This — more
than any possible Lib Dem recovery — is the most significant part of last night's result.
Not exact matches
(Although it might be worth you noting that the 51 % figure seems to suggest that
Lib - Lab is worth a good deal less
than the sum of its parts...) Is it just
possible that Brown's disastrous economic mismanagement and loathsome disdain for the people of the country has got people's backs up rather?
It's therefore very
possible that UKIP could poll more votes
than the Liberal Democrats in the 2015 election but win no seats, with the beleagured
Lib Dems retaining more
than half of their current incumbents.
In that scenario, the
Lib Dem bounce - back could be swifter
than currently seems
possible.
It is probably partially due to ICM's weighting, which is slightly more favourable to the
Lib Dems
than other pollsters, and it is
possible (though we won't know until the full tables go up on ICM's website) that it's also partially due to ICM's topline adjustment.