Sentences with phrase «than forecasting future»

Not exact matches

I put more faith in futures markets than in private sector and budgetary forecasts, but given the recent escalation of oil prices, there is a reasonable chance prices end up matching or exceeding the estimates in Budget 2016.

The indices are backed by a national database of more than 200 million property records dating back to 1987 and use what the company calls «Big Data techniques» and new algorithms to track an individual home's value on a monthly basis and create forecasts to predict the home's future value.

Again, the IATA forecasts more than $ 38 billion in profits by the end of this year, and the broad interest in new aircraft may suggest overwhelming optimism in the future.

Because our model focuses on quantifying the market's expectations for the future financial performance of a company as embedded in the stock price, we need a more dynamic DCF model than the traditional models that force the valuation of every stock into a 5 or 10 - year forecast horizon.

With the revenue results for 2011 - 12 lower than expected, one would expect that all or some of this deterioration would carry - forward into future years, thereby impacting negatively on the outer year forecasts.

With the results for 2010 - 11 better than expected, one would expect that all or some of this improvement would carry - forward into future years, thereby impacting positively on the outer year forecasts.

That's not something that can be known in advance, which is why it's impossible to reliably forecast future equity returns, at least on horizons shorter than a few decades.

There is a component of future forecasting involved, but it is ancillary rather than primary.

It is rather ironic that we can forecast the far distant future of this planet more clearly than we can foresee the immediate human future on its surface.

Asserting that we do not yet have either the facts or the methods to make forecasting a precise art, Michael argues that there are three basic reasons for continuing to make or act upon them: (1) some forecasts are likely to be close to the mark, (2) poor forecasts provide a better basis for planning than no prediction at all, and (3) well - done forecasts help to illuminate the many factors that interact to produce the future.

The forecast was more buoyant than what he had expected but that could be due to the recent firming of dairy market futures and the GlobalDairyTrade.

All statements other than statements of historical facts included in this announcement, including, without limitation, those regarding Rio Tinto's financial position, business strategy, plans and objectives of management for future operations (including development plans and objectives relating to Rio Tinto's products, production forecasts and reserve and resource positions), are forward - looking statements.

She's confident because her team forecast a future — actually lots of different futures — where self - driving cars hit the road when they were 10, 75 or 90 percent safer than the average human driver.

When the team compared the traits between generations within each of the more than 900 family trees, they could estimate the traits» rate of evolution and forecast 10 generations into the future.

The analysis, formulated by U.N. and University of Washington (UW), Seattle, researchers, is the first of its kind to use modern statistical methods rather than expert opinions to estimate future birth rates, one of the determining factors in population forecasts.

In summary the projections of the IPCC — Met office models and all the impact studies (especially the Stern report) which derive from them are based on specifically structurally flawed and inherently useless models.They deserve no place in any serious discussion of future climate trends and represent an enormous waste of time and money.As a basis for public policy their forecasts are grossly in error and therefore worse than useless.For further discussion and an estimate of the coming cooling see http://climatesense-norpag.blogspot.com

The study used more than 40 scientific publications and Australian Institute of Marine Science monitoring data from 18 Australian reefs to build and validate a model to forecast the reef's future under different conditions.

Future forecasts of climate models forced with greenhouse gas levels as high as modern ones tend to result in Pliocene - like climate (~ 3 million years ago) when sea levels were estimated to be 14 meters higher than they are today.

Global ice - sheets are melting at an increased rate; Arctic sea - ice is disappearing much faster than recently projected, and future sea - level rise is now expected to be much higher than previously forecast, according to a new global scientific synthesis prepared by some of the world's top climate scientists.

The report found that global ice sheets are melting at an increased rate; Arctic sea ice is thinning and melting much faster than recently projected, and future sea - level rise is now expected to be much higher than previously forecast.

And if our Mars observer would also have knowledge about the explosive population growth, about the weapons» power of destruction more and more perfected and about the division of humankind into a few political sides, he wouldn't probably forecast for us a future any brighter than that of a few rat societies being at war on a foodless boat» (p. 256).

And if our Mars observer would also have knowledge about the explosive population growth, about the weapons» power of destruction more and more perfected and about the division of humankind into a few political sides, he wouldn't probably forecast for us a future any brighter than that of a few rat societies being at war on a foodless boat»

