Nor can they claim that growth in second half of the year will be stronger
than forecast because of the October fiscal actions since the effects of these measures were already included in the budget forecast.
Not exact matches
That's
because rather
than losing faith in his call, Hussman did some digging around as to why it hadn't yet come true, and has recalibrated the conditions of his
forecast.
Because of the reformulations, the Treasury now expects the levy to raise only about 240 million pounds ($ 336 million) in its first year, less
than half of its prior
forecast of 520 million.
Because PMI isn't seeing a surge in device sales, sales of Heatsticks, tobacco sticks that go inside the iQOS device, «are likely to be a little bit lower»
than it
forecast at the end of last year.
Because of how the Bank of Canada has incorporated federal fiscal projections in its
forecasts, there's a risk markets might over-read any tension over rates and interpret the government «as having more influence on the governor
than it would past Bank of Canada governors,» he said.
The member growth
forecast is higher
than the space
forecast because coworking spaces are getting bigger, both in size and number of members:
True, the bond market's implied inflation
forecast has shot up since last year; but that's almost entirely
because of oil rather
than economic fundamentals.
«Inflation for 2014 would be much higher
than any
forecasts, that's
because it depends on (rouble) devaluation,» Ulyukayev said.
Oct 30 (Reuters)- Hurricane Sandy appears to have easily caused more losses
than last year's Hurricane Irene, but final totals will be hard to come by for some time
because of the scale of the disaster, catastrophe
forecasting companies said on Tuesday.
We can not use consensus values for our margin
forecasts because our margin calculations take into account a great deal more data
than is used in most analysts» models.
Because our model focuses on quantifying the market's expectations for the future financial performance of a company as embedded in the stock price, we need a more dynamic DCF model
than the traditional models that force the valuation of every stock into a 5 or 10 - year
forecast horizon.
Early this week I was with an Australian government representative in Beijing whom I have known for many years and he told me that iron ore prices were currently around $ 83 (I think they dropped another $ 2 last week), and that while some people in Canberra were reluctant to say it too loudly, he and others were increasingly in agreement with my lower
forecast of less
than $ 50 well before the end of the decade, in part
because supply has come off much more slowly
than predicted, but mainly
because they now recognize that China's rebalancing was indeed going to be a far bigger deal for Chinese demand
than sell - side research had predicted.
If the deficit for 2013 - 14 comes in much lower
than currently estimated, it could well be
because of additional prudence he has «buried» into his budget
forecast.
As Paul Krugman has written, the common models used to
forecast potential GDP take it for granted that if an economy doesn't bounce back quickly from a recession, it's
because something has been fundamentally damaged, rather
than because the government offered up an insufficient policy response.
Headline inflation is lower
than forecast, largely
because of the recent fall in oil prices.
Still, if tlong - term borrowing costs in the U.K. are rising also
because investors believe the British unemployment rate will hit seven per cent faster
than the Bank of England
forecasts, they're deluding themselves, Carney warned.
Interestingly, if over the course of the
forecast horizon, they go up and then revert back to where they are today, the effect on the return will actually be negative,
because there will be no net change in valuation, but some of the ensuing dividends will have been reinvested at higher valuations
than those available today.
Then finally — as I say, I'm probably leaving something out — there was the decision, which wound up a presidential decision
because the people under him were disagreeing, to use the CBO macroeconomic
forecast, even after we had done all this work to do our own economic
forecast, for one reason: it was more pessimistic
than ours, and would therefore make the budget deficit reduction job harder rather
than easier.
From what I have said about the Bank's approach, it should be clear that any differences between our judgments and the markets» judgments can occur not only
because our inflation
forecasts might differ, but also
because our basic objectives are much broader
than the markets», and our horizons are much longer.
Mr Errington on Monday upgraded his profit
forecasts for 2019 - 20 by 9 per cent and by 12 per cent for 2020 - 21
because of a better
than expected Australian grape harvest that has just finished in major grape - growing regions, along with the marketing sizzle in the United States.
Moreover, samples are often unrepresentative of the population, introducing systemic biases by overweighting the preferences of certain demographics: Yair Lapid had always predicted that he would win more seats
than he was
forecast,
because pollsters relied on calling people by landline, and his supporters, predominantly young, had only mobile phones.
The widely dreaded first day of intensive track repairs at Pennsylvania Station in Manhattan was far less hellish
than forecast, but New York City's hardened commuters were reluctant to exhale in relief too soon,
because, after all, it was only Day One.
«Obamacare bought Medicare Advantage (George W's Program which proved more expensive
than forecast) into line,
because it had to have cost bought down.
In total, the city has raised its revenue
forecasts by $ 5.1 billion through FY 2017, largely
because real estate values and sales activity are increasing faster
than had been expected and personal income tax collections have been strong.
