Not exact matches
Bond fund managers Jeffrey Aronson, Michael Vranos, and Boaz Weinstein discuss why they
think high -
yield market is showing signs of a bubble.
I sent out to some people last Wednesday why I
thought the CDS market would outperform ETF's, and that is still my view, and has a lot to do with the
bonds that make up the
high yield index and their rate risk exposure for some, and horrible convexity for others.
I still
think there will be a flight to safety in sovereign
bonds when stocks have a bear market but other areas such as
high yield and corporate debt could run into some problems.
And I
think that given
higher volatility in the markets, going into
higher yielding bonds or stocks, the risker ones, is unadvisable.
I was
thinking of dividing into thirds adding the Vanguard
High Yield Corp
Bond Fund and The Intermediate Term Investment Grade.
, but I
think it's a mistake for risk averse or diversified investors to completely give up on
high quality
bonds because they're worried about poor returns from low
yields.
Although decades of history have conclusively proved it is more profitable to be an owner of corporate America (viz., stocks), rather than a lender to it (viz.,
bonds), there are times when equities are unattractive compared to other asset classes (
think late - 1999 when stock prices had risen so
high the earnings
yields were almost non-existent) or they do not fit with the particular goals or needs of the portfolio owner.
If investors
think the economy will be bullish over the next decade, they will require a
higher yield to keep their money tied up in
bonds.
He
thinks Chinese
high -
yield instruments have seen their run but is shifting his attention to investment - grade
bonds in China.
Bond yields would then be fair relative to equity
yields, assuming that the current
high operating profitability continues, which is not guaranteed, though I
think it will persist long enough to embarrass those who say it must mean - revert imminently.
If you
think bond yields will normalize
higher, perhaps cash is the place you would rather be for now.
There are several that hold
high -
yield bonds and emerging market debt, but I'm
thinking of something more conservative, such as a fund that invests in the sovereign debt of developed countries.
If you are
thinking about investing in
high -
yield bonds, you will also want to diversify your
bond investments among several different issuers to minimize the possible impact of any single issuer's default.
Just
think back to September 2015, when large
high -
yield bond issuer Sprint was downgraded several notches, spurring a furious selloff that bled into broader markets.
We love
high yield corporate
bonds; they pay a lot more interest than treasuries and also because these are not the greatest borrowers — I'm not talking little companies;
think CitiBank and other very big companies that don't have a pristine credit rating — they can not lend money out very long so the maturities of our
high yield bond fund is closer in.
We
thought they would widen, so we allocated down from
high -
yield bonds in June.
I
think Markel has a pretty asset sensitive balance sheet, meaning that eventually I
think higher rates will improve earning power as they reallocate into
higher yielding bonds.
Think of 1979 - 82: by the time
bond yields were nearing their peak levels,
bond managers were making money in nominal terms with rates rising because the income from the coupons was so
high, and it set up the tremendous rally in
bonds that would last for ~ 30 years or so.
If we
think of common stock as a
bond then common stock has essentially paid a 12 % average annual coupon over the last 30 years while
high yield bonds have only paid about a 8 % coupon.
Beyond
bonds, you are not alone if you are looking at the table and
thinking about reaching for
higher yields through bank loans.
This prompted us to
think that VIX futures may hold tail - risk hedging opportunities for
high yield bond portfolios.
Luke @ Learn
Bonds writes My Thoughts On High Yield Bonds — High yield bonds have been referred to as «junk bonds,» but that is not the
Bonds writes My
Thoughts On
High Yield Bonds — High yield bonds have been referred to as «junk bonds,» but that is not the
Yield Bonds — High yield bonds have been referred to as «junk bonds,» but that is not the
Bonds —
High yield bonds have been referred to as «junk bonds,» but that is not the
yield bonds have been referred to as «junk bonds,» but that is not the
bonds have been referred to as «junk
bonds,» but that is not the
bonds,» but that is not the case.
Stocks were seen as speculative so it was natural to
think that they had to have
higher yields than
bonds.
What do you
think of
high yield bonds?
Nonetheless, when I talk about an investment, you might start
thinking of a major and
high yielding investment like
bonds, stocks among others.
If you
think that
bond yields are going
higher, these stock prices will go lower.
If you're really a long - term investor (10 + years), the historical ERP has been so
high and current
bond yields are so low that it takes a rather irrational level of risk aversion to own
bonds, unless you
think the ERP is wrong and / or there's a substantial risk of deflation.