Sentences with phrase «than the baseline scenario»

We have to assess downside risks, and possibilities that some things might go better than the baseline scenario.

Not exact matches

He noted that the baseline scenario for tests in 2015 — which projected an economic contraction of 2.3 percent for that year — was more dramatic than the 1.3 percent contraction used in the most conservative scenario in the current tests.

In addition, the government debt stock and service remain vulnerable to stronger devaluations than Moody's baseline scenario.

As a result, we will be increasing the probability on our «Rise in global protectionism» scenario which delivers a more stagflationary [1] outcome for the world economy than the baseline forecast.

With the bank stress tests, the adverse scenario posited higher unemployment, lower residential housing prices, and lower real GDP than «baseline» estimates.

In its baseline New Policies Scenario, the IEA predicts that by 2040, total global generation capacity will increase by more than 60 %, and renewables will make up over 45 % of that total.

They estimate that the world would warm by 3.6 degrees Celsius (6.4 degrees Fahrenheit) by 2100 when compared with pre-industrial levels if Trump quits Paris, more than the 3.3 - degree baseline scenario.

The energy system reference cases used for future greenhouse gas (GHG) emission pathways in climate change research are a case in point: baseline emission scenarios commonly project levels of coal combustion many times higher than current reserve estimates by the year 2100.

Under a moderate emissions scenario (RCP4.5), where greenhouse gas concentrations in the atmosphere stabilise around the 2050s, ocean temperatures in the study area would be around 1.4 C warmer than a baseline period of the 2000s.

Therefore, rather than a single business - as - usual baseline, they have established a wide range of potential scenarios for how the world might develop.

Baseline scenarios (scenarios without explicit additional efforts to constrain emissions) exceed 450 parts per million (ppm) CO2eq by 2030 and reach CO2eq concentration levels between 750 and more than 1300 ppm CO2eq by 2100.

By 2100, the SRES range is 1.4 — 4 GtCO2 - eq per year (an increase of 300 % to more than 1000 % compared to 2000), whereas the new EMF - 21 baseline scenarios are higher still (1.9 — 6.3 GtCO2 - eq).