Re: Rob Wilson (# 54), Apologies in advance for my ignorance (I don't have academic paper access to read more than the abstract)... wasn't that research intended to demonstrate measurement of dates (of scarring events) rather
than climate signal represented by ringwidth patterns?
Moreover, changes in sensor performance or data - processing algorithms often introduce artificial noise that may be greater
than the climate signal.
Not exact matches
The business
climate index fell thirteen points to 7.7,
signaling that firms, on balance, regarded the business
climate as better
than normal, though to a lesser extent
than last month.
Rather
than improve the province's investment
climate, the government has
signalled to investors and entrepreneurs that B.C. is not hospitable to investment.
On
climate change, the researchers found that political identity was a more important
signal of where respondents stood
than their academic acumen or scientific sophistication.
«Scientists have paid a lot of attention to potential
climate change
signals in forests — like them growing faster
than expected due to an overabundance of carbon dioxide, or slower due to
climate change - induced extreme temperatures.
Yang Fuqiang, a senior adviser on energy, environment and
climate change at the Natural Resources Defense Council, agrees that in 2015, China's carbon dioxide emissions dropped for the first time,
signaling that the country's emissions peak may come earlier
than previously thought.
THE Paris
climate agreement, sealed last December, was a first in many respects: the first truly international
climate change deal, with promises from both rich and poor nations to cut emissions; the first global
signal that the age of fossil fuels must end; the first time world leaders said we should aim for less
than 2 °C of warming.
As such, teleconnections may mask the trend of a longer - term
climate signal or enhance the
signal making it appear stronger
than it is.
Global
climate change appears to be an example where a dissociation between the output of the analytic and the affective system results in less concern
than is advisable, with analytic consideration suggesting to most people that global warming is a serious concern, but the affective system failing to send an early warning
signal (Weber, 2006).
In this way, they in fact train their stochastic engine with significant (if not dominant) low frequency
climate signal rather
than purely non-climatic noise and its persistence.»
Specifically, he addressed a claim made by Will Happer, a Princeton professor, that no models demonstrate decadal variability in trends (which was not the case), and explored in depth the
signal to noise ratio in determining
climate trends much more comprehensively
than had been done previously.
«The
climate patterns responsible for the expected above - normal 2007 hurricane season continue to be the ongoing multi-decadal
signal (the set of oceanic and atmospheric conditions that have spawned increased Atlantic hurricane activity since 1995), warmer -
than - normal sea surface temperatures in key areas of the Atlantic Ocean and Caribbean Sea, and the El Nino / La Nina cycle»
Given that China has clearly
signaled it is more concerned about energy security
than climate stability, and given the Senate's longstanding insistence that China must move in concert with the United States, are you as hopeful as Mr. Sandalow?
Permit prices, since they would be more volatile over time
than a specified tax trajectory, would mask the critical long - term
signal that carbon will always be more expensive next year
than it is today; that is, unavoidable volatility in permit prices would raise the economic cost of any
climate target by clouding investment decisions with another source of uncertainty.
Some
climate denialists continue to try and argue that rather
than with a steady man - made warming
signal, the data are better fit with abrupt step changes caused by El Niño events, followed by flat periods.
I detest
climate studies that correlated what is happening in the NH directly to the SH, suggesting global effects, and especially ones that denote a
signal from short time spans, then correlating the span with global warming, rather
than global cooling.
The GW
climate signal is extremely low frequency, less
than a cycle per decade.
It's their shared apprehension that opposing positions on
climate change are, in effect, badges of membership in and loyalty to competing cultural groups; that is the cue or
signal that motivates members of the public to process information about
climate change risks in a manner that is more reliably geared to affirming the position that predominates in their group
than to converging on the best available evidence.
Leading WWF
Climate Savers companies signal they «mean business» ahead of Paris climate talks Nine of the world's leading companies are scaling up their climate commitments ahead of the UN climate negotiations starting in Paris in less than two
Climate Savers companies
signal they «mean business» ahead of Paris
climate talks Nine of the world's leading companies are scaling up their climate commitments ahead of the UN climate negotiations starting in Paris in less than two
climate talks Nine of the world's leading companies are scaling up their
climate commitments ahead of the UN climate negotiations starting in Paris in less than two
climate commitments ahead of the UN
climate negotiations starting in Paris in less than two
climate negotiations starting in Paris in less
than two weeks.
Focusing the study on «flood seasonality» — the timing of floods — rather
than more traditional measures, such as flood magnitude of frequency, is a more sensitive metric for detecting
climate signals in flooding patterns, says Slater:
As for desertification, «The unexpectedly rapid expansion of the tropical belt constitutes yet another
signal that
climate change is occurring sooner
than expected,» noted one
climate researcher in December.
These words
signal entry into libertarian fantasyland — nothing to do with
climate, not on topic, nothing to do with the practical politics of the matter (libertarians poll less
than 1 % in national elections.)
So what is left here appears to be an assertion that we can not predict the weather for more
than a couple of weeks at best, and that in the < 5 year time frame internally generated effects can swamp a longer term
climate signal.
My current reading is that the error bands are larger
than the claimed
signals, and so any one of several causes for
climate change could be predominant.
According to First
Climate CEO Sascha Lafeld, offsetting the emissions caused by the LEA sends an important
signal: «In Germany alone, we count more
than 30 million concert visits per year.
