It's nearly five inches shorter
than the historical average for the position.
His 9» 1 broad jump was 10» shorter
than the historical average for running backs.
Not exact matches
For example, a portfolio that starts out strong in retirement and has losses later will likely be in much better shape
than one that has down years early, even if strong performance in later years brings its
average return back in line with
historical averages.
World growth will remain low on
average but negative in the UK and Europe; price inflation will remain sufficiently subdued
for a while longer so as to impose no constraint on monetary expansion; central banks will sustain a regime of negative real interest rates and rapid monetary expansion; the risk of a eurozone collapse is off the table
for now; finally, stock markets should continue to perform better
than expected, even though the four - year old cyclical bull market is long by
historical standards.
The favorable market performance associated with many
historical economic expansions is fully accounted
for by 1) favorable post-recession valuations, with the S&P 500
averaging less
than 9 times prior peak earnings at the recession low, expanding to just over 11 times peak earnings in the first year of the bull market, and 2) favorable trend uniformity, which typically emerges almost immediately in the form of a powerful breadth thrust off of a bear market low, and is confirmed within a few weeks by much broader trend uniformity.
We simulate failure rates if today's bond rates return to their
historical average after either 5 or 10 years and find that failure rates are much higher (18 % and 32 %, respectively
for a 50 % stock allocation)
than many retirees may be willing to accept.
When the sentiment index is more
than one standard deviation above (below) its
historical average, monthly returns
average -0.34 % (+1.18 %)
for the value - weighted market and -0.41 % (2.75 %) percentage points
for the equal - weighted market.
While there's a great deal of variation across individual market cycles, that's roughly the
historical average for a 5.25 year market cycle: a 135 % gain, a 30 % loss, and a 65 % full - cycle return (about 10 % compounded annually, with the full - cycle return coming in at less
than half of the bull market gain).
In January, Deutsche Bank's top economists offered an even more alarming figure, saying that, relative to
historical averages, houses are selling
for 60 per cent more
than they're worth — the highest overvaluation in the world.
While spreads between yields on highly - rated corporate bonds and government bonds have remained above their
historical averages, this continues to reflect strong demand
for Commonwealth Government bonds rather
than concerns about corporate credit quality.
One can relate this directly to a 10 - year prospective return by recalling that
historical tendency
for market cycles to establish normal prospective returns — if even briefly as in 2009 — at their troughs (and it's typical
for troughs to reach below
average valuations and much higher prospective returns
than the 10 %
historical norm).
The ultimate defensive aim of the team is to concede less goals across an entire season, with
historical averages correlating a «goals conceded» tally of less
than thirty to achieve Champion's League qualification in the English Premier League and to challenge
for the title.
DePreSys's predictions
for 10 years on from the date of the
historical data were on
average only 19 per cent more or less
than the actual numbers (Nature Geoscience, DOI: 10.1038 / ngeo1004).
Unlike previous Pliocene models, this «no ice» version returned temperatures 18 to 27 F warmer
than today's
average annual temperatures
for the Canadian Arctic and Greenland, coming closer to what the
historical data pulled from the ground said.
August was 0.9 °F warmer
than the 20th century
average for the CONUS and ranked in the warmest third of the
historical record.
Nearly all of Eurasia, Africa, and the remainder of South America were much warmer
than average, or within the top 10 percent of their
historical records
for their regions, according to the Land & Ocean Temperature Percentiles map above.
From this perspective, grains probably never accounted
for more
than 1 - 3 % of our
historical calorie intake... and as you know from one of my recent articles, currently our modern processed diet that the
average person eats consists of 67 % of total calories from grains such as corn, soy, and wheat and their derivatives... now THAT»S a shocking revelation in why our entire food supply is backwards, and how that affects your waistline!
The
historical evidence here is ambiguous; since 1991, the
average return
for the S&P 500 has been higher in months when interest rates rose
than in months when rates fell.
Interest rates rise much higher
than their
historical average and reach previous highs (this would be a worse case scenario
for variable rate student loan borrowers)
For instance, the blue dot on the value factor scatterplot suggests that prior to March 2016 the valuation level of 0.14 — meaning the value portfolio was 14 % as expensive as the growth portfolio measured by price - to - book ratio, and lower
than the
historical norm of 21 % relative valuation — would have delivered an
average annualized alpha of 8.1 % over the next five years.
To sum up, although it's pretty clear we should expect lower
than historical average returns
for stocks, there is little evidence
for a strong downward force on stock returns due to expected interest rate increases that is anything like the bond situation.
If a business is trading
for lower
than its
historical average price - to - earnings ratio, it is likely trading at fair value or better.
A quick way to tell if a stock is worthy of further research is to determine if it is trading
for less
than its
historical average price - to - earnings ratio.
A thirty year mortgage is a great thing at these rates (I wish I could get a 50 year mortgage), especially if inflation returns to its
historical averages of 3 — 4 % or higher, and if you can invest the difference between the monthly payments
for the 15 and 30 year mortgage and earn more
than 3.88 % on that money you will be much better off
than if you'd gotten a 15 year mortgage.
For example, a portfolio that starts out strong in retirement and has losses later will likely be in much better shape
than one that has down years early, even if strong performance in later years brings its
average return back in line with
historical averages.
Thus if one plots all the minima of the different
historical measurements, that gives a better impression of the real «background» CO2 level
than the
averages: see The same
for ocean data and coastal data: all are around the ice core level.
As the chart reveals, today's per century trends are dominated by cooling
for the different time periods; today's trends are multiple times below prior period,
historical highs; the 5, 8 and 10 - year trends are definitely below the
average modern trend (1950 through 2013); and all the trends are significantly less
than those reached 15 years ago (see black dotted lines
for year - end 1998 trend levels).
The study also looked at «long» fire seasons, defined as any season more
than one standard deviation longer
than the
historical average season
for that area.
org, US reductions need to be much greater
than average reduction levels required of the entire world as a matter of equity because the United States emissions are among the world's highest in terms of per capita and
historical emissions and there is precious little atmospheric space remaining
for additional ghg emissions if the world is serious about avoiding dangerous climate change.
However, this does represent a lower rate of increase
than the
historical average — China's
average annual growth rate
for coal consumption from 2000 to 2013 was 8.8 percent.
[2] The
Historical simulations have an
average temperature anomaly of 0.84 °C
for 1996 — 2005 relative to 1850, whereas HadCRUT4v4 shows an increase of 0.73 °C from 1850 — 1859 to 1996 — 2005, and Figure 7 of Miller et al. 2014 shows consistently greater warming
for GISS - E2 - R
than per GISTEMP since 2000.
NAR expects the rate on a 30 - year fixed rate mortgage to
average 6.5 percent in 2006, about one percentage point higher
than in 2003 and 2004, but not much above the expected
average for 2005 of 5.9 percent — all extremely low by
historical standards.
Even through property prices are very high — and cap rates are very low — by
historical standards,
average cap rates are still significantly higher
than the interest rates available
for financing.
I would argue that the first - time buyer share is lower
than historical averages because access to mortgage credit is particularly tight
for younger buyers.
So the forecast
for the Salem, Oregon housing market is still higher
than historical averages.