Current rates of warming could be amplified by release of an estimated 130 - 160 billion tons of carbon from
thawing permafrost during this century.
Controlling greenhouse gas emissions in the coming decades could substantially reduce the consequences of carbon releases from
thawing permafrost during the next 300 years, according to a new paper published this week in the Proceedings of National Academy of Sciences.
Not exact matches
The project, led by UAF researcher Katey Walter Anthony, studied lakes in Alaska, Canada, Sweden and Siberia where
permafrost thaw surrounding lakes led to lake shoreline expansion
during the past 60 years.
During the new study the scientists replicated the conditions of a freezing environment in the Permafrost Laboratory at the University of Sussex and monitored the freeze - thaw of six hard and soft limestone blocks during an experiment that simulated 27 years of natural freezing and th
During the new study the scientists replicated the conditions of a freezing environment in the
Permafrost Laboratory at the University of Sussex and monitored the freeze -
thaw of six hard and soft limestone blocks
during an experiment that simulated 27 years of natural freezing and th
during an experiment that simulated 27 years of natural freezing and
thawing.
«This work provides the first demonstration of this combination of omics tools to gain a more mechanistic understanding of life in
permafrost and the changes that occur
during natural
thaw,» said Jansson.
According to Dr. Natali, «Our results show that while
permafrost degradation increased carbon uptake
during the growing season, in line with decadal trends of «greening» tundra, warming and
permafrost thaw also enhanced winter respiration, which doubled annual carbon losses.»
The
permafrost scientists predict that over the next three decades a total of about 45 billion metric tons of carbon from methane and carbon dioxide will seep into the atmosphere when
permafrost thaws during summers.
The nutrient - poor boreal forest decays as the
permafrost thaws and is replaced by the rich grasslands that were maintained by mammoths
during the Pleistocene.
By using dual radioactive tracers with differing lifetimes, Wilson et al. [2017] found short term increases in CH4 and CO2 release
during periods of
thaw in a discontinuous
permafrost were generally offset by long - term accumulation of peat in the ensuing millennia, leading the regions to continue to be net carbon sinks with negative atmospheric radiative forcing, given the long life - time of atmospheric CO2.
Though the current outbreak is happening
during an unusual period of extreme warmth, Romanovsky says that, «if it gets warmer in the future, and it seems like it will, the
thawing permafrost could be massive.»
That water could warm up
during the summer months because the area is ice - free now already, and this will give you positive temperatures on the seabed which will start to
thaw out the seabed
permafrost which has been sitting there frozen since the last Ice Age.
Even though carbon uptake
during the growing season increased in recent years, observations show annual net losses of carbon to the atmosphere — as Arctic soils
thaw, a vast reservoir of carbon locked up in the
permafrost can be released to the atmosphere as greenhouse gases.
Although recent models predict that a small net accumulation of carbon will occur in Arctic tundra
during the present century (low confidence), higher methane emissions responding to the
thawing of
permafrost and an overall increase in wetlands will enhance radiative forcing (medium confidence).
Such temperatures begin to threaten key climate impacts like
permafrost thaw, 3 - 4 meters of sea - level rise from West Antarctic Ice Sheet melt, risk of up to 80 percent mountain glacier loss, complete Arctic sea ice loss
during summer, and 6 - 7 meters of sea level rise from Greenland melt.
On average, lakes have decreased in area in the last 50 years in the southern two - thirds of Alaska, 102,103,87,88 due to a combination of
permafrost thaw, greater evaporation in a warmer climate, and increased soil organic accumulation
during a longer season for plant growth.
Salmon VG, Soucy P, Mauritz M, Celis G, Natali SM, Mack MC, Schuur EAG (2016) Nitrogen availability increases in a tundra ecosystem
during five years of experimental
permafrost thaw.
What the authors found is that all three sites — selected for minimal, moderate, and extensive
thawing of the
permafrost — absorbed carbon
during the Arctic summer and emitted carbon
during the Arctic winter.
On land,
permafrost is overlain by a surface «active layer», which
thaws during summer and forms part of the tundra ecosystem.
Given enough oxygen, decomposition of organic matter in soil is accompanied by the release of heat by microbes (similar to compost), which,
during summer, might stimulate further
permafrost thaw.
Yes, large releases of methane from
thawing permafrost and undersea deposits could hasten global warming
during a relatively short period — like, say, for example, the next five to ten years.