So intuitively one would guess that a larger proportion of the «missing CO2» should be going into added plant growth rather
than increased ocean pH.
Not exact matches
The first is that our planet's
oceans act as a massive watery heat - sink, and currently absorb more
than 90 percent of
increased atmospheric heat that are associated with human activity.
He added that scientists need to monitor carbon storage and possible temperature
increases in
oceans at depths greater
than 2 kilometers in addition to adding biogeochemical sensing capacity.
Since the emissions today are three times higher
than they were in the 1960s, this
increased uptake by land and
ocean is not only surprising; it's good news.
They can also explain more
than half of the warming recorded over the Antarctic Peninsula, because «anomalously strong westerlies should act to decrease the incidence of cold air outbreaks from the south and lead to
increased warm advection from the Southern
Ocean.»
The collection of larger
than usual amounts of Arctic winter weather data in 2015 was due to two reasons: the Norwegian research vessel Lance was in the Arctic
Ocean observing and collecting upper atmosphere meteorological data, and the frequency of observation and data collection was
increased at some of the land - based observation stations around the Arctic.
Less
than a year after the first research flight kicked off NASA's
Oceans Melting Greenland campaign, data from the new program are providing a dramatic
increase in knowledge of how Greenland's ice sheet is melting from below.
According to the study, the models project that
ocean warming will be even more pronounced
than suggested by coarser models under
increasing concentrations of atmospheric CO2.
In the Southern
Ocean, the extra drawdown of heat had gone unnoticed and is
increasing on a much longer timescale (multi-decadal)
than the other two regions (decadal).
Worse, climate models predict that the areas where marine preserves are most prevalent — coastal regions in the northern hemisphere — will see greater
increases in temperature
than the
oceans as a whole, Halpin said.
The deep
ocean, which covers more
than 60 percent of Earth's surface, is a biodiversity hotspot at
increased risk from climate change.
Despite global commitments to
increase the number of protected areas, less
than 3 % of the world's
oceans are now protected within an MPA.
Ocean levels rose 50 percent faster in 2014
than in 1993, with meltwater from the Greenland ice sheet now supplying 25 percent of total sea level
increase compared with just five percent 20 years earlier, researchers reported...
Glacial melt and
ocean warming, etc., result from, but take longer
than, the warming in the atmosphere caused by the
increased CO2.
If we can also have confidence in GRACE measurements, which give us the
ocean mass
increasing (melting and...), is it possible to find a best estimation of OHC
than with XBT, ARGO,...?
ocean system is faster
than the global average since the 1960s; there is a small but widespread
increase in heat content of the Arctic Oceanâ??
The observed fact that temperatures
increases slower over the
oceans than over land demonstrates that the large heat capacity of the
ocean tries to hold back the warming of the air over the
ocean and produces a delay at the surface but nevertheless the atmosphere responds quit rapidly to
increasing greenhouse gases.
MHW intensity between 1982 — 1998 and 2000 — 2016
increased in over 65 % of the global
ocean, most notably in all five western boundary current regions, where the mean warming has been considerably faster
than the global average39, and most mid-latitude
ocean basins (Fig. 1e).
More
than 90 % of global warming heat goes into warming the
oceans, while less
than 3 % goes into
increasing the atmospheric and surface air temperature.
My research indicates that the Siberian peat moss, Arctic tundra, and methal hydrates (frozen methane at the bottom of the
ocean) all have an excellent chance of melting and releasing their stored co2.Recent methane concentration figures also hit the news last week, and methane has
increased after a long time being steady.The forests of north america are drying out and are very susceptible to massive insect infestations and wildfires, and the massive die offs - 25 % of total forests, have begun.And, the most recent stories on the Amazon forecast that with the change in rainfall patterns one third of the Amazon will dry and turn to grassland, thereby creating a domino cascade effect for the rest of the Amazon.With co2 levels risng faster now that the
oceans have reached carrying capacity, the
oceans having become also more acidic, and the looming threat of a North Atlanic current shutdown (note the recent terrible news on salinity upwelling levels off Greenland,) and the change in cold water upwellings, leading to far less biomass for the fish to feed upon, all lead to the conclusion we may not have to worry about NASA completing its inventory of near earth objects greater
than 140 meters across by 2026 (Recent Benjamin Dean astronomy lecture here in San Francisco).
If the Arctic
Ocean is losing ice at a greater rate
than previously thought, won't this
increase the rate at which carbon dioxide is absorbed?
Its high salt content
increases the water's density, which is why people float in the Dead Sea more easily
than in the
ocean.
Freshwater injection into the North Atlantic and Southern
oceans increases sea level pressure at middle latitudes and decreases it at polar latitudes (Figs. 20, S22), but the impact is different in the North Atlantic
than in the Southern
Ocean.
A study published in Science in March 2012 found that
ocean acidity may be
increasing faster today
than it has during four major extinctions in the last 300 million years.
The abstract includes the statement: «Evidence is presented that the recent worldwide land warming has occurred largely in response to a worldwide warming of the
oceans rather
than as a direct response to
increasing greenhouse gases (GHGs) over land.»
The global
increase in
ocean heat content during the period 1993 to 2003 in two
ocean models constrained by assimilating altimetric sea level and other observations (Carton et al., 2005; Köhl et al., 2006) is considerably larger
than these observational estimates.
The
increase in
ocean heat content is much larger
than any other store of energy in the Earth's heat balance over the two periods 1961 to 2003 and 1993 to 2003, and accounts for more
than 90 % of the possible
increase in heat content of the Earth system during these periods.
The Atlantic
Ocean heat content
increase was about 3.5 times greater
than the Pacific, despite being less
than half the size.
