If Mann's study is invalid, (not an unreasonable assumption),
then our current warming began at the bottom of the LIA, around 1680.
Peer reviewed literature supports the three most recent warming periods in the last 10,000 years as being as warm or warmer
then the current warm period The NH and global drop in T from the late 1940s to 1979 or so was a well established part of the record.
Not exact matches
But so long as we have to choose between one or the other when playing big games, and as long as that means the PL's top scorer has to
warm the bench,
then I will continue to think there's something» not right» about our
current squad.
These ladies don't seem to be aware of the
current SIDS guidelines stating as long as your babies head and face are uncovered and you are using cotton or bamboo bedding
then it is perfectly safe to layer up the amount of these blankets to keep your baby
warm.
However, if you're looking for bargains and packs of leggings,
then check out Carter's
current sale on all things leggings and leg
warmers!
To retrofit the magnets, engineers will have to
warm one or two of the accelerator's eight segments from its
current 1.9 kelvins, install the rods and
then cool the segments down again.
If you decouple that ice from where it's grounded — something that
currents of
warming water, already circulating around the Antarctic coast, could do —
then water could flow beneath the inland ice and lubricate its slide into the ocean.
As they report in a paper published July 16 in
Current Biology, the minute insects employ a razor - sharp sense of smell to tip them off that a
warm - blooded meal is nearby, and
then use vision and other senses to home in on the feast.
That CO2
then warmed the globe, melting back the continental ice sheets and ushering in the
current climate that enabled humanity to thrive.
The swirling dislodged particles travel upward with the human convection plume, or
currents of
warmed air that rise around any human body,
then get swept into a filter that takes out contaminants like dust, lint, and skin cells.
We
then examine climate impacts during the past few decades of global
warming and in paleoclimate records including the Eemian period, concluding that there are already clear indications of undesirable impacts at the
current level of
warming and that 2 °C
warming would have major deleterious consequences.
My
current HIIT session consists on a 5 min walk to
warm up,
then about 15 - 20 minutes of sprinting 30secs on at 15.5 -16 kmph and
then rest for 30 sec.
The Approach has obligingly extended its wonderful Bill Lynch exhibition to 1 March so you can catch that, have a pub lunch downstairs with a glass of something to
warm the cockles,
then head over to Herald Street to see Laura Bartlett's
current show.
but even if the
current tooo - short - to - call cooling trend reverses, and it is proved that co2 MIGHT have some limited effect on planetary
warming,
then the question is, how much
warming?
Is it not the case that if the relative lack of El Niño's and predominance of La Nina's is in fact due to global
warming, rather than natural variability,
then the
current increase in the rate of
warming of the ocean below 700m may continue.
If we knew ocean heat uptake as well as we know atmospheric temperature change,
then we could pin down fairly well the radiative imbalance at the top of the atmosphere, which would give us a fair indication of how much
warming is «in the pipeline» given
current greenhouse gas concentrations.
Bern: «And even
then, I'd only consider calling Dr Hansen a «charlatan» if he stuck with his
current predictions of imminent strong
warming and never once changed his opinion, despite evidence to the contrary.»
Thus doubling the solar wind velocity [which is what happens during these solar wind peaks of 500 - 1000 km / s and more increases the dynamic pressure pulse four fold, increases the electrical field - aligned
currents, which
then increases ionospheric Joule heating which contribute to global
warming.
[Response: Hansen's argument for 350 is that it would stop the Earth from
warming further — he calculates the committed
warming at our
current 390 or whatever it is,
then dials down CO2 until the climate stays as is with no further committed
warming.
However, if either A we are simply dead wrong about the impact of GHGs and / or B we are missing the forest (solar / astronimical and tectonic things) for the trees (gas mixture things) and the actual future, among the several possible futures, turns out to be one of cooling — possibly the outright end of the
current interglacial,
then all those people wound up to believe in a
warm future are going to be cold, hungry and out for blood.
The Solomon Committee report amplifies this conclusion when it confirms that we observe, in any year, only 50 % of the
warming to which we have committed the planet by allowing atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases to rise to the
then current level.
If there was more natural variation in the past millenia, specifically due to solar changes,
then that goes at the cost of the GHG / aerosol combination, as both are near impossible to distinguish from each other in the
warming of the last halve century... Solar activity has never been as high, and for an as long period, as
current in the past millenium (and even the past 8,000 years).
«If
current policy continues to fail — along the lines of the «agree and ignore» scenario —
then 50 % to 80 % of all species on earth could be driven to extinction by the magnitude and rapidity of
warming, and much of the planet's surface left uninhabitable to humans.
If it shows a fraction of the
current warming, well,
then that is interesting too.
The risks need to be assessed and
then there needs to be dialogue among nations to determine which is the greater risk (Global
Warming is right or Global
Warming is wrong) before jumping to solutions.Cuuerntly the noise generated by the
current polarized debate (see many comments above) obscures the evaluation of risks associated with both sides of the issue.
The
current climate
warming commenced about the year 1800 and has progressed nearly linearly since
then.
Important factors in the
current anthropogenic
warming episode is that the
warming in ecological terms is substantial faster
then other known episodes and temperatures could be higher
then they have been in millions of years.
