They then average the projections of all 100 + experts into a single number.
Not exact matches
Projections issued after the Australia 2020 Summit in 2008 saw the age of the
average Australian farmer peaking in 2011 at just under 55 years, and
then gradually declining past 2030.
Combining the asylum - application data with
projections of future warming, the researchers found that an increase of
average global temperatures of 1.8 °C — an optimistic scenario in which carbon emissions flatten globally in the next few decades and
then decline — would increase applications by 28 percent by 2100, translating into 98,000 extra applications to the EU each year.
The model produces different jobs and growth
projections for a business - as - usual scenario with no technology breakthroughs or major new policies, and
then generates different outcomes by factoring in new policies such as a national clean energy standards such as proposed by President Obama; increases in corporate
average fuel economy standards; tougher environmental controls on coal - fired power generators; extended investment and production tax credits for clean energy sources and an expanded federal energy loan guarantee program.
When this model was
then applied to the future, they found that in a world of continuing high greenhouse gas emissions, the threshold for widespread drought - induced vascular damage would be crossed and initiate widespread tree deaths on
average across climate model
projections in the 2050s.
(If your data isn't representative, i.e. close to what happened on
average,
then your
projection will be way off.
Wexboy, Reference your 30th Sept current summary in KR1, From my point of view I am in awe of your 2 % holding in KR1, The figures are very compelling and staggering in forward potential, I might have this
projection all wrong but here goes, As of today 22/10/17 we have an sp of 7p, quoting your
average roi on holdings within the table we have x 15 within the last 7 months giving us a current book to value of x 3.5 = sp 24.5 p, Should we assume another x 15 (I appreciate the x 15 was on the back of Ethereum, s metaphoric rise and other crypto, s tracking) over the next 12 months and and sp follows suit to say 100p,
THEN we factor in a us listing and as you state the us markets award much higher book value with the average p / b in the blockchain cc sector of x 20, Then we are looking at (without dilution) in 12 months - = MC of # 2 BILLION = # 20 SP AS you state in your summary the figures are staggering so is the ablove a realistic projected mc based on the last 7 months growth and returns on investments made in CC ICO
THEN we factor in a us listing and as you state the us markets award much higher book value with the
average p / b in the blockchain cc sector of x 20,
Then we are looking at (without dilution) in 12 months - = MC of # 2 BILLION = # 20 SP AS you state in your summary the figures are staggering so is the ablove a realistic projected mc based on the last 7 months growth and returns on investments made in CC ICO
Then we are looking at (without dilution) in 12 months - = MC of # 2 BILLION = # 20 SP AS you state in your summary the figures are staggering so is the ablove a realistic projected mc based on the last 7 months growth and returns on investments made in CC ICO, s?
But, he also says: «teams offering
projections say ice extent will remain well below the
average for the last quarter century and a downward trend in summer ice around the North Pole has not abated,» and we readers are
then linked to his October, 2007 article and an August, 2007 image of a «warmed over» Artic.
Then, having established this passepartout, the projections are then mooshed, averaged, selectively grouped, and treated as predictions — on which great and weighty decisions can be ba
Then, having established this passepartout, the
projections are
then mooshed, averaged, selectively grouped, and treated as predictions — on which great and weighty decisions can be ba
then mooshed,
averaged, selectively grouped, and treated as predictions — on which great and weighty decisions can be based.
Then they have the audacity to provide a range of
projections that go in opposite directions and
average to....
And that this is reflected in individual model runs but as the timing of events such as El Nino / La Nina, volcanic eruptions etc. is unpredictable when
projections are made based on ensemble runs
then they will tend to
average out and the
projection will show a fairly steady trend.
let's take this to an extreme... suppose that internal variability is zero...
then the «within group» s.d. is zero... suppose that models agree pretty well with each other and observations fall within the tight band of model
projections...
then by steve's method you create the
average of models and call it a model... with an s.d. of zero... show that the model falls outside the observational s.d.... proclaim that the model fails... claim that this is a test of modelling... hence extrapolate that all models fail... even though observations fall slap bang in the model range... this result is nonsensical... per tco it isn't how models are used... where's structural uncertainty?
The gridded
projections were aggregated to regional estimates by first transforming the daily min,
average, or maximum temperature at the grid scale,
then aggregating to regions using a weighted
average.