Figure 2 shows that every successive budget plan over the past two years has allocated more to nondefense R&D
than the plan before, in part
because of continually improving economic
forecasts but also
because of concerted efforts to protect R&D programs from projected budget cuts.
This is
because clouds have more - complex microphysics
than the open sky, so even small errors in the models can cascade into large uncertainties in the
forecast.
She's confident
because her team
forecast a future — actually lots of different futures — where self - driving cars hit the road when they were 10, 75 or 90 percent safer
than the average human driver.
Gabriele Villarini, UI associate professor of civil and environmental engineering and corresponding author on the paper, says researchers honed in on predicting the impacts of tropical cyclones
because that information is generally more useful
than typical
forecasts that predict how many storms are expected in a season.
Because this number of vehicles exceeds the present rush hour figure and the software can run the simulation five times faster
than real life, researchers believe that given real roadside data, the model will produce accurate
forecasts.
Those numbers caused a stir,
because they were substantially higher
than HFC warming
forecasts made by other climate models, including those underpinning the massive reports of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC).
It's for those who really love what they do,
because who in their right minds likes to voluntary run around in an urban tundra, spending more time outside
than in — and I'm not even going to start about cab money spendings — when it's minus 10... Weather
forecast looks not too bad though, but surely it's not going to be warm.
The industry got very excited with a $ 150M
forecast, and that's
because this summer touts younger franchises and more promising reboots
than last year's 15 - year old Pirates of the Caribbean and 39 - year old Alien.
Research firm IDC, in a new tablet / e-reader market
forecast released on Wednesday, says that it plans to count the Amazon color device as a tablet: «
Because we expect it to run a customized version of Android that ties its use to Amazon's content services, we expect the device to more closely resemble Barnes & Noble's Color Nook
than Apple's iPad 2.
I don't mind that,
because I firmly believe that it is better to have a
forecast — any
forecast —
than to not have one.
, the corrections caused odds for a November BOE rate hike to rise, very likely
because the reading for Q2 is substantially better
than the BOE's
forecast of +1.0 %, as laid out in the
And according to some market analysts, the corrections caused odds for a November BOE rate hike to rise, very likely
because the reading for Q2 is substantially better
than the BOE's
forecast of +1.0 %, as laid out in the August Inflation Report.
Be prepared for one category higher
than the one being
forecast,
because hurricanes often increase in strength just before making landfall.
We were thinking about a late morning trip to Burgerworld
because a little swell was suppose to be trickling in but, low and behold, the swell was bigger
than the
forecasts were predicting and it was... [Read more...]
We were thinking about a late morning trip to Burgerworld
because a little swell was suppose to be trickling in but, low and behold, the swell was bigger
than the
forecasts were predicting and it was pumping right out in front of the resort with perfect conditions!
Because, other
than Miitomo, we can not discuss today what kind of applications and with which Nintendo IP we will release, we need to refrain from discussing their revenue
forecasts now.
Mainly
because we were concerned by the global media coverage which made it appear as if a coming pause in global warming was almost a given fact, rather
than an experimental
forecast.
Given that impacts don't scale linearly — that's true both
because of the statistics of normal distributions, which imply that (damaging) extremes become much more frequent with small shifts in the mean, and
because significant breakpoints such as melting points for sea ice, wet - bulb temperatures too high for human survival, and heat tolerance for the most significant human food crops are all «in play» — the model
forecasts using reasonable emissions inputs ought to be more
than enough for anyone using sensible risk analysis to know that we making very bad choices right now.
Checking up on our predictions from last year, we
forecast that 2010 would be warmer
than 2009 (
because of the ENSO phase last January).
Climate change is a lagged result of cumulative emissions, so errors in
forecasts of what will happen after 2050 are of much less importance
than getting projections right for the next few decades — this is fortunate
because of course we can't know what will happen many decades into the future.
Predictions for a long time period can be more reliable
than predictions for the immediate future
because the longer the
forecast horizon, the greater the opportunity for the prediction to occur.
While there has been warm water building up in the pacific, and this warm water is highly correlated to El Nino, and most of the models suggest there will be an El nino (
because of these observations rather
than any form of «
forecast skill»), that does not mean 2014 will be an El nino.
This is apparently what happened a few weeks ago when some prominent alarmist modelers decided to scale back their temperature
forecasts, probably
because the
forecasts were continuing to be much higher
than actual temperatures.
For climate exponentials hindcast better
than anything except Gaussians, which so far no one has thought to suggest, probably
because they
forecast terribly.
So for example a
forecast of average climate over 2029 - 2031 would be less believable
than one over 2020 - 2040,
because 20 - year averaging would remove many of the kinds of unpredictable phenomena such as volcanoes that could have a much bigger influence on the 2029 - 2031 average
than on 2020 - 2040.
Because the breakdown of the stratospheric polar vortex is driven by atmospheric waves, which are related to short - term weather fluctuations, we can't
forecast these events more
than 10 - 15 days in advance with much skill.