The sines are known to be connected with motions in the earth's core which manifest in ways other
than surface temperature fluctuations such as length of day.
Not exact matches
> We analyze and compare the monthly global land - sea
surface temperature datasets HADCRUT3 and HADCRUT4 for 1850 - 2010 by subtracting two analytically modeled components and demonstrating with a suitable low - pass filter that the residue contains no significant
fluctuations with periods longer
than the 22 - year Hale cycle.
Thus, the increase in the
surface temperature at sea level caused by doubling of the present - day CO2 concentration in the atmosphere will be less
than 0.01 °C, which is negligible in comparison with natural temporal
fluctuations of global
temperature.
It is evident from Figure 2.3 that globally averaged
temperature fluctuations associated with El Niño tend to be larger aloft
than at the
surface, and this behavior is well - simulated in numerical models.
http://www.agci.org/docs/lean.pdf «Global (and regional)
surface temperature fluctuations in the past 120 years reflect, as in the space era, a combination of solar, volcanic, ENSO, and anthropogenic influences, with relative contributions shown in Figure 6.22 The adopted solar brightness changes in this scenario are based on a solar
surface flux transport model; although long - term changes are «50 % larger
than the 11 - year irradiance cycle, they are significantly smaller
than the original estimates based on variations in Sun - like stars and geomagnetic activity.
Given the fact that internally the earth itself has large
temperature changes which melts the upper mantle and deep crust producing volcanic eruptions at the
surface, it is not difficult to see that the thermal energy involved and the mass of the earth itself, that the earth's own internal
temperature fluctuations might have bigger effect on the atmosphere's
temperature than the sun.
In his book Spencer contends that short - term
fluctuations in the energy balance and
surface temperature are consistent with a low climate sensitivity: «A careful examination of the satellite data suggests that manmade warming due to a doubling of atmospheric carbon dioxide could be less
than 1ºC — possibly much less.»