This is because physical and biological responses to changing temperatures are often better understood
than responses to other
climate parameters, and the anthropogenic
signal is easier to detect for temperature
than for other parameters.
Molly Walsh,
climate justice and energy campaigner at Friends of the Earth Europe, said: «The proposed renewables target represents barely more
than business - as - usual and will send a dangerous
signal to national governments that EU renewables policy is being abandoned.
The researches thus «urge extreme caution in attributing short - term trends (i.e. over many decades and longer) in US tropical cyclone losses to anthropogenic
climate change,» stating that «anthropogenic
climate change
signals are unlikely to emerge in US tropical cyclone losses on timescales of less
than a century under the projections examined here.»
is actually addressing the issue by a climatic angle And yes, while considering it in
climate terms, strangely enough, the 2014 ends up as colder
than any year during the LIA, with a far much higher climatic cooling
signal than any of those years then.
«train [ing] the stochastic engine with significant (if not dominant) low frequency
climate signal rather
than purely non-climatic noise and its persistence».
Bearing in mind their previous hubris about short - term cycles being manmade, their gross, unproven assumption about CO2 as a
climate driver and the fact that the
signal is far less
than the error bars in the noise then why would anyone think that the long - term trend is anything other
than just a separate upswinging natural cycle?
And they have made more
than 1,170 commitments to ambitious
climate action, sending a clear
signal to policy makers that business is implementing the Paris Agreement.
Wattts: If it were me, I'd throw out most of the the USHCN and co-op stations with problematic records rather
than try to salvage them with statistical fixes, and instead, try to locate the best stations with long records, no moves, and minimal site biases and use those as the basis for tracking the
climate signal.
Speaking from Montreal on Saturday, EU's
climate chief Miguel Arias Canete said in an interview that the U.S. had
signaled it wants to re-engage with the Paris Agreement from within, rather
than withdrawing from the pact outright and then attempting to renegotiate it.
If it were me, I'd throw out most of the the USHCN and co-op stations with problematic records rather
than try to salvage them with statistical fixes, and instead, try to locate the best stations with long records, no moves, and minimal site biases and use those as the basis for tracking the
climate signal.
Within these models, the tree ring chronology is nothing more
than an estimate not of a «
signal», but of the sequence of parameters: -LCB-
Climate (Year)-RCB-.
We must continue to improve our scientific understanding, particularly of the impacts of
climate change; we must implement policies such as raising the market price of carbon to provide incentives to households to alter their consumption so that they will have a low - carbon diet; we must also raise carbon prices to send a
signal to firms like ExxonMobil that their future lies in research, development, and production of low - carbon fuels; and we must devise mechanisms so that countries will join in a global effort rather
than one limited to northwest Europe.
According to Gerry Bell, Ph.D., NOAA's lead seasonal hurricane forecaster, the major
climate factors expected to influence this year's activity are the ongoing multi-decadal
signal, which produces wind and atmospheric pressure patterns favorable for hurricane formation, along with ongoing warmer -
than - normal sea surface temperatures.
The Natural
climate and Global Warming (GW)
signals are extremely low frequency, less
than a cycle per decade.
If one station is warming rapidly over a period of a decade a few kilometers from a number of stations that are cooling over the same period, the warming station is likely responding to localized effects (instrument changes, station moves, microsite changes, etc.) rather
than a real
climate signal.
The announcement comes less
than two weeks before UN-led
climate talks begin in Cancun, Mexico, and it
signals a growing willingness among sub-national entities such as states and cities to move on
climate change even as national governments and international negotiating bodies stall.
Given that half kilowatt, a doubling of CO2 (~ 4 W / m2) is less
than a 1 % change in total forcing... and in a huge system like the
climate, it will be hard to even extract a
signal that small, much less attribute it to anything.
Loutre and Berger (2002) suggest that Marine Isotope Stage 11 (MIS 11) from 405 to 340 ka would make a better analogue for future
climate than the Last Interglacial, due to it being a warmer interglacial period, but with an orbital insolation
signal that correlates closely with the recent past and future, giving a much better comparison of orbital forcing.
He says that the models used to calculate
climate changes are very inaccurate, and that «the noise from the models is bigger
than the
signal we are supposed to formulate policy from.»
Meanwhile, the Paris Agreement went into force on November 4th, far sooner
than anyone ever expected,
signaling a new era of international
climate action — but, just a few days later, the United States, the second - largest emitter in the world, elected a new president who has called global warming a hoax and pledged to withdraw the U.S. from the Paris Agreement as soon as possible.
However, observations show that during the last 1 million years, the strongest
climate signal is the 100,000 year cycle», and «Observations show
climate behaviour is much more intense
than the calculated variations», and»... No reason for this change has been established», etc..
The magnitude and inter-model range of simulated warming over high northern latitudes are very similar in the high - end and non-high-end models, which indicates that the biases among the models are larger
than the
climate change
signal.
There has been some controversy in the scientific community following publication of Snyder's research: several
climate scientists told National Geographic that they felt Snyder's estimate of future temperature rise, far higher
than many previous estimates, was an outlier,
signaling that her methods were faulty.
This is because imperfections in
climate models and observations are still obscurring the
climate change
signal in some places, even despite technical advances and a satellite record that spans over more
than 30 years.