Once we have used real observations to understand the probability in the historical record,
then we can use climate models to compare the probability in the
current climate (in which global
warming has occurred) with a climate in which there was no human - caused global
warming.
Andy, I found the plankton post informative, but I have a concern: IF public understanding of global
warming (and potential ways to address it) were at the «A» level, or at least the «B» level,
then we'd all have context within which to find these types of things (e.g., the
current story) very helpful.
Should the ice sheet start to melt in a serious way (i.e. much more significantly than
current indications suggest),
then lowering of the elevation of the ice sheet will induce more melting simply because of the effect of the lapse rate (air being
warmer closer to sea level due to pressure effects).
But as cogently interpreted by the physicist and climate expert Dr. Joseph Romm of the liberal Center for American Progress, «Latif has NOT predicted a cooling trend — or a «decades - long deep freeze» — but rather a short - time span where human - caused
warming might be partly offset by ocean cycles, staying at
current record levels, but
then followed by «accelerated»
warming where you catch up to the long - term human - caused trend.
The ocean
currents carry this sunlight -
warmed water to the west and
then poleward.
Kevin Hamilton, who co-authored the report, warns: «If our model results prove to be representative of the real global climate,
then climate is actually more sensitive to perturbations by greenhouse gases than
current global models predict, and even the highest
warming predictions would underestimate the real change we could see.»
The mid-century suspension of
warming could
then be explained as a temporary resumption of the previous flow pattern of
currents.
or — if they want to claim this
current lack of
warming is due to natural variability,
then the previous
warming could also be due to natural variability — and that hurts them too!
Just to rephrase my last question: If the
current global
warming situation is man made, and / or caused by other natural Earthly factors,
then why is every planet in our solar system experiencing this phenomenon as well?
The scientists also calculate that the world's emissions of heat - trapping gases must peak in less than 10 years and
then dive quickly to nearly zero, if
warming of more than another 2 degrees Fahrenheit above the
current annual global temperature is to be prevented after 2050.
Thank you for agreeing that there are other factors at work in global
warming and bearing in mind the strength of those as demonstrated by climate history
then any claim that man - made factors are anywhere near as large as 100 % or greater are going to have to demonstrate the
current and past natural changes and how they interact.
This disagreement ties into the debate over man - made global
warming, because if the
Current Warm Period is not that unusual,
then man - made global
warming could be either (1) superimposed over considerable «natural global
warming» or (2) non-existent (in which case global
warming would have nothing to do with our «carbon footprint»).
Then coincident with the arrival of a
warmer water via the Irminger
Current, the glaciers abruptly began retreating.
If a researcher chooses to use the Esper version
then it will make the Medieval
Warm Period seem
warmer than the
Current Warm Period.
If the «
current pause in global
warming» does extend into the 2030s,
then Wyatt and Curry have identified the most likely «culprit».
If the «pause» continues into the 2030s, as predicted by Wyatt / Curry,
then the «stadium wave» hypothesis has been corroborated as a plausible explanation for (at least) a significant portion of the past
warming and
current slight cooling — and, while not falsifying AGW itself, it will most likely have falsified the IPCC hypothesis of CAGW (as outlined specifically in its AR4 and AR5 reports).
To achieve a (theoretical) reduction of 0.5 degC
warming by 2100 will require that a calculated 510 Gt CO2 are removed from the atmosphere by 2100 (compared to the «base case» of CO2 increase to 600 ppmv by
then); with the
current 50 % of the emitted CO2 «remaining» in the atmosphere, this would mean not emitting 1,020 Gt between now and 2100.
She
then argues that this can't be attributed to human - caused global
warming, which presumably implies something about the
current rise in ocean heat content.
It is followed by the step
warming of oceanic origin and that
then initiates the
current warming pause.
Then there is ENSO, for example, which was the principal cause of the all - time record
warm year, 1998, plus other ocean
currents, which contribute to natural variability but whose impact and root cause is not known.
It
then follows that we * MIGHT * actually be seeing the after effects of the Medieval
warm period... Though I've read this wasn't a worldwide phenomena, though, it is likely that ocean
current would have circulated the effect, and after 800 years, a localised heating of this type, might have an effect in all the deep ocean areas.
Conversely, during low solar activity during the Little Ice Age, transport of
warm water was reduced by 10 % and Arctic sea ice increased.17 Although it is not a situation I would ever hope for, if history repeats itself,
then natural climate dynamics of the past suggest, the
current drop in the sun's output will produce a similar cooler climate, and it will likely be detected first as a slow down in the poleward transport of ocean heat.22 Should we prepare for this possibility?
Well, ANU, snarky though you may be, you raise a nominally interesting point; the problem, however, is that the amounts are anomalies; so the 90's are on average a certain amount above the average of the base period; now to compare the increase in anomalies in the noughties, which are higher than the nineties and say this is evidence of progressive
warming, hottest ever, or whatever is the
current alarmist catch - cry, ignores the fact that the true measure of the
warming is not the absolute anomalies but their difference; that is the amounts for the noughties should have the amounts for the nineties subtracted from them and
then compared with the nineties after they have the eighties subtracted from them.