Sentences with phrase «term temperature projections»

Since «cloud feedbacks remain the largest source of uncertainty» (as IPCC has put it), and since the magnitude of this uncertainty is so great that it changes everything, shouldn't this great source of uncertainty be cleared up before any long - term temperature projections are made?

Wouldn't it be better if we put our efforts on accurate shorter term temperature projections, say what will happen in 6 months no more than a few years from now, check the models and brag about their accuracy or correct their failures, if the models are continuously correct all contrarian arguments die.

Not exact matches

Our record is also of interest to climate policy developments, because it opens the door to detailed comparisons between past atmospheric CO2 concentrations, global temperatures, and sea levels, which has enormous value to long - term future climate projections.»

Does this prediction and the confidence with which it is made «The quasi-regularity of some natural climate forcing mechanisms, combined with knowledge of human - made forcings, allows projection of near - term global temperature trends with reasonably high confidence», reflect the consensus of climate scientists, in your opinion?

-- A line stressing that «the current temperature plateau» does not undercut projections of long - term warming:

Near - term projections of global average temperature, updated with latest global temperature observations and forecasts.

Figure 11 compares their results with and without the short - term noise from natural temperature influences (pink and red, respectively) to the IPCC TAR (blue) and AR4 (green) projections.

Also, this 2018 - 20 short - term projection really deals only with the blue «oscillating component» element, not the continuing red trend in surface temperatures running at ~ 0.6 C per century from 1960 to 2010.

For corn, small long - term average temperature increases will shorten the duration of reproductive development, leading to yield declines, 4 even when offset by carbon dioxide (CO2) stimulation.5, 6 For soybeans, yields have a two in three chance of increasing early in this century due to CO2 fertilization, but these increases are projected to be offset later in the century by higher temperature stress7 (see Figure 18.2 for projections of increases in the frost - free season length and the number of summer days with temperatures over 95 °F).

Or there is does not exist a type of model which vaguely accurate enough to provide adequate long term or short term projection of regional or global temperatures.

All the data I've seen show the opposite for temperature trends — annual predictions are much less skillful than long term projections.

The current version of the figure gives the impression that the IPCC expected temperature to warm continuously year on year, which of course was not the expectation — the projections shown here are just the long - term trend either from averaging the GCMs or using simple climate models.

Its revised projection indicates that if we stick with business as usual, in terms of carbon dioxide emissions, average surface temperatures on «Earth by 2100 will hit levels far beyond anything humans have ever experienced.

So, when you say «demonstrate that long term, global temperature trends matched the model projections when anthropogenic emissions were included in the inputs along with natural variability».

As Figure 2 shows, the unadjusted data (pink) have tended to fall towards the lower end of IPCC projections in recent years, primarily due to the preponderance of La Niña events and an extended solar cycle minimum, which have short - term cooling influences on global surface temperatures.

I happen to disagree with your projections for future temperatures evolution, and since «GMT» are well correlated, I base my views on the long term CET extrapolation.

vukcevic says: August 16, 2013 at 11:12 am I happen to disagree with your projections for future temperatures evolution, and since «GMT» are well correlated, I base my views on the long term CET extrapolation.

One element of a compromise that I would suggest is that when referring to past temperatures and future predictions / projections that the term «estimated» be used before the number of the temperature being discussed.

While it is difficult to distinguish between the recent slow - down in global surface temperatures and the underlying long - term trend, the slow - down stands out much more vividly when compared to projections from the latest set of GCMs.

Actually, they are quite wrong in lots of ways, not just surface temperature projections (way too much ocean heat uptake, incorrect short term variability, incorrect rainfall patterns, even incorrect absolute temperatures, very poor region projections..

«Our results imply that because dust plays a role in modulating tropical North Atlantic temperature, projections of these temperatures under various global warming scenarios by general circulation models should account for long - term changes in dust loadings.