains above 6.5 % and inflation remains below 2.5 % (but these could be moving targets).
The Fed kept short -
term rates near zero all through 2015.
The Fed is currently buying $ 85 billion in Treasury and mortgage bonds a month in a move that has kept long -
term rates near record lows and supported economic recovery.
The Fed also indicated that it expects to hold short -
term rates near zero for «a considerable time,» even if the jobs picture improves.
In recent meetings, Fed meeting statements had mentioned an expectation of keeping short -
term rates near zero «for a considerable time» following the end of its latest quantitative easing program.
However, as long as unemployment remains high and their is economic uncertainty, the Fed has mentioned it will keep short
term rates near 0 %.
The Fed kept short -
term rates near zero all through 2015.
Not exact matches
Last week it stood by its plan to keep a key short -
term interest
rate near zero until unemployment drops below 6.5 per cent.
However, it noted that it expects inflation to «run
near» its 2 % target «over the medium
term,» suggesting that interest
rates might see a hike in June.
Furthermore, the bank also said that the unemployment
rate in the U.K. is projected to go up slightly to 5 percent in the
near term as labor demand softens.
«We are seeing in the short -
term (specifically in the first quarter) some headwinds that will cause
near -
term sales to be below run
rate consumption,» Chief Financial Officer Paulo Basilio said.
We believe the short -
term US interest
rate will remain
near zero for the rest of this year and well into 2015.
With the RBA hinting at sub-trend growth, there's little chance of a change in interest
rates in the
near term.
Such risks, uncertainties and other factors include, without limitation: (1) the effect of economic conditions in the industries and markets in which United Technologies and Rockwell Collins operate in the U.S. and globally and any changes therein, including financial market conditions, fluctuations in commodity prices, interest
rates and foreign currency exchange
rates, levels of end market demand in construction and in both the commercial and defense segments of the aerospace industry, levels of air travel, financial condition of commercial airlines, the impact of weather conditions and natural disasters and the financial condition of our customers and suppliers; (2) challenges in the development, production, delivery, support, performance and realization of the anticipated benefits of advanced technologies and new products and services; (3) the scope, nature, impact or timing of acquisition and divestiture or restructuring activity, including the pending acquisition of Rockwell Collins, including among other things integration of acquired businesses into United Technologies» existing businesses and realization of synergies and opportunities for growth and innovation; (4) future timing and levels of indebtedness, including indebtedness expected to be incurred by United Technologies in connection with the pending Rockwell Collins acquisition, and capital spending and research and development spending, including in connection with the pending Rockwell Collins acquisition; (5) future availability of credit and factors that may affect such availability, including credit market conditions and our capital structure; (6) the timing and scope of future repurchases of United Technologies» common stock, which may be suspended at any time due to various factors, including market conditions and the level of other investing activities and uses of cash, including in connection with the proposed acquisition of Rockwell; (7) delays and disruption in delivery of materials and services from suppliers; (8) company and customer - directed cost reduction efforts and restructuring costs and savings and other consequences thereof; (9) new business and investment opportunities; (10) our ability to realize the intended benefits of organizational changes; (11) the anticipated benefits of diversification and balance of operations across product lines, regions and industries; (12) the outcome of legal proceedings, investigations and other contingencies; (13) pension plan assumptions and future contributions; (14) the impact of the negotiation of collective bargaining agreements and labor disputes; (15) the effect of changes in political conditions in the U.S. and other countries in which United Technologies and Rockwell Collins operate, including the effect of changes in U.S. trade policies or the U.K.'s pending withdrawal from the EU, on general market conditions, global trade policies and currency exchange
rates in the
near term and beyond; (16) the effect of changes in tax (including U.S. tax reform enacted on December 22, 2017, which is commonly referred to as the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act of 2017), environmental, regulatory (including among other things import / export) and other laws and regulations in the U.S. and other countries in which United Technologies and Rockwell Collins operate; (17) the ability of United Technologies and Rockwell Collins to receive the required regulatory approvals (and the risk that such approvals may result in the imposition of conditions that could adversely affect the combined company or the expected benefits of the merger) and to satisfy the other conditions to the closing of the pending acquisition on a timely basis or at all; (18) the occurrence of events that may give rise to a right of one or both of United Technologies or Rockwell Collins to terminate the merger agreement, including in circumstances that might require Rockwell Collins to pay a termination fee of $ 695 million to United Technologies or $ 50 million of expense reimbursement; (19) negative effects of the announcement or the completion of the merger on the market price of United Technologies» and / or Rockwell Collins» common stock and / or on their respective financial performance; (20) risks related to Rockwell Collins and United Technologies being restricted in their operation of their businesses while the merger agreement is in effect; (21) risks relating to the value of the United Technologies» shares to be issued in connection with the pending Rockwell acquisition, significant merger costs and / or unknown liabilities; (22) risks associated with third party contracts containing consent and / or other provisions that may be triggered by the Rockwell merger agreement; (23) risks associated with merger - related litigation or appraisal proceedings; and (24) the ability of United Technologies and Rockwell Collins, or the combined company, to retain and hire key personnel.
