Mr Speaker, more jobs means that the impact of the weaker
than forecast GDP on the public finances has been less than some might have expected.
It is worth noting, however, that we believe it is incumbent on the government to keep spending within declared levels, and to appropriately apply any unexpected gains (i.e. from a stronger
than forecast GDP growth, higher energy prices, etc.) to the deficit and thus hasten the return to a balanced budget.
Not exact matches
The IMF
forecast issued this week for the Middle East projects that energy - importing nations including Egypt will grow more strongly in the years ahead
than energy exporters including Saudi Arabia, though both will experience
GDP growth.
The British Chamber of Commerce (BCC) cited higher
than anticipated third quarter gross domestic product (
GDP) numbers in the revision of its full - year
forecast to 2.1 percent from 1.8 percent.
In a decade, federal debt will reach an overwhelming $ 33 trillion, the equivalent of 113 % of
GDP — and $ 6 trillion higher
than the CBO had
forecast before the Trump agenda passed.
Should world
GDP grow anywhere close to the IMF's medium term
forecast in the high 3 percent range, oil demand growth will rise by closer to 2 million b / d
than 1 million b / d by our reckoning.
A Chinese currency devaluation is less of a concern
than a Chinese slowdown, with real
GDP forecast to be down 0.2 percentage points.
Newly published
GDP figures and
forecasts enjoy a wide audience, even though they're updated more often
than antivirus software.
In the more realistic case that growth is 1pc lower
than forecast, but is coupled with an ambitious budget surplus of around 2.5 pc of
GDP, Greece would still require a total write - off of its entire first bail - out package worth $ 53.1 bn.
Chinese
GDP expanded at a better -
than -
forecast pace of 6.9 % in the first quarter, the fastest in six quarters.
In addition, PBO's
forecast for nominal gross domestic product (
GDP)-- the broadest measure of the federal tax base - is considerably lower
than the average of the private sector economists»
forecasts released by the Minister of Finance on October 29, 2012.
TD is also now
forecasting nominal
GDP growth of only 1.1 % in 2015 considerably less
than the almost 4 % growth
forecast by the government last November.
Real
GDP rose at a 2.3 % annual rate in the advance estimate for the first quarter, a bit stronger
than anticipated (the median
forecast was...
Both deficit
forecasts are not large, amounting to less
than 0.2 % of
GDP per year.
Thereafter, the positive impact of the higher level of nominal
GDP and the saving measures more
than offset the fiscal cost of the policy initiatives, resulting in lower deficits
than those
forecast in the October 2010 Update to 2014 - 15, and a somewhat higher surplus in 2015 - 16.
Nominal
GDP, the broadest base for calculating government revenues, is now expected to be significantly lower
than earlier
forecast.
As Paul Krugman has written, the common models used to
forecast potential
GDP take it for granted that if an economy doesn't bounce back quickly from a recession, it's because something has been fundamentally damaged, rather
than because the government offered up an insufficient policy response.
As the Canadian economy contends with softer
than expected exports, weak business investment and effects of the Alberta wildfires, real
GDP growth in 2016 is
forecast to be 1.4 per cent...
2016.06.10 Canadian economic activity erratic through 2016: RBC Economics As the Canadian economy contends with softer
than expected exports, weak business investment and effects of the Alberta wildfires, real
GDP growth in 2016 is
forecast to be 1.4 per cent...
Had the American economy performed as the Congressional Budget Office
forecast in August 2009 — after the stimulus had been passed and the recovery had started — U.S.
GDP today would be about $ 1.3 trillion higher
than it is.
The softer -
than - expected retail sales numbers last month suggest a slowdown in consumer spending in the fourth quarter, which could see economists trim their
GDP forecasts for the period.
TD Economics» view of the medium term is much more pessimistic, and in our view more credible, and its
forecast of nominal
GDP would have resulted in revenues being lower by $ 10 billion in 2015 - 16, with the result that there would still have been a deficit in 2015 - 16 rather
than a surplus.
This would require that nominal
GDP in 2019 be $ 100 billion higher
than in the PBO
forecast.
Across the Pond, focus will be on 1st quarter
GDP and employment cost numbers, any better
than forecasted figures another Dollar positive, with the markets expecting upward revision to
GDP numbers following the March goods trade numbers released on Thursday.
It is going to be higher at the end of this Parliament
than forecast in the plans he inherited; and no longer falling as a percentage of
GDP, it is rising in 2014 - 15 and it is rising again in 2015 - 16 too, breaking the fiscal rule for falling debt upon which this Chancellor said his entire credibility depended.
The short - term analysis of the risks of Brexit released by the Treasury claims Britain's
GDP would be between 3.6 % and 6 % lower after two years
than current
forecasts.
By 2050 the combined
GDP of the seven largest developing economies is expected to be 50 % higher
than those of the current G7, with China
forecast to overtake the US as the world's largest economy by 2025 or even earlier.
More meaningfully, as a percentage of
GDP, debt is by then
forecast to be falling very slightly, but still considerably higher
than now.
The higher consumer and investment spending results in real
GDP being $ 9.6 billion higher by the end of the
forecast period
than it would be without the ORPP.
In fact, the latest Q2
GDP growth
forecast from the Atlanta Fed's GDPNow model is for a growth rate more
than double the Q1
GDP rate.
Despite the challenges of the global financial crisis, Dubai continues to maintain its position as a vibrant centre of trade and commerce with a
forecast GDP growth of 2.5 percent in 2010, and more
than 70 percent of its
GDP contribution attributed to the non-oil sector.
Similarly, a recent report from the respected British consultants Cambridge Econometrics (PDF)
forecast that the planned 60 - percent cut in U.K. carbon emissions would deliver a
GDP that was 1.1 percent higher
than if the country stuck to a high - carbon economy.
Further, since the increase in
GDP is larger
than the
forecast increase in the total population, national living standards for all Australians would increase.
The Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU)
forecasts Mexico's
GDP growth rate to expand at an average annual rate of 3.7 % from 2011 through 2015, higher
than the 3.1 % average achieved during the period 2003 through 2008, and 230 basis points higher
than the average over the past 20 years.