In a previous post, empirical observations documented the lack of both short - term and long -
term warming of the atmosphere.
Not exact matches
One possible strategy for making Mars habitable over the long
term is to «terraform» it — manipulate its environment so, in the simplest
terms, the planet
warms up, ice turns into water, and plants can be introduced, which will convert the atmospheric carbon dioxide into oxygen, with the goal
of creating a stable and breathable
atmosphere.
I met one
of my mates after he had been to watch the North London Derby at Wembley yesterday he is a Spud and said the
atmosphere was non-existent for the most part, I know its not everyones cup
of tea but in
terms of the unique sound I have to agree with him, whether or not its menacing not so sure and yes Laz agree with you, although not there yesterday I normally stamp feet to keep em
warm when its freezing!!!
The researchers say that countries must also tackle short - lived climate pollutants like hydrofluorocarbons that accelerate
warming greatly in the near
term, and take some
of the carbon that is currently in the
atmosphere out.
And achieving any stabilization target — whether 2 degrees C
of warming or 450 ppm or 1,000 gigatons
of carbon added to the
atmosphere by human activity — will require at least an 80 percent cut in emissions from peak levels by the end
of this century and, ultimately, zero emissions over the long
term.
The past 11 months have been the hottest such months in 135 years
of recordkeeping, a streak that has itself set a record and puts in clear
terms just how much the planet has
warmed due to the buildup
of greenhouse gases in the
atmosphere.
A detailed, long -
term ocean temperature record derived from corals on Christmas Island in Kiribati and other islands in the tropical Pacific shows that the extreme warmth
of recent El Niño events reflects not just the natural ocean -
atmosphere cycle but a new factor: global
warming caused by human activity.
Fact # 1: Carbon Dioxide is a Heat - Trapping Gas Fact # 2: We Are Adding More Carbon Dioxide to the
Atmosphere All the Time Fact # 3: Temperatures are Rising Fact # 4: Sea Level is Rising Fact # 5: Climate Change Can be Natural, but What's Happening Now Can't be Explained by Natural Forces Fact # 6: The
Terms «Global
Warming» and «Climate Change» Are Almost Interchangeable Fact # 7: We Can Already See The Effects
of Climate Change Fact # 8: Large Regions
of The World Are Seeing a Significant Increase In Extreme Weather Events, Including Torrential Rainstorms, Heat Waves And Droughts Fact # 9: Frost and Snowstorms Will Still Happen in a
Warmer World Fact # 10: Global
Warming is a Long -
Term Trend; It Doesn't Mean Next Year Will Always Be
Warmer Than This Year
While a strong El Niño has given global temperatures a boost, the main reason for the spate
of intensely
warm months is the long -
term warming of the planet caused by the accumulation
of heat - trapping greenhouse gases in the
atmosphere, scientists have found.
But even La Nina years now are
warmer than El Niño years several decades ago because
of the long -
term warming caused by carbon dioxide and other heat - trapping gases emitted into the
atmosphere.
These records show both the influence
of the long -
term trend in global
warming — caused by the continued release
of heat - trapping greenhouse gases into the
atmosphere — as well as an exceptionally strong El Niño that is altering weather around the world.
«When my friend from work told me about HOPE, I went there and toured the school and the
atmosphere was just so friendly and, for lack
of a better
term, I had a
warm and fuzzy feeling inside as soon as I walked through the door.
A very consistent understanding is thus emerging
of the coupled ocean and
atmosphere dynamics that have caused the recent decadal - scale departure from the longer -
term global
warming trend.
In either case, we see no evidence
of any long
term warming trend, in either the
atmosphere or the ocean.
When I wrote «In either case, we see no evidence
of any long
term warming trend, in either the
atmosphere or the ocean,» that should have read «long
term warming trend due to CO2 emissions...» There may be some evidence consistent with long
term warming in the oceans, but I can't see how that could be due to CO2, for reasons given above.
From what I see from the Global Historical Climatology Network (GHCN)
of land temperatures and the Comprehensive Ocean -
Atmosphere Data Set (COADS)
of SST data, temperatures there were higher around the 1930's than now, and there is not much long
term warming trend, except for the past few years.
(Their result must be treated with some caution, since it doesn't enforce the top
of atmosphere balance, and should disappear in the long
term after the water tapped for upwelling begins to
warm; still the idea has a lot
of merit in the transient
warming situation we are now in.).
Even in a time
of global
warming, an increase in ice sheet melting or deep water upwelling can cool the
atmosphere relative to the long
term trend.
