One rule is that we should examine confidence intervals rather
than point estimates of teacher - specific value - added scores.
Not exact matches
The 0.3 - percentage -
point estimate is slightly higher
than most expectations but well below Republicans» assurances.
According to
estimates from eMarketer, spending on digital ads in the U.S. will likely grow this year to the
point where it is larger
than the amount spent on television, the former Goliath of the industry.
Still, Wall Street has continued to lower its
estimates for growth this year and next, with GDP now expected to be 1.95 percent for 2016, 19 basis
points lower
than in March and below 2 percent for the first time since the question was first asked a year ago.
Case in
point: the
estimates indicate that hospitals will purchase 10 to 20 percent more portable equipment
than they actually require for operational needs.
Looking at the global economy, the Fund noted that «global economic activity continues to firm up» and is
estimated to have grown by 3.7 percent in 2017, which is 0.1 percentage
points faster
than projected in the fall.
While it's hard to quantify the dollar amount transacted with mobile wallets, Parks Associates
estimates that proximity payment transactions — which require users to tap their phone at a
point - of - sale terminal — generated more
than $ 30 billion in the U.S. in 2016, a figure that's expected to top $ 300 billion by 2022.
Inflation is
estimated to rise by somewhat less
than 1/4 percentage
point per annum over 2 — 3 years.
Last week in London, for example, an analyst from a research company with whose views I am usually in strong sympathy and who herself is very bearish on China's growth prospects, airily dismissed Chinese debt concerns by
pointing out that Chinese government debt, even after adding back
estimates of losses in the banking system, is lower
than that of the Japanese government, and because the government's debt burden has not been a problem in Japan it won't be a problem in China.
Bell said recent quarterly results have seen outperformance of about 3 to 4 percentage
points better
than analysts» consensus
estimates on average, compared with the 5.7 percentage
points earnings are currently running ahead.
Likewise, house - price inflation amplified more
than estimated in the August Inflation Report during the third quarter, while the RICS survey of real - estate agents
pointed to a fall in prices over the next three months.
According to the minutes of the meeting, a 25 - basis
point increase in the bank rate was fully factored in by the markets in the run - up to November's MPC meeting, and the interest - rate curve underlying the November Inflation Report projected interest rates at 1 percent by the end of the three - year forecast period, higher
than the recent median
estimates of economists polled by Reuters.
Last August, at the time of the announcement of the sale of the Washington Post, I noted that Washington Post Co. shares had proved a mediocre investment over the past two decades, trailing the S&P 500 by more
than 2.5 percentage
points on an annualized investment (although starting at the time Buffett began accumulating shares, in 1973, the performance was much better, with an
estimated annual return of 11.5 %).
While some people question whether VIX is too low, it is worth noting that the average levels for Bloomberg's
estimate of A-T-M implied volatility were 2.6
points lower
than the VIX Index.
This is a percentage
point lower
than average potential growth in the decade prior to the crisis... We
estimate that the real neutral policy rate is currently in the range of 1 to 2 per cent... This translates into a nominal neutral policy rate of 3 to 4 per cent, down from a range of 4 1/2 to 5 1/2 per cent in the period prior to the crisis.»
The second
estimate is 0.1 percent
point less
than the 2.6 percent growth rate recorded in the first or «advance»
estimate....
This new calculation now implies that a 1 -
point change in the corporate tax rate would change corporate tax revenues by only $ 1.3 billion, rather
than the original
estimate of $ 1.7 billion.
The latest ABS projections, based on Australian Bureau of Agricultural and Resource Economics (ABARE)
estimates, indicate that farm GDP fell by around 30 per cent over the year to the June quarter 2003, subtracting a little under 1 percentage
point from GDP growth, which is a slightly smaller subtraction
than previously expected.
The revised data including the financial intermediation service charge suggest a slightly higher debt - servicing ratio over recent years
than that indicated by the RBA's earlier
estimates, with the revised ratio averaging 1/4 — 1/2 of a percentage
point higher over recent quarters.
Case in
point: An
estimated 30 percent of PSLF - eligible borrowers have more
than $ 100,000 of loans, according to the Brookings Institution.
A friend
points out that the rate of attrition of American Jews is much higher
than the standard
estimates suggest.
Christianity Today also
points out that there are far fewer evangelicals
than estimated: 8.9 percent in Costa Rica, not the
estimated 24 percent; 19.3 percent in Guatemala, instead of twice that many.
S&P + (for years before 2005, I use an
estimated version of S&P +, based on
points scored and allowed), you have to go back to 1993 to find an IU defense that ranked higher
than 50th.
