In fact, by the end of the 20th century, some are as much as 0.3 degrees cooler
than the surface temperature record.
John Christy and Roy Spencer of the University of Alabama published a series of papers starting about 1990 that implied the troposphere was warming at a much slower rate
than the surface temperature record and climate models indicated Spencer and Christy (1992).
In fact, by the end of the 20th century, some are as much as 0.3 degrees cooler
than the surface temperature record.
But there is a further argument that there are other indications of warming other
than the surface temperature record and these have continued to show that the earth is warming.
Jones was referring to the cooling shown by tree ring proxies after the 1960s, rather
than the surface temperature record.
Not exact matches
Studies of historical
records in India suggest that reduced monsoon rainfall in central India has occurred when the sea
surface temperatures in specific regions of the Pacific Ocean were warmer
than normal.
With
records dating back to 1880, the global
temperature across the world's land and ocean
surfaces for August 2014 was 0.75 °C (1.35 °F) higher
than the 20th century average of 15.6 °C (60.1 °F).
«The World Meteorological Organization (WMO) said global land
surface temperatures in January and April were likely the warmest since
records began in 1880, at more
than 1 degree Celsius higher
than average for those months.
The annually - averaged
temperature for ocean
surfaces around the world was 0.74 °C (1.33 °F) higher
than the 20th century average, easily breaking the previous
record of 2014 by 0.11 °C (0.20 °F).
The warmth was due to the near -
record strong El Niño that developed during the Northern Hemisphere spring in the eastern and central equatorial Pacific Ocean and to large regions of
record warm and much warmer -
than - average sea
surface temperatures in parts of every major ocean basin.
In August global sea
surface temperatures reached
record levels — the average
temperature was 1.17 degrees Fahrenheit higher
than the 20th century average.
Most of Earth's land
surfaces were warmer
than average or much warmer
than average, according to the Land & Ocean
Temperature Percentiles map above, with
record warmth notable across most of equatorial and northeastern South America and parts of southeastern Asia.
Much warmer -
than - average
temperatures engulfed most of the world's oceans during June 2016, with
record high sea
surface temperatures across parts of the central and southwest Pacific Ocean, northwestern and southwestern Atlantic Ocean, and across parts of the northeastern Indian Ocean.
It is more striking for Ocean Heat Content which so far you have avoided, despite it being a considerably less noisy
record than surface temperature.
«The World Meteorological Organization (WMO) said global land
surface temperatures in January and April were likely the warmest since
records began in 1880, at more
than 1 degree Celsius higher
than average for those months.
Jacob (and many, many others) seem to think that if model A, when run from 1900 to present, predicts the relatively flat, global average
surface temperature record over the past decade, is a better match to reality
than model B which does not.
More
than 95 % of the 5 yr running mean of the
surface temperature change since 1850 can be replicated by an integration of the sunspot data (as a proxy for ocean heat content), departing from the average value over the period of the sunspot
record (~ 40SSN), plus the superimposition of a ~ 60 yr sinusoid representing the observed oceanic oscillations.
Large variability reduces the number of new
records — which is why the satellite series of global mean
temperature have fewer expected
records than the
surface data, despite showing practically the same global warming trend: they have more short - term variability.
The idea that the MSU
record somehow provides more accurate or reliable
temperature trends
than surface measurements with thermometers, sometimes promoted by «climate skeptics», is scientifically untenable.
The advantage of the ocean heat content changes for detecting climate changes is that there is less noise
than in the
surface temperature record due to the weather that affects the atmospheric measurements, but that has much less impact below the ocean mixed layer.
Combined climate / ice sheet model estimates in which the Greenland
surface temperature was as high during the Eemian as indicated by the NEEM ice core
record suggest that loss of less
than about 1 m sea level equivalent is very unlikely (e.g. Robinson et al. (2011).
An ominous sign considering that El Nino is the hot phase of atmospheric and
surface temperature variability — which may mean that the next El Nino will drive a global high
temperature departure even more extreme
than 2014's
record setting value.
European researchers, under the Copernicus Climate Service, using a slightly different method of analysing the
surface temperature data
than Nasa, also found that February 2016 was by far the warmest month on
record.
We have some questionable «post modern» science built on shaky foundations that assumes we have a much greater knowledge of the historic
record than we do, or assumes that the historic
record - such as sea
surface temperatures to 1850 - are a rock solid piece of science from which an edifice can be constructed.
But the IPCC said the longer term trends were clear: «Each of the last three decades has been successively warmer at the Earth's
surface than any preceding decade since 1850 in the northern hemisphere [the earliest date for reliable
temperature records for the whole hemisphere].»
Because hurricane caused flooding was more prevalent during the Little Ice Age when Atlantic
temperatures averaged 1 to 2 degrees F colder
than today researchers concluded, «The frequent occurrence of major hurricanes in the western Long Island
record suggests that other climate phenomena, such as atmospheric circulation, may have been favorable for intense hurricane development despite lower sea
surface temperatures.»
«Sea
surface temperatures off the coast of New England right now are at
record levels, 11.5 C (21F) warmer
than normal in some locations,» says Penn State climate researcher Michael Mann.
