Sentences with phrase «than the consensus prediction»

This is actually lower than the consensus prediction of 43.4 million units shipped by 2014.

Not exact matches

But nowcasts might offer a check on the work of Bay Street and Wall Street economists; Bartlett said research suggests nowcasting produces better predictions than calculating the consensus view of private - sector analysts.

These predictions may not come true, but they offer more value than the consensus from the bookmakers.

Even over the past ten years or so, we've seen the best scientific predictions proved wrong — global warming is getting much worse, much faster, than the consensus belief in 1999.

The effects of ice melt on ocean circulation were not included in the latest assessment by the United Nations» Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), meaning Hansen's predictions would occur much earlier and be less gradual than envisioned in the consensus reports of the IPCC.

Because the alleged IPCC «consensus» is so widely trusted, many climate scientists who haven't studied man - made global warming theory or the predictions of the computer models assume that they must be reliable merely «because the IPCC says so», rather than checking for themselves.

He accuses the NYT of playing down the seriousness of global warming by ignoring: «the substantial number of climate scientists who believe that the consensus predictions are much too optimistic, including some of the leading scientists right here [at MIT] who have recently run what they call the most extensive modelling ever done and concluded that it's far worse than anticipated and that their own results are an understatement...» That would be the MIT Climate Research group financed by Exxon, Shell, BP and Total.

TSI is increasing and the ENSO appears to be moving back towards a push in extra heating; but that's more of an educated guess than a strong consensus supported prediction.

DAGW «consensus» believers apparently do not like your analyses, because they are based on actual observations of past climate trends rather than on model predictions of future climate changes, which myopically fixate on the human - induced aspect only.

BMA is a statistical procedure that infers consensus predictions by weighing individual predictions based on their probabilistic likelihood measures, with the better performing predictions receiving higher weights than the worse performing ones.

b) Solar Cycle 24 Panel consensus high (red curve) and low (orange curve) predictions, with the final sunspot number being lower than both.

I can try to formalize the idea that model consensus is generally more reliable than individual predictions.

Overall, the synopsis emphasized the positive effects of climate change over the negative, the uncertainty surrounding predictions of future change rather than the emerging consensus and the low end of harmful impact estimates rather than the high end.