Odds, on the other hand, are kind of (pardon the pun) odd because they tell you essentially the same
thing as probabilities but in a rather funny and somewhat convoluted way.
Probability density is not the same
thing as probability, as I'm sure you know.
Not exact matches
While it will be merely the exception that proves his rule — namely, that there is no such
thing as 100 % certainty in the science of
probability — his (mainly Republican) haters will jump on this
as evidence he's a huckster and a fraud.
Awareness is not tethered to the physical but relationship with the physical There is no such
thing as non existence physically or conceptually Agency of time and space must be outside our subset of existence and predate singularity Our known world is configured to be appear concentric
Probability of intelligent life in only 14 billion years is one out of ten to the power of 127 assuming one universe.
This is not an approach that regards all
things as having equal
probabilities of occurring.
If you want ot discuss Steve Stevens
as a fraud, best to stik to
things like the lack of reason for doubling up bets, the mathematically proven Kelly criterion adn the proper amount to bet on a $ 50,000 bankroll with a 70 % win
probability and 11 - 10 odds, and the fact that he tells clients he is great money - management adviser, and he keeps repeating that he is there to help you stay in control aqnd then tells clients to make $ 99,000 in bets based on a $ 50,000 bankroll.
As for the square root thing, the reason is that, if voters are considered as independent random Bernoulli variables, the probability of an exact tie (which can be broken by a single voter) is O (1 / √ n), where n is populatio
As for the square root
thing, the reason is that, if voters are considered
as independent random Bernoulli variables, the probability of an exact tie (which can be broken by a single voter) is O (1 / √ n), where n is populatio
as independent random Bernoulli variables, the
probability of an exact tie (which can be broken by a single voter) is O (1 / √ n), where n is population.
«The
probability of all those
things happening out of a convergence of natural variability in the climate system — it strikes me
as a lower
probability than recognizing that we stacked the deck in favor of [these conditions.]»
And it again, it brought home to me the way in which Martin Gardner was at the hub of a vast universe of brilliant, sparkling intellect — including people like Marvin Minsky [at] the M.I.T. artificial intelligence lab; and John Conway who at the time was in England and later came to Princeton and who invented so many deep and fascinating mathematical ideas, especially the Game of Life, to which Martin devoted several columns and which was an incredibly important
thing in bringing new ideas to the world of computation and about the cellular automata; and Donald Knuth at Stanford, the great computer [scientist]; Perci Diaconis a statistician who is fascinated by paradoxes of
probability and a great magician
as well; and Ray Hyman, a psychologist who had a spent a great deal of his life debunking people such
as [Uri Geller]; and James Randi, one of the great magicians of our era who also was one of the most important debunkers of pseudoscience in the world.
Things don't always go
as the
probability says because that
probability wasn't 100 percent on any of those series, but I don't think that necessarily I was wrong, maybe it was just that the players didn't play
as they were supposed to.
Steve: I am turning to page 74 actually, because there were a couple of
things, I was just leafing through all of these shorter origins pieces, and I learned a couple of really interesting
things such
as, we have this half a page on the origins of insurance and the insurance industry's getting, they are getting batted around a bit during this whole healthcare reform discussion, but what's really interesting is that the advent for or the necessity for insurance wound up being a crucial driver to the advent of mathematics and
probability.
In particular, a
probability of 0 means there's literally no chance of that
thing happening, a
probability of 1 means that it's certain to happen, and a
probability in between these extremes such
as 0.5 means there's a 50 % chance of it happening.
As you probably suspect, eHarmony has learned quite a few interesting
things over the years, including how distance, height difference, and the use of certain words in profiles affects the
probability of communication.
Without these basic skills, there's a high
probability they are «winging it» and figuring
things out
as they go.
Focusing on the higher time frames is probably the easiest
thing you can do to immediately increase the
probability of making money in the market
as you trade.
Now, back to the main
thing: The Credit Score / Rate is meant to be used only
as an indicator for representing the
Probability of Default («How likely you are to default on your obligation towards me?»
Extreme Value Theory tells us (among other
things) that when a
probability distribution is ill - defined, don't assume that the highest value that you have seen is
as high
as it can get.