Such statements reflect the current views of Barnes & Noble with respect to future events, the outcome of which is subject to certain risks, including, among others, the general economic environment and consumer spending patterns, decreased consumer demand for Barnes & Noble's products, low growth or declining sales and net income due to various factors, possible disruptions in Barnes & Noble's computer systems, telephone systems or supply chain, possible risks associated with data privacy, information security and intellectual property, possible work stoppages or increases in labor costs, possible increases in shipping rates or interruptions in shipping service, effects of competition, possible risks that inventory in channels of distribution may be larger than able to be sold, possible risks associated with changes in the strategic direction of the device business, including possible reduction in sales of content, accessories and other merchandise and other adverse financial impacts, possible risk that component parts will be rendered obsolete or otherwise not be able to be effectively utilized in devices to be sold, possible risk that financial and operational forecasts and projections are not achieved, possible risk that returns from consumers or channels of distribution may be greater than estimated, the risk that digital sales growth is less than expectations and the risk that it does not exceed the rate of investment spend, higher - than - anticipated store closing or relocation costs, higher interest rates, the performance of Barnes & Noble's online, digital and other initiatives, the success of Barnes & Noble's strategic investments, unanticipated increases in merchandise, component or occupancy costs, unanticipated adverse litigation results or effects, product and component shortages, the potential adverse impact on the Company's businesses resulting from the Company's prior reviews of strategic alternatives and the potential separation of the Company's businesses, the risk that the transactions with Microsoft and Pearson do not achieve the expected benefits for the parties or impose costs on the Company in excess of what the Company anticipates, including the risk that NOOK Media's applications are not commercially successful or that the expected distribution of those applications is not achieved, risks associated with the international expansion contemplated by the relationship with Microsoft, including that it is not successful or is delayed, the risk that NOOK Media is not able to perform its obligations under the Microsoft and Pearson commercial agreements and the consequences thereof, risks associated with the restatement contained in, the delayed filing of, and the material weakness in internal controls described in Barnes & Noble's Annual Report on Form 10 - K for the fiscal year ended April 27, 2013, risks associated with the SEC investigation disclosed in the quarterly report on Form 10 - Q for the fiscal quarter ended October 26, 2013, risks associated with the ongoing efforts to rationalize the NOOK business and the expected costs and benefits of such efforts and associated risks and other factors which may be outside of Barnes & Noble's control, including those factors discussed in detail in Item 1A, «Risk Factors,» in Barnes & Noble's Annual Report on Form 10 - K for the fiscal year ended April 27, 2013, and in Barnes & Noble's other filings made hereafter from time to time with the SEC.

Such statements reflect the current views of Barnes & Noble with respect to future events, the outcome of which is subject to certain risks, including, among others, the effect of the proposed separation of NOOK Media, the general economic environment and consumer spending patterns, decreased consumer demand for Barnes & Noble's products, low growth or declining sales and net income due to various factors, possible disruptions in Barnes & Noble's computer systems, telephone systems or supply chain, possible risks associated with data privacy, information security and intellectual property, possible work stoppages or increases in labor costs, possible increases in shipping rates or interruptions in shipping service, effects of competition, possible risks that inventory in channels of distribution may be larger than able to be sold, possible risks associated with changes in the strategic direction of the device business, including possible reduction in sales of content, accessories and other merchandise and other adverse financial impacts, possible risk that component parts will be rendered obsolete or otherwise not be able to be effectively utilized in devices to be sold, possible risk that financial and operational forecasts and projections are not achieved, possible risk that returns from consumers or channels of distribution may be greater than estimated, the risk that digital sales growth is less than expectations and the risk that it does not exceed the rate of investment spend, higher - than - anticipated store closing or relocation costs, higher interest rates, the performance of Barnes & Noble's online, digital and other initiatives, the success of Barnes & Noble's strategic investments, unanticipated increases in merchandise, component or occupancy costs, unanticipated adverse litigation results or effects, product and component shortages, risks associated with the commercial agreement with Samsung, the potential adverse impact on the Company's businesses resulting from the Company's prior reviews of strategic alternatives and the potential separation of the Company's businesses (including with respect to the timing of the completion thereof), the risk that the transactions with Pearson and Samsung do not achieve the expected benefits for the parties or impose costs on the Company in excess of what the Company anticipates, including the risk that NOOK Media's applications are not commercially successful or that the expected distribution of those applications is not achieved, risks associated with the international expansion previously undertaken, including any risks associated with a reduction of international operations following termination of the Microsoft commercial agreement, the risk that NOOK Media is not able to perform its obligations under the Pearson and Samsung commercial agreements and the consequences thereof, the risks associated with the termination of Microsoft commercial agreement, including potential customer losses, risks associated with the restatement contained in, the delayed filing of, and the material weakness in internal controls described in Barnes & Noble's Annual Report on Form 10 - K for the fiscal year ended April 27, 2013, risks associated with the SEC investigation disclosed in the quarterly report on Form 10 - Q for the fiscal quarter ended October 26, 2013, risks associated with the ongoing efforts to rationalize the NOOK business and the expected costs and benefits of such efforts and associated risks and other factors which may be outside of Barnes & Noble's control, including those factors discussed in detail in Item 1A, «Risk Factors,» in Barnes & Noble's Annual Report on Form 10 - K for the fiscal year ended May 3, 2014, and in Barnes & Noble's other filings made hereafter from time to time with the SEC.