They looked at the potential long -
term consequences
of oceans ever richer in dissolved carbon dioxide, as humans burn ever more fossil fuels and emit greenhouse gases that continue to
warm the
atmosphere.
On longer
term, this effect is countered by the increase
of CO2 in the
atmosphere: more CO2 in the
atmosphere means a higher pCO2, thus a smaller difference in pCO2 over the
warm oceans, thus reducing the outgassing
of CO2.
The
term only describes the magnitude
of warming one anticipates given the amount
of GHG's added to the
atmosphere.
But we are «in the middle» on the scale and for long -
term lukewarmers the
term only conveys meaning about the the amount
of warming expected for certain amounts
of CO2 injected into the
atmosphere.
And there is very good evidence that the increasing CO2 in the
atmosphere and
warmer temperatures are closely related — both in
terms of chemical theory, and also in several studies
of CO2 levels and prehistoric episodes
of extreme global
warming.
Coby, if the earth is
warming as a result
of increased periodic solar activity (or some other more complex reason) as suggested by the long
term cycles mentioned above measured before man was on earth or industrialized, is it posssible that the observed increases in CO2 in the
atmosphere are simply coming from
warmer oceans, since liquids can not hold as much gas at a higher temperature than they can at lower temperature?
Our original draft blog post noted that DK12 had effectively been «pre-bunked,» as several recent studies have reconciled global heat content data with top
of the
atmosphere (TOA) energy imbalance measurements with no evidence
of a long -
term slowdown in global
warming.
By «committed» or «locked in»
warming or sea level in a given year, we refer to the long -
term effects
of cumulative anthropogenic carbon emissions through that year: the sustained temperature increase or SLR that will ensue on a time scale
of centuries to millennia in the absence
of massive and prolonged future active carbon removal from the
atmosphere.
Over the 5 long
term, this
warming conforms to a complex trend that can be simplified as a monotonic curve, but the actual pathway is steplike... this rules out gradual
warming, either in situ in the
atmosphere or as gradual release from the ocean, in favour
of a more abrupt process
of storage and release.
One is the part
of the emission from the
atmosphere that reduces with added GHGs, and the other is the Planck
term from the surface and
atmosphere that increases with
warming.
Have no idea who the «climate clique» is, but the greater energy storage capacity and greater thermal inertia
of the oceans combined with the fact that net heat flow is always from oceans to
atmosphere would dictate that the oceans would show more consistent long -
term warming than the
atmosphere.
It has been recorded since the 1960s in
terms of both rising ocean temperature and rising acidity, both
of which reduce the capacity to remove CO2 from the
atmosphere, thereby advancing AGW and further ocean
warming.
More clouds both drastically reduce energy input from the sun and simply slow release
of what energy there is trapped in the lower troposphere, but the long
term effect would be a fall in average temperature because
of the significantly reduced input power but the
atmosphere's ability to cool is aided by air current circulation whereby the
warmer air rises above those low clouds and that infra - red is more easily re-emitted into space, whereby the low clouds now block that re-emission from hitting the ground again to any significant degree.
He said his study showed the 2C target set in Paris was «still just about achievable» but limiting
warming to 1.5 C in the long
term could only be achieved by «overshooting» and then somehow reducing the temperature using futuristic technology, such as artificial trees which suck CO2 out
of the
atmosphere.
If Mr. Rose really wants to improve his reporting and do a general service
of advancing a true understanding
of the issue
of anthropogenic climate change, he needs to do a comprehensive article about Earth's energy budget, and state quite clearly all the different spheres (all layers
of the
atmosphere, hyrdosphere, crysosphere, and biosphere) in which the signal
of anthropogenic
warming is both modeled as impacting and then talk about what is data is actually saying in
terms of Earth's energy imbalance in all these spheres.
Likewise, the
term «global
warming» is somewhat problematic as well since the planet isn't
warming uniformly — a few places have a short - lived cooling trends — and the word «
warming» sounds downright cozy on a cold day, when, in fact, substantially heating
of the
atmosphere and ocean is happening.)
If, for example, Professor Jones wishes to demonstrate that the
atmosphere is
warming, he then conducts a test with a small sample, say 15 years, 50 years or 150 years in relation to a reasonable time frame say 2000 years (manipulating the shorter
term data to supposedly filter out heat islands and station changes etc), he then uses a comparison to a proxy temperature reconstruction
of the last 2000 years, because he doesn't have accurate data for that longer timeframe.
