Sentences with phrase «than the long term historical»

Currently, there is clear evidence that future expectations should be significantly lower than the long term historical averages.

Not exact matches

Every defense of current P / E ratios must assume either a higher long - term growth rate than is evident from historical data, or it must assume that investors are willing to hold stocks for a long - term return of substantially less than 10 %.

For equity investors who focused on their longer - term asset allocations instead of panicking, the roller - coaster ride in equities is now probably little more than historical noise.

This leaves roughly 1.4 % of historical long - term returns which can be attributed to past expansion in the Price / Earnings multiple (i.e. over the past 50 years, prices have grown somewhat faster than the 5.7 % average rate of earnings growth).

Rather than using complex computer models to estimate the effects of greenhouse - gas emissions, Lovejoy examines historical data to assess the competing hypothesis: that warming over the past century is due to natural long - term variations in temperature.

Or even better, «stories could place long - term growth in historical perspective, telling voters whether it was better or worse than average.»

Since 1996, the US CAPE ratio has been above its long - term simple average (16.6) 96 % of the time, and above 24, roughly one standard deviation above its historical norm, more than two - thirds of the time.

From the table above, we are able to see that the long - term historical duration estimate correctly projected the direction of the period return; but in all three time periods, the actual return was of greater magnitude than the expected return.

This leaves roughly 1.4 % of historical long - term returns which can be attributed to past expansion in the Price / Earnings multiple (i.e. over the past 50 years, prices have grown somewhat faster than the 5.7 % average rate of earnings growth).

There's 140 years of historical data showing that those who purchase the U.S. Total Stock Market Index using research - based strategies obtain FAR higher long - term return at GREATLY reduced risk than do those following pure Get Rich Quick strategies.

From what I see from the Global Historical Climatology Network (GHCN) of land temperatures and the Comprehensive Ocean - Atmosphere Data Set (COADS) of SST data, temperatures there were higher around the 1930's than now, and there is not much long term warming trend, except for the past few years.

When I say historical long - term predictions, I am talking about predictions hopeully for more than one climate cycle.

In terms of longer timescales (decadal to century), once the focus becomes regional rather than global, historical and paleo data becomes more useful than global climate model simulations (no matter what type of «right - scaling» methods are attempted).

This demonstrates that the long - term historical record, rather than events in a single year, is much more important for understanding what is happening.

The comment to Table 2 notes: «In general, these historical gauges were designed to monitor the sea level variability caused by El Niño and shorter - term oceanic fluctuations rather than long - term sea level change, for which a high level of precision and datum control is required.»

The Ca properties will likely make more over the short term and even perhaps over the long term, but their price volatility is much higher than the Midwest properties and the annual cash flow much more modest based either FMV or historical cost.