Sentences with phrase «thinking of extreme events»

But thinking of extreme events statistically is already leaning on the wrong abstraction.

Not exact matches

, we are conditioned to think of as extreme events,» Sarah Henderson a senior scientist at the B.C. Centre for Disease Control, told Vancouver's Metro News.
«What we're seeing right now» in B.C., and what we saw in Alberta last year, we are conditioned to think of as extreme events,» Sarah Henderson a senior scientist at the B.C. Centre for Disease Control, told Vancouver's Metro News.
«But there's a powerful argument that the chance of extreme events is greater than people probably think, and now is sort of a strange time to be implicitly making the everything - will - be-OK argument.»
«We have to really think about anticipated changes in the frequency of extreme events,» Cloern said.
Because these moderate extremes are by definition more common, and because the authors looked at global statistics rather than those for highly localized, rare events, the conclusions are extremely robust, said Peter Stott, leader of the Climate Monitoring and Attribution Team at the Met Office Hadley Centre, in the U.K. «I think this paper is very convincing,» said Stott, who was not involved in the research.
«For a long time, the standard answer of climate scientists to an extreme event was «we can't attribute single events to climate change», which when you think about it is an incredibly naive position.
In the face of so many extreme weather events rocking the world in recent weeks, Gerard Butler recently sat down with CinemaBlend and explained what he thinks audiences will take away from Geostorm.
The following are common characteristics of gifted children, although not all will necessarily apply to every gifted child: • Has an extensive and detailed memory, particularly in a specific area of interest • Has advanced vocabulary for his or her age; uses precocious language • Has communication skills advanced for his or her age and is able to express ideas and feelings • Asks intelligent and complex questions • Is able to identify the important characteristics of new concepts and problems • Learns information quickly • Uses logic in arriving at common sense answers • Has a broad base of knowledge; a large quantity of information • Understands abstract ideas and complex concepts • Uses analogical thinking, problem solving, or reasoning • Observes relationships and sees connections • Finds and solves difficult and unusual problems • Understands principles, forms generalizations, and uses them in new situations • Wants to learn and is curious • Works conscientiously and has a high degree of concentration in areas of interest • Understands and uses various symbol systems • Is reflective about learning • Is enraptured by a specific subject • Has reading comprehension skills advanced for his or her age • Has advanced writing abilities for his or her age • Has strong artistic or musical abilities • Concentrates intensely for long periods of time, particularly in a specific area of interest • Is more aware, stimulated, and affected by surroundings • Experiences extreme positive or negative feelings • Experiences a strong physical reaction to emotion • Has a strong affective memory, re-living or re-feeling things long after the triggering event
Patty Jansen presents Before you even start self - publishing posted at Must Use Bigger Elephants, saying, «I recently attended an event for extreme newbies in self - publishing, and came away with a couple of thoughts that are fundamental to anyone considering self - publishing, but don't seem to be understood by some people who are just dipping their toes in.»
If you're one of those people that thinks eSports is a joke or a fad, I need only point to the fact that the X-Games has partnered with Major League Gaming to have the best Call of Duty Ghosts players compete in what is often thought of as the extreme Olympics event.
Taking your 75 % number as an example, I think they understand something like this: «75 % of the strength of this extreme event is attributable to global warming», or «There's 75 % chance that this event would not have occurred without global warming».
I think most journalists and laypeople understand the results in some kind of twisted way similar to what Tim formulated, that is, as applicable to a particular extreme event that they're considering, and not to the statistics of these extreme events.
If anything, I think a key point in the post (and it would be good to check that this is what Rasmus was getting at) is that climate change will almost certainly impact the distribution of events and, hence, will almost certainly influence those events that we currently regard as extreme / rare.
RiHo08 says (28) «Since the recent heat wave and peat bog fires in Russia this summer have been used as evidence of an extreme weather event in response to global climate change, I thought a llterary reference to such events occurring periodically at least to the 12 th Century would be informative.»
Since the recent heat wave and peat bog fires in Russia this summer have been used as evidence of an extreme weather event in response to global climate change, I thought a llterary reference to such events occurring periodically at least to the 12 th Century would be informative.
I think of those who struggle everywhere but now, especially, I think of the Yawanawá people whose village was devastated by unusual early flooding and of Acre's increasingly frequent extreme weather events.
I do think they «aren't needed» to support the assertion that various global warming - related factors have observably played a role in causing, contributing to, and / or greatly exacerbating the destructive effects of recent «extreme weather events».
I think that's a far better approach than labeling every account of an extreme rain or snowfall a «global warming type» event, as some bloggers insist.
But really what should scare you is the ten - foot woman, the extreme event that either no one has thought of, or putting in their models and saying «the chance of that happening is pretty small, let's not worry about it.»
In a poll released last November by the Public Religion Research Institute, fewer than half of them were willing to link extreme weather events to climate change, whereas more than three - quarters thought these events were signs of the «end times» predicted in the Bible.
I also think that some sceptics have too readily seized on this as evidence of future cooling in the same way that the strong advocated of cAGW seize on any and all extreme weather events as evidence of «climate change».
I thought the issue of his talk was specifically attribution of extreme events to warming.
Thinking about climate change in the context of how these extreme events will change can help farmers and other end users to understand its implications.
But as parts of Queensland hit the road to recovery, it is worth thinking about what makes a community resilient to extreme events like floods and cyclones.
So that whole risk way of thinking around extreme events, I think, again, brings a new set of challenges to climate science that we didn't really confront before.
Most of the developing world doesn't have weather forecasts beyond two days, and often these forecasts do not anticipate extreme weather events (think Pakistan floods, Severe Cyclone Nargis).
This is in addition to the probable role of GHG - induced amplification of the atmospheric waves in the mid - and high - latitudes, which are thought to lead to increased extreme events across the Southwest and beyond [76,77].
On a tangent, but still within the issues raised in the original post, this kind of thinking is useful for analyzing extreme events (the ones in the fat tails).
Now you might think that, by my own explanation above, fewer extreme weather events supports the original theory of AGW.
SEQ has floods almost every year — and there had been major floods in May 2009 — not as severe but sufficient for state of emergency to be declared, and more than sufficient you'd think to suggest more extreme event might be possible.
He began by discussing how we talk about facts versus the information that they convey and ended with a discussion of science communication opportunities linked to extreme events and some thoughts on what scientists could do to improve their communication with the general public.
This shift in the distribution obviously affects extreme events, and there is no reason to think that the next 40 years won't see another degree in these areas with a continuation of current trends in GHGs.
I sort of thought that no extreme single event could be attributed to GW, bec GW is at a more macro statistical level, and I suppose there is a long tail in non-GW weather event possibilities in which such an event could have occurred under non-GW conditions.
On Wednesday, we were surprised to be pulled on stage at Windows Weekly to share our thoughts on the events of the week, but were happy to participate in extreme sock - throwing for the audience Q&A!
If your partner suffers from extreme anxiety, they may have panic attacks, constantly be voicing their worried thoughts, or may not be able to participate in social events because of a fear of social settings.
I think a localized event like a tech bust or a more worldwide event could cool off the economy enough to trigger some severity of recession (whether it be typical or extreme).
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