In the
near term, higher interest
rates will have an immediate effect on consumers with credit card debt, home equity lines of credit and those carrying adjustable
rate mortgages.
We believe that long -
term tax - free municipal bonds that offer
near - 4 % yields (a 6.62 % taxable equivalent at today's top
rate and 6.15 % even at the new proposed top
rate of 35 %) still offer superior value.
But on the other hand, where it matters — interest
rate policy — he sees no material impact, at least for the
near term.
With limited growth opportunities in a low interest
rate environment, many CFOs have argued buying back stock is the best way to boost shareholder value in the
near -
term.
«Largely for this reason, we are revising our
near -
term forecasts for the funds
rate, and see two fewer hikes through the end of 2017 than we did previously.»
Its
rate - setting committee said inflation had «moved close» to its target and that «on a 12 - month basis is expected to run
near the Committee's symmetric 2 percent objective over the medium
term.»
Neither argument holds right now for holding any tactical cash, especially with no reasonable prospects for a
near -
term rate increase and the yield differential offered by bonds over cash right now.
The Fed has kept short -
term interest
rates near zero since December 2008 in an effort to pull the economy from its worst recession in decades.
Rather than a traditional offsetting relationship at this early point of the tightening cycle, the
near -
term interest
rate outlook and the
near -
term profits outlook are both negative.
The Fed raised short -
term rates last month for only the second time since the 2007 - 2009 financial crisis, when it slashed
rates to
near zero and began buying massive amounts of Treasuries and mortgage - backed securities to push down long -
term borrowing costs.
«Beyond the
near -
term, a return to a more cautious communication strategy and pace of interest
rate increases is expected in light of the headwinds facing Canada,» including slow inflation growth, Toronto - Dominion Bank Senior Economist Brian DePratto said in a research note.
The credit
rating agency said that Tesla would likely need to raise at least $ 2 billion in the
near term to fund the production of its all - important Model 3 mid-market sedan.
Expecting one more
rate hike at best, the Bank of Canada is looking past
near -
term wobbles and settling...
China fears, along with expectations related to the Fed's interest
rate plans, will continue to dominate
near -
term market moves.
The spread on the nominal less inflation - indexed
rates for both the five - and 10 - year maturities remains above 2.0 % — a sign that the crowd expects that hard data on inflation will hold at or above the Fed's target in the
near term.
Uncertainty about the U.S. presidential race in the
near term may produce periods of volatility for the U.S. dollar, yet RBC maintains that the U.S. currency will post modest gains against the Euro, Canadian dollar and sterling as markets look for a U.S. Federal Reserve policy
rate increase in the first half of 2017.
Central banks had eased monetary policy aggressively, including taking short -
term interest
rates to
near zero in several cases, and some were considering or implementing «unconventional» measures to deliver additional stimulus.
Since his
term as ECB president is not due to expire until late 2019, the prospect of any reconsideration of interest -
rate policy in the
near term seems slight.
Yes, cheap money polices did help stabilize a reeling housing sector, that shouldn't be dismissed, but what else does the Fed have to show for
near - zero short
term interest
rates and the fortune spent lowering longer
term rates through its bond buying program?
Cumulative inflows into the iShares Short Maturity Bond ETF (
NEAR), Floating
Rate Bond ETF, SPDR Bloomberg Barclays Short
Term High Yield Bond ETF, PowerShares Senior Loan Portfolio, and the Vanguard Short -
Term Corporate Bond ETF topped $ 400 million in total for the first session of the week, the highest since the inception date of the most recent member of this product group.
It is the wrong question to ask «where else am I going to put my money with short -
term interest
rates near zero?»
But the multiplier varies over the economic cycle — higher during recessions or when short -
term rates are
near zero, and lower when an economy runs
near fully capacity.
Although the
rate could continue to trend down in the
near term, it shows that the US workforce is fairly well utilized.
Should the yield curve steepen, with 10 - year bond yields moving above 2 % while short -
term rates are anchored
near zero, it would imply that a longer
term inflation fear is re-entering the market.
«Federal Reserve interest
rate hikes could weigh on gold prices in the
near term,» according to UBS's house view.
Because of the United Kingdom's decision to leave the EU, we believe it is less likely the Fed and other central banks globally will look to hike interest
rates in the
near term.
In the
near term, we see a market at an inflection point, where interest
rates have topped out on a short -
term basis.
With the economy expected to resume above - potential growth in the
near term, our expectation is that inflation will converge on 2 per cent as the output gap closes and the temporary effects of low oil prices and past exchange
rate depreciation dissipate.
CBO has also revised down its
near -
term projections for the unemployment
rate.
More impressive still is that in spite of the Fed raising short -
term interest
rates by a total of 1.0 % since mid-December 2015, the approximately 2.30 % yield on the 10 - year Treasury as of mid-July is
near where it was at the end of 2015 and 2016 (see the chart below).
«The bond market represents more of an evolving risk given the likely onset of Federal Reserve
rate hikes
near -
term, which in turn will lead to speculation as to when the rest of the world will follow,» said Gayle.
Expecting one more
rate hike at best, the Bank of Canada is looking past
near -
term wobbles and settling in on long -
term view.