Possible reasons include
increased oceanic circulation leading to
increased subduction of heat into the
ocean, higher
than normal levels of stratospheric aerosols due to volcanoes during the past decade, incorrect ozone levels used as input to the models, lower
than expected solar output during the last few years, or poorly modeled cloud feedback effects.
They may have crossed a tipping point due to
increasing ocean acidification, raising the alarm that climate change impacts in the
ocean are continuing to happen at a much quicker pace
than scientists previously suspected.
The estimated
increase of observed global
ocean heat content (over the depth range from 0 to 3000 meters) between the 1950s and 1990s is at least one order of magnitude larger
than the
increase in heat content of any other component.
The authors note that more
than 85 % of the global heat uptake (Q) has gone into the
oceans, including
increasing the heat content of the deeper
oceans, although their model only accounts for the upper 700 meters.
About BIOACID: Since 2009, more
than 250 BIOACID scientists from 20 German research institutes have investigated how different marine organisms respond to
ocean acidification and
increasing carbon dioxide concentrations in seawater, how their performance is affected during their various life stages, how these reactions impact marine food webs and elemental cycles and whether they can be mitigated by evolutionary adaptation.
The ice melting from
ocean heat flux decreases faster than the ice growth does in the weakly stratified Southern Ocean, leading to an increase in the net ice production and hence an increase in ice mass.&r
ocean heat flux decreases faster
than the ice growth does in the weakly stratified Southern
Ocean, leading to an increase in the net ice production and hence an increase in ice mass.&r
Ocean, leading to an
increase in the net ice production and hence an
increase in ice mass.»
The mass of cumulus clouds had
increased in bulk more rapidly
than any spawning storm she could remember in her eighteen years monitoring and forecasting tropical hurricanes in the Atlantic
Ocean with the National Underwater and Marine Agency Hurricane Center.
Less
than two decades ago there were very few sightings of these majestic giants of the
ocean now we are proudly monitoring the
increase in numbers and working with local researchers to document and identify each individual whale we see.
With Viking Star's 2015 maiden season now more
than 70 percent sold out — and sales of 2016 sailings well underway — the company is expanding both its
ocean and river product lines aggressively to meet
increased traveler demand for destination - focused cruises.
Plastics have been a boon to industry, but are now the bane of the planet, even as plastic pollution is expected to continue unabated (and even
increase), with experts now predicting that by 2050 «the
oceans will contain more plastic
than fish by weight..»
[1] CO2 absorbs IR, is the main GHG, human emissions are
increasing its concentration in the atmosphere, raising temperatures globally; the second GHG, water vapor, exists in equilibrium with water / ice, would precipitate out if not for the CO2, so acts as a feedback; since the
oceans cover so much of the planet, water is a large positive feedback; melting snow and ice as the atmosphere warms decreases albedo, another positive feedback, biased toward the poles, which gives larger polar warming
than the global average; decreasing the temperature gradient from the equator to the poles is reducing the driving forces for the jetstream; the jetstream's meanders are
increasing in amplitude and slowing, just like the lower Missippi River where its driving gradient decreases; the larger slower meanders
increase the amplitude and duration of blocking highs,
increasing drought and extreme temperatures — and 30,000 + Europeans and 5,000 plus Russians die, and the US corn crop, Russian wheat crop, and Aussie wildland fire protection fails — or extreme rainfall floods the US, France, Pakistan, Thailand (driving up prices for disk drives — hows that for unexpected adverse impacts from AGW?)
And shouldn't the relative T - difference even
increase in the future as shallower coastal waters heat up more quickly
than deeper
ocean water (except probably in upwelling areas)?
What does seem clear is that every 1 ppm
increase in cumulative Atmospheric CO2 will
increase Average and Maximum Temperatures and
Ocean Acidity higher
than they otherwise would have been.
If we can also have confidence in GRACE measurements, which give us the
ocean mass
increasing (melting and...), is it possible to find a best estimation of OHC
than with XBT, ARGO,...?
Since OHC uptake efficiency associated with surface warming is low compared with the rate of radiative restoring (
increase in energy loss to space as specified by the climate feedback parameter), an important internal contribution must lead to a loss rather
than a gain of
ocean heat; thus the observation of OHC
increase requires a dominant role for external forcing.
Since the latest data from around the globe seems to indicate that the Klimakatastrophe is progressing even more rapidly
than the worst - case scenario of the IPCC (e.g.
increasing glacier melting rate, decreasing
oceans» ability to absorb CO2), I tend to believe Lovelock's predictions are spot on.
Is it not the case that if the relative lack of El Niño's and predominance of La Nina's is in fact due to global warming, rather
than natural variability, then the current
increase in the rate of warming of the
ocean below 700m may continue.
Heat can change
ocean dynamics and eventually will
increase glacial melting, which is mainly responding to subsurface water rather
than air warming.
[Response: Not an absurd question, but in practice net geothermal heating (including volcanoes, mid
ocean ridges etc) is about 0.075 W / m2 — some 20 times less important
than human CO2
increases.
Well if the meme is now that mans contribution to the greenhouse effect is that we are now and will in the future, cause
increased energy input into the
oceans which is being distributed there rather
than immediately coming out to heat the troposphere, why should we be concerned?
Fertilizing the surface
ocean with iron
increases biological productivity, but the resulting carbon dioxide removal will be much less
than expected due to the
increased productivity of diatoms, which incorporate and remove the bioavailable iron.
By the way, Spencer's first article on this subject (Part 1) was titled: Atmospheric CO2
Increases: Could the
Ocean, Rather
Than Mankind, Be the Reason?