If we wanted accurate climate information, we would be better off getting our data out of old newspaper and scientific articles,
than depending on GISS and other manipulated
surface temperature records.
«Examination of a 140 - year
record of observed and modeled
temperature data revealed strong correlation between the two indices until the 1930s, after which the
surface temperature trend increased much more
than that of ngLOD.
Going forwards CO2 forcing is several times larger
than the LIA solar forcing which was itself measurable in the
surface temperature record, so we expect CO2 forcing to be measurable for sure, and yes, it will be accompanied by some effects of changing clouds too, but we don't know which direction they would push it.
«In the North Atlantic region, where tropical cyclone
records are longer and generally of better quality
than elsewhere, power dissipation by tropical cyclones is highly correlated with sea
surface temperature during hurricane season in the regions where storms typically develop»
It led to a climate science site (may have been NOAA I forget exactly) where some scientist had given his opinion that «generally I expect the
surface temperature record to be more accurate
than the satellite».
There is no straightforward connection between hurricane strength and sea
surface temperatures (Swanson, 2008) and when we look at past
records, hurricanes vary much more coherently with natural climate oscillations
than with increasing greenhouse gasses (Chylek and Lesins, 2008).
As Zeke Hausfather has noted, the land
temperature adjustments in the early
record are smaller
than and in the opposite direction to the sea
surface temperature adjustments.
Based on proxy
records from ice, terrestrial and marine archives, the LIG is characterized by an atmospheric CO2 concentration of about 290 ppm, i.e., similar to the pre-industrial (PI) value13, mean air
temperatures in Northeast Siberia that were about 9 °C higher
than today14, air
temperatures above the Greenland NEEM ice core site of about 8 ± 4 °C above the mean of the past millennium15, North Atlantic sea -
surface temperatures of about 2 °C higher
than the modern (PI)
temperatures12, 16, and a global sea level 5 — 9 m above the present sea level17.
It's also worth noting that according to the instrumental
temperature record, average
surface temperatures for 1982 — 2012 have been about 0.2 °C hotter
than the 1970 — 2000 average.
The original Escalator was based on the Berkeley Earth
Surface Temperature (BEST) data, which incorporates more temperature station data than any other data set, but is limited to land - only data; additionally the record terminates in
Temperature (BEST) data, which incorporates more
temperature station data than any other data set, but is limited to land - only data; additionally the record terminates in
temperature station data
than any other data set, but is limited to land - only data; additionally the
record terminates in early 2010.
The National Climatic Data Center (NCDC), which is part of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), has maintained global average monthly and annual
records of combined land and ocean
surface temperatures for more
than 130 years.
So, yeah, «the broader issue of attribution» does indeed lie at the heart of my personal rationally skeptical concern much more so
than the accuracy of the
surface temperature record.
The El Niño peak in 1998 and La Niña trough in 2008 in particular are much more evident in the satellite data sets
than in the
surface temperature record.
The
records are short, and subject to greater uncertainties
than the
surface temperature data.»
The Paleoclimatologic
record suggests that when the sudden changes involve
temperature, they are more probable during ice ages — i.e., intervals when the
surface was covered with more snow and ice capable of mediating strong feedbacks
than during interglacials.
independence of both the measurement errors and the uncertainties in satellite, radiosonde, and
surface - based
temperature records, which lends greater confidence to an assessment based on all three measurement categories
than to an assessment based on any one of them in isolation.
This is achieved through the study of three independent
records, the net heat flux into the oceans over 5 decades, the sea - level change rate based on tide gauge
records over the 20th century, and the sea -
surface temperature variations... We find that the total radiative forcing associated with solar cycles variations is about 5 to 7 times larger
than just those associated with the TSI variations, thus implying the necessary existence of an amplification mechanism, although without pointing to which one.
I found that when LOD data is added to integrated sunspot numbers departing from the long term average, a curve can be produced which matches the sea
surface temperature record from 1850 significantly better
than the co2 curve does.
The strong influence of natural variability on
surface air
temperatures is the reason that climate researchers regularly point out that any
record shorter
than around 20 - 30 years is not useful for detecting long - term trends associated with anthropogenic warming.
The satellite temps are more sensitive (higher swings) to ENSO and yearly variation
than the
surface temperatures, and the 5 - year average for 1982 (1979 - 1984) is one of the highest peaks above trend for the UAH
record.
Correct me if I am wrong, but the procedures of collecting and processing the satellite data to create a
temperature record are extremely complicated, much more so
than in the case of the
surface record, and both satellite
records underwent more
than one revision already, all of those revisions increasing substantially the trend.
I agree, the
surface temperature record (s)(from 1880 to present) is / are a heterogeneous mess simply because said origin of said
records were never meant to be anything other
than what they are,.....
The single highest land
surface temperature (LST)
recorded in any year, in any region, occurred there in 2005, when MODIS
recorded a
temperature of 70.7 °C (159.3 °F)- more
than 12 °C (22 °F) warmer
than the official air
temperature record from Libya.