These overlooked, shorter -
term pollutants — mostly from burning wood and kerosene and from driving trucks and cars — cause more localized
warming than once thought, the authors
of the report say.They contend there should be a greater effort to attack this type
of pollution for faster results.For decades, scientists have concentrated on carbon dioxide, the most damaging greenhouse gas because it lingers in the
atmosphere for decades.
But the suspicion is that the long -
term trend in global
warming driven by human combustion
of fossil fuels that dump vast quantities
of greenhouse gases into the
atmosphere must be playing a part.
The
term global
warming is now popularly used to refer to the recent reported increase in the mean surface temperature
of the earth; this increase being attributed to increasing human activity and in particular to the increased concentration
of greenhouse gases (carbon dioxide, methane and nitrous oxide) in the
atmosphere.
6 Ice age — time in the past when continental glaciers covered large parts
of Earth's surface Global
warming — a gradual increase in the temperature
of Earth's
atmosphere Greenhouse gas — Gases in the
atmosphere, such as carbon dioxide, that trap solar energy Ozone hole — a large area
of reduced ozone concentration in the stratosphere, found over Antarctica Chlorofluorocarbon — chlorine compounds that are the main cause
of ozone depletion KEY
TERMS
Measurements
of the
atmosphere above the surface also show record temperatures for 2016 and a long -
term warming trend.
The long
term warming trend is a result
of an energy imbalance caused primarily by an increase
of greenhouse gases in the
atmosphere.
«A reduction in the rate
of warming (not a pause) is a result
of short -
term natural variability, ocean absorption
of heat from the
atmosphere, volcanic eruptions, a downward phase
of the 11 - year solar cycle, and other impacts over a short time period,» Cleugh says.
As the
term implies, global
warming is the gradual increase in the average temperature
of the
atmosphere and ocean due to human influences.
That is, almost all
of the water vapour is in the lower
atmosphere over
warm parts
of the globe; do water vapour trends elsewhere follow lock - step or are they somewhat independent, capable
of longer residence times, and potentially distinct in
terms of greenhouse effect?
Since to me (and many scientists, although some wanted a lot more corroborative evidence, which they've also gotten) it makes absolutely no sense to presume that the earth would just go about its merry way and keep the climate nice and relatively stable for us (though this rare actual climate scientist pseudo skeptic seems to think it would, based upon some non scientific belief — see second half
of this piece), when the earth changes climate easily as it is, climate is ultimately an expression
of energy, it is stabilized (right now) by the oceans and ice sheets, and increasing the number
of long
term thermal radiation / heat energy absorbing and re radiating molecules to levels not seen on earth in several million years would add an enormous influx
of energy to the lower
atmosphere earth system, which would mildly
warm the air and increasingly transfer energy to the earth over time, which in turn would start to alter those stabilizing systems (and which, with increasing ocean energy retention and accelerating polar ice sheet melting at both ends
of the globe, is exactly what we've been seeing) and start to reinforce the same process until a new stases would be reached well after the atmospheric levels
of ghg has stabilized.
It is possible that the main reason why the time - integral
of solar variability is
of more importance to global temperature change in the medium to long
term than short -
term solar - energy variability is that, over time, half
of any net increase in heat will accumulate in the oceans (the rest will radiate out to space), and the oceans, being a little
warmer, will maintain the
atmosphere at a
warmer temperature than it might otherwise have exhibited.
He says that, in
terms of climate science research, scientists still need to address the remaining uncertainties in the carbon cycle: where and how fast the carbon released into the
atmosphere goes, how much stays in the
atmosphere, whether there are limits to some natural sinks for carbon and whether there are important new sources
of carbon emissions that may be triggered by
warming.
Reducing longlived
warming agents (predominantly CO2, which accumulates in the
atmosphere) reduces the slope (i.e. the long
term rate
of warming).
It thoroughly quashes the Evan's claim, and also hammers the related critiques
of climate science, by Dr David Douglass, Dr John Christy, Dr Benjamin Pearson and Dr S. Fred Singer, which claimed a significant discrepancy between theory and observations in
terms of the
warming of the lower
atmosphere.
Also things like; environmentalists fraudulently signing the Oregon Climate Petition strictly to sabotage and discredit it, the changing
of the
term Global
Warming to climate Change and now the new
term is «our deteriorating
atmosphere», pictures
of Polar bears, using the media to report scary stories
of bad weather and especially hiring an extremely wealthy investment manager as the primary salesman for AGW (ie.