Equation 1 implies a value of T e = 254 K for
the terrestrial emission temperature, whereas the observed global mean surface temperature is T ≈ 288 K.
Not exact matches
There is good reason to believe that «
terrestrial removal» could be begin to * reduce * in the future in response to rising
temperatures — to note just two cases, conversion of rain forest to savannah in the Amazon, and radical methane
emissions increases in the Arctic, due both of melting permafrost and to increasing microbial metabolism.
Secondly, and more importantly, nature could provide humans with a helping hand to reach those lofty CO2 concentration targets through the combination of natural
terrestrial sinks becoming less effective, along with new sources of carbon
emissions appearing as a result of rising global
temperatures.
Arctic soil stocks, their future hydrologic status (i.e., moister or drier) that will largely drive their methane
emissions, and the possibility of increasing methane gas bubble ebullition from currently frozen marine and
terrestrial sediments as their
temperatures rise.
The IPCC has chosen 1950 as the starting point for their confabulations, because they have the preconceived notion that human GHG
emissions (mainly CO2) are the main drivers of the global
temperature (the CAGW enthusiasts prefer the post - satellite era because it renders a trend of about 0.16 °C / decade, even though they invariably select one of the
terrestrial records, usually GISTEMP).
So how do we average the Earth's
temperature such that the application of a single
temperature term (or a small number of distinct
temperature elements if we partition the system into latitudes and sea vs
terrestrial) works correctly to estimate the aggregate
emission?