Such statements reflect the current views of Barnes & Noble with respect to future events, the outcome of which is subject to certain risks, including, among others, the general economic environment and consumer spending patterns, decreased consumer demand for Barnes & Noble's products, low growth or declining sales and net income due to various factors, including store closings, higher - than - anticipated or increasing costs, including with respect to store closings, relocation, occupancy (including in connection with lease renewals) and labor costs, the effects of competition, the risk of insufficient access to financing to implement future business initiatives, risks associated with data privacy and information security, risks associated with Barnes & Noble's supply chain, including possible delays and disruptions and increases in shipping rates, various risks associated with the digital business, including the possible loss of customers, declines in digital content sales, risks and costs associated with ongoing efforts to rationalize the digital business and the digital business not being able to perform its obligations under the Samsung commercial agreement and the consequences thereof, the risk that financial and operational forecasts and projections are not achieved, the performance of Barnes & Noble's initiatives including but not limited to its new store concept and e-commerce initiatives, unanticipated adverse litigation results or effects, potential infringement of Barnes & Noble's intellectual property by third parties or by Barnes & Noble of the intellectual property of third parties, and other factors, including those factors discussed in detail in Item 1A, «Risk Factors,» in Barnes & Noble's Annual Report on Form 10 - K for the fiscal year ended April 30, 2016, and in Barnes & Noble's other filings made hereafter from time to time with the SEC.

- i.e. forecasts of future returns, volatilities or correlations are more harmful than helpful.

If you understand that bond prices are present values of future cash flows, then you know that forecasts of future growth and inflation are more important than historical data reports on what has already occurred.

Overall, they had no more ability to forecast the future than a coin flip.

Second, one probably can make as good, or even better, forecasts of future earnings or cash flows, by using net asset value, rather than the past earnings record, as a starting point.

Insofar as long - term, future earnings are to be forecast, estimating returns that might be earned on a realistic asset base is probably as good, or better, a tool than is a corporation's past earnings record, albeit one is not a substitute for the other.

Rather than rely on past averages to forecast future returns, we use a building - block approach that adds current yield, likely long - term growth in income, and some mean reversion in valuation multiples to create forward - looking returns.

A few weeks ago I wrote a piece arguing that forward earnings estimates were better at forecasting future earnings than were the popular backward looking methods.

The trouble is, industry forecasts suggest that future returns may be lower than they've been previously.

However, future growth does not necessarily need to equal past growth, and most importantly, current valuation should be given a higher weighting based on forecast growth than on historical growth.

But if companies can show that they have adequate control over their financial results such that they forecast future earnings and they honestly come to pass, investors will think the place is better managed than most, and reward it with a higher P / E multiple.

I fully expect Nintendo to revise their forecast in the future and bring down the number to somewhere that is either in line or lower than the number of software units they sold in FY2015.

It's very clear from the graph that the forecast from scenario c fits the data better than the other two forecasts; that the clearly counterfactual assumptions in scenario c produce a better fit (so far) suggests that scenarios a and b are untrustworthy guides to the future.

Future forecasts of climate models forced with greenhouse gas levels as high as modern ones tend to result in Pliocene - like climate (~ 3 million years ago) when sea levels were estimated to be 14 meters higher than they are today.

The counterintuitive thing that follows from this is that it's easier, in a way, to forecast climate years in advance than it is to forecast weather just weeks in the future.

I wasn't relying on credibility to make my point, thus my association with Pat Michaels (and, for full disclosure, my boss) doesn't seem to impact the contents of my comment — that it is easy to take credit in hindsight for a correct forecast, but, if you can't use it to reliably identify a future course, than it is of little good.

Climate change is a lagged result of cumulative emissions, so errors in forecasts of what will happen after 2050 are of much less importance than getting projections right for the next few decades — this is fortunate because of course we can't know what will happen many decades into the future.

Yes, there are forecasts, based on the idea that CAGW is real, that the Arctic Ocean will be «ice free» (less than 1 million sq kms), in the near future.

Predictions for a long time period can be more reliable than predictions for the immediate future because the longer the forecast horizon, the greater the opportunity for the prediction to occur.

While forecasting the state of the environment more than 80 years into the future is a notoriously inexact exercise, academics gathered by the the United Nations at the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change are concerned the world is headed for «extensive» species extinctions, serious crop damage and irreversible increases in sea levels even before Trump started to unpick the fight against global warming.

There is no other reason to include chart # 7 «PAST AND FUTURE TRENDS» in that poster, other than to PREDICT / FORECAST the alleged dangerous increase in temps of 4C, by 2100.

In deference to the unpredictable nature of attempting to forecast global climate (and as an attempt to avoid mistakes previously made) the panel was more cautious than it was in past reports in making predictions for the future.

Treasury's «high price» carbon forecast, which takes into account a 450ppm scenario, puts the price of carbon at more than $ 50 / t by 2016, and more than $ 80 / t by 2025, and then continuing to rise sharply in future years.

As this deficit will be paid off at future prices, it is analytically more appropriate to use a forecast future price when assessing its value, and this could be much higher than $ 25 / t.

It has been claimed that an even better forecast than Hansen's could have been made without models, simply by extrapolating past trajectories into the future.

You clearly believe that nothing should be done today to reduce emissions because given the uncertainty about the future, every policy will be less than the forecast error of 2050?