Only by performing an occult statistical manipulation called «ordered probit
estimates» do the authors manage to tease out any trend at all, and it is a tiny one: «Women were one percentage
point less likely
than men to say they were not too happy at the beginning of the sample [1972]; by 2006 women were one percentage more likely to report being in this category.»
For a number of outcomes (induction of labour, augmentation, opiate analgesia, caesarean birth), the
point estimate was less
than 1 and the upper limit of the 95 % confidence interval just exceeded 1.
Our
estimate puts Remain and Leave within four
points or less of each other in no less
than 58 council areas.
He
estimated that private equity costs around five percentage
points more
than public financing but that it was often worth it, especially for more complicated and risky projects.
And reforms to the work and study tiers of the
Points - Based System have been
estimated by government impact assessments to yield reductions in net migration smaller
than required if they are to bear a proportionate share of a reduction in net migration large enough to meet the numerical goal.
It is remarkable that the UKIP share of the Euro vote was a full 10
points higher
than the average of the
estimates of the local election vote share (PNS and NEV).
Erie County has an
estimated 32,000 residents with dementia, and at some
point 60 percent (or more
than 19,000 people) will wander from their homes or become lost.
The Democrats
pointed to a benefit similar to one in Massachusetts offering a deduction for undergraduate loan interest with no income or total deduction limit as potentially helping more
than 1 million New York students save an
estimated $ 90 million per year.
Putting all these factors, and some smaller ones, together John Curtice
estimated in 2011 that the Conservatives would need a lead of more
than 11
points on current boundaries to win a majority, while Labour could secure one with a lead of just three
points.
And the CBO also
pointed out insurance companies would have been able to charge older people more for health care, and
estimated the impact on low - income senior citizens would be larger
than under the ACA.
While heaping plates of rehash were served up, Cahill did make the
point that in his estimation Hein has more
than enough in surplus stashed away to easily weather the
estimated $ 6 million hit the part - year loss of a percentage
point on the sales tax will cost the county.
«Our very first
estimates are for rings less massive
than we originally thought, which would indeed
point to a very young age,» says Linda Spilker, Cassini's project scientist at JPL.
In their commentary, the authors
point out that between 1990 and 2015, the prevalence of Parkinson's more
than doubled and it is
estimated that 6.9 million people across the globe have the disease.
Those who watched a demo video 20 times
estimated that they would score more
points than those who saw the video only once — this high - exposure group also predicted that they would be more likely to hit the bull's - eye and reported that they had learned more technique and improved more after watching the video.
Most people in South Florida, an
estimated 54 percent, think global warming is already harming people in the United States, also 6
points higher
than the national
estimate.
Three - quarters of those surveyed by phone correctly
estimated the number of calories they should consume daily, but this was true of less
than half of those surveyed at
point - of - purchase.
This is significantly older
than previous
estimates based on mtDNA, confirming recent observations from autosomal markers that brown and polar bears from a genetic
point of view represent highly distinct species.
«Our
estimates show that the growth in Chinese emissions has slowed a lot in the past two to three years, and is now much lower
than at any
point since the early 2000s,» said study lead author Jan Ivar Korsbakken, senior climate economics researcher at CICERO.
New
estimates released from the Office of the Actuary at the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) project that aggregate health care spending in the United States will grow at an average annual rate of 5.8 percent for 2012 - 22, or 1.0 percentage
point faster
than the expected growth in the gross domestic product (GDP).
Waters
pointed out that race cars and racetracks do more
than thrill an
estimated 90 million motorsport fans in the United States alone.
Cole Miller of the University of Maryland in College Park finds this reasoning convincing, but
points out that both groups of astronomers relied on particularly complex models to
estimate the temperature of a star from its brightness, rather
than measuring the temperature directly.
At any given
point, an
estimated 250,000 people with severe mental illness are in prisons and more
than a million on probation or parole in the U.S..
This means it has a more elongated orbit
than Sedna, another distant Pluto - sized object, whose closest approach is 76 AU and whose
estimated far
point reaches 937 AU.
The US Energy Information Administration
estimates that more
than 8 billion cubic metres of gas are lost each year somewhere between the
point of production and reaching homes across the nation.
[Angel Hsu et al, Development: Mobilize citizens to track sustainability] It's the same team who previously used satellite derived
estimates to
point out that New Delhi has smog as bad or worse
than Beijing.
While fracking has become a focal
point in conversations about methane emissions, it certainly appears from this and other studies that in the U.S., fossil fuel extraction activities across the board likely emit higher
than inventory
estimates.»
You must think in terms of ranges rather
than just
point estimates.