- the team has been adding weapons one by one because they want the same amount of attention for each weapon - the team learned that when they added two new weapons at once, one would end up getting overshadowed by the other - there were more new stages than returning stages because bringing back old stages would have little surprise - since they want to satisfy both new and returning players, they changed the order of stage additions - there weren't any major direction changes in balancing from Splatoon 1 - there have been more pattern combinations between weapons and stages, so there was more involved to balance them all - matchmaking is handled by getting 8 players with similar rank points, and then they're split by weapons - the rank point gap between S + players is bigger than ordinary players - only about one in 1,000 active players are in the S +40 to S +50 region in Ranked Battles - there's even less than one in 10 players that reach S +, while 80 % of the overall player base are in A or less - about 90 % of S + ranked players are within a + / -150 hidden ranked power range - rock was the popular genre in Splatoon, so they tried changing it for the sequel - they prioritized making good background music first before forming the band to play that music - the design team would make the CD jacket - like artwork afterwards - due to this, the band members would often change; some getting added while some others removed - Off the Hook is an exception,
as they first decided they would be a DJ and rapper along with their visuals first - Off the Hook's song came afterwards - In Splatoon street fashion was the trend, but in Splatoon 2 they tried adding more uniqueness - the aim was to add Flow with ethnic clothing and Jelfonzo with high fashion - all Jellyfish in this world are born by splitting, which means Jelfonzo was born by splitting from Jelonzo - Jellyfish are like a hive mind - when they hold a wedding ceremony, they're just simply holding the ceremony - Jelonzo and Jelfonzo start gaining their own consciences so they can speak - Flow used her working holiday to go on a trip before reaching Inkopolis Square - during the trip, she met the owner of Headspace - the owner liked her, so she got hired to work there - Bisk has a unique way of speaking: anastrophe - the team tried to express him
as an adult man - they made him into a giant spider crab because they wanted someone with high posture - he came from a cold country and broke up with his girlfriend to join a band - just like Flow, he became attracted to squids - Crusty Sean finally has his own shop, but he opened it because he's someone who follows the current trends - one of the trends happens to be people opening their own shops - drink tickets aren't stacked, but the
probability is higher than a single brand - the music in Inkopolis Square changes depending on the player's location - sounds contribute to creating atmosphere in the location - the song at front of Grizzco Industries had an atmosphere that feels like some smell can radiate from the game screen -
as for Salmon Run, they imagined it
as a Japanese restaurant outside Japan that is not run by a Japanese person - each time the player moves between the shops, the game uses an arrange shift that shows the personality of each inhabitant - the arrangement in Shella Fresh is related to Bisk's guitar and mystery files that describe his past - with the Squid Sisters moved to Hero Mode, Off the Hook was put in charge in guiding battles and festivals - Bomb Rush Blush has an orchestra «because it would sound like the final boss» - the team wanted to express the feel of the story's real culprit with this music - the
probability of each event occurring in Salmon Run is different - there are no specific requirements, meaning they're picked randomly - this means it's possible for fog to appear three times in a row - the Salmon have different appearances based on the environment they're raised in - if the environment is harsher, they would become large salmon - Steelheads and Maws have big bodies, while Scrappers and Steel Eels have high intelligence - Salmons basically wield kitchenware, but everybody else has a virtue in fighting to actually cook the Salmons - Grill is the ultimate form of this - when Salmons are fighting to the death, they can feel the same sense of unity - they would be one with the world if they were eaten by other creatures, and they also fight for the pride of their race - MakoMart is based on a large supermarket in America - the update also took place on Black Friday in America, which was why Squids are buying a lot of
things in the trailer - Arowana Mall looks like it has more passages because there are changes in tenants and also renovation work - Walleye Warehouse has no changes at all, because the team wanted to have at least one map that stayed intact - the only
thing different in this map is the graffiti, which is based on the winner of Famitsu's Squid Fashion Contest - all members in the band Ink Theory graduated from music university - they are well - educated girls who also do aggressive
things - the band members wearing neckties are respecting the Hightide Era from the prequel - the team will continue adding weapons and stages for a year, and Splatfests for two years - the team will also continue to make more updates including balancing
But then the other
thing going on is those same protons run to the closing isobars of the earth EMF away from the tropics, and there reduce ozone, and create over time a concentration of ozone over the tropics, thereby increasing the intensity of the ITCZ and increasing tropical storm
probabilities,
as the wind then wanes under 500.
That they are uncertain cuts both ways;
things might not turn out
as badly
as the models now suggest, but with equal
probability, they could turn out worse.
That ageless question rarely troubled climate scientists, who took it for granted that the future climate is
as real
as a rock, even if their knowledge of this future
thing could only be stated within a range of
probabilities.
But if you're gonna invoke
probability and the anthropic principle or use the term «cause» in some sense other than its formal definition in physics (where it doesn't mean cause at all
as the laws of physics are conservation laws, saying that certain
things are never observed to be created, only moved around into different forms), prepare to be challenged.
EnKF is related to the particle filter (in this context, a particle is the same
thing as ensemble member) but the EnKF makes the assumption that all
probability distributions involved are Gaussian; when it is applicable, it is much more efficient than the particle filter.
As in the
probability isn't zero, but it lives right next door, is good friends with zero, their kids go to the same schools, that sort of
thing.
Two summers back, here within view of Colorado Springs» Waldo Canyon conflagration, I vividly recall some details: a) a hoisted ember astonishingly re-igniting
things across a mile wide mountain lake, breaching the NE perimeter; b) our relative humidity, the day of the blaze, was so low the am weatherman uttering «you night
as well say we have none;» c) the flown - in Commander, on camera and perhaps the best mind in all the world on matters such, describing never before witnessed
probabilities for live ember re-ignitions,
as «perhaps two out of three;» & d) that sad day's all - time record setting mark of 101 F., here @ 6,500 feet + elevations, in that astonishing summer where lower - 48 averages jumped by more than a single degree Fahrenheit in one realm - altering excursion.
This will allow the system to do such
things as make predictions and calculate
probabilities of events based on data.
Tagged
as the G Flex 2, the company will in all
probability mend a few
things and deliver a smartphone based on the same tech.
In the long run, the financial revolution that was started by bitcoin will yield a better, faster and stronger financial system but over the next year there are three
things that I view
as high
probability events for bitcoin.
Focus on perfection —
As presented, the only
thing that the 37 per cent rule cares about is maximising your
probability of landing the single best person in your potential dating pool.