Malcolm Harvey, research fellow at the University of Aberdeen, says that Ukip coming third in
terms of vote share while only getting next to no seats looks bad when compared with the SNP, who «are going to win half as many votes as Ukip and return 56 seats».
It is important to see the change in the Conservative
vote share in the context
of the longer
term trend: though the Tory figures have moved around more than those
of other parties in the ANP, they have been around 30 %, within the margin
of error, for eight weeks,
while Labour remain firmly in the mid-30s.