Sentences with phrase «than longer term projections»

This might be a little higher than longer term projections, but it shouldn't be hard to get above 6 % per year.
All the data I've seen show the opposite for temperature trends — annual predictions are much less skillful than long term projections.
Models — mechanism are a better application for models than long term projections — have a range from negative to positive.

Not exact matches

Apple also gave better projections for the third quarter than expected, giving investors more confidence in the company's long - term health at a time when its top smartphone rival, Samsung, said it expects demand for its high - end phones to soften.
The coin remains below the short - term declining trendline and the $ 50 level, and while the long - term picture is less constructive than the other majors after the recent break - out, another leg higher towards the range projection target at near the $ 58 - $ 60 range is still likely before a significant consolidation period.
In a letter to the Social Security trustees in December 2003, the American Academy of Actuaries, the leading professional organization of actuaries, warned that infinite - horizon projections «provide little if any useful information about the program's long - term finances and indeed are likely to mislead anyone lacking technical expertise in the demographic, economic, and actuarial aspects of the program's finances into believing that the program is in far worse financial shape than is actually indicated».
«Long - term projections of the type presented here are always crude caricatures but I like this study because it does take a more mechanistic approach based on the known habitat requirements of the species rather than using a more traditional and simplistic thermal envelope model,» he said.
Imagine if, in 2008 and 2009, you saw Royal Dutch Shell price's decline into the $ 30s as the price of oil got cheap and the backdrop of an economic crisis made the stock cheaper than long - term projection of oil fundamentals warrant.
By how much would something like that reduce CO2ppm in the atmosphere long term than it otherwise would have been tracking bau and the FF projections out to 2050 at present?
The findings do not significantly alter short - term sea level rise projections, but they mean that we may need to prepare for larger amounts of long - term sea level rise than previously thought.
It would certainly make an interesting study to determine the fractal dimension of your saw and then «zoom out» to the next level and re-apply your method — it seems to me that this may even provide a better fit to the available data (inc long term proxies) than the single level you have already calculated — certainly the change in the projections would be most interesting!
The researches thus «urge extreme caution in attributing short - term trends (i.e. over many decades and longer) in US tropical cyclone losses to anthropogenic climate change,» stating that «anthropogenic climate change signals are unlikely to emerge in US tropical cyclone losses on timescales of less than a century under the projections examined here.»
The area of Arctic sea ice was nearly 30 % greater in August than a year ago, according to recent satellite data, though projections based on longer - term trends suggest the sea ice will continue its decline over time.
You can't really say a projection is matching long term observations until you have more than a hindcast.
I'd say climate projections have less significance and worth than short - term and even long - term weather projections (like the Farmer's Almanac and the like).
You say «It is not logical that a long - term projection should have a higher «level of confidence» than a shorter - term projection
Whether rightly or wrongly, the reality is that such short term calculations probably weigh more heavily in the decision - making of individual government officials than any long - term projections of net increase of social wealth.
Some recent research, aimed at fine - tuning long - term warming projections by taking this slowdown into account, suggested Earth may be less sensitive to greenhouse gas increases than previously thought.
For a good treatise on why long - term projections are prone to greater uncertainties and errors than shorter term projections, I can recommend «The Black Swan», by Nassim Taleb (which I believe Phinniethewoo has already recommended to you).
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