The group has around 2,000 supporters on Facebook and says it is planning to begin door - knocking in seats where
it thinks tactical voting could make a difference.
Not exact matches
We should
think about
tactical voting.
But others may be
voting eg for a LibDem in SW London or northern cities without
thinking of it as a
tactical vote, and may rethink their options.
The other standard trackers all paint an equally bleak picture for the government, on the forced choice question (which I always tend to
think of our best indicator of which way
tactical voting is likely to go next time round, given that there are no regular tracker questions that ask directly about it) the Conservatives now enjoy a 12 point lead over Labour, they have an 8 point lead as the party most likely to run the economy well, David Cameron has an 8 point lead as Best Prime Minister.
However, I'm always slightly wary of constituency polls in Liberal Democrat held seats — the effect of incumbency and
tactical voting is far higher for Lib Dem MPs, and when you ask a generic
voting intention I
think many people give their national preference, rather than how they would actually
vote in their own constituency.
The next election will see a big turnout by Labour and Conservative supporters and where Liberal Democrat MP's do survive it will be solely due to
tactical voting, UKIP could even make a breakthrough in a couple of seats but I
think Labour will still win, so it will be more strongly toward a 2 party system but with the strongest 4th party performance in UK history.
Both Ashcroft and ComRes asked a
voting intention question that prompted people to
think about their own constituency, candidates and MP to try and get at the personal and
tactical voting that Lib Dem MPs are so reliant upon.
However a lot has been made of the fact that while both polls had an effort to take account of people's personal and
tactical voting behaviour in their own constituency, they did so in different ways — Ashcroft asks a two stage question, asking people their national preference and then how they will
vote thinking about the candidates and parties in their own constituency; ICM asked people the
voting intention question including the names of the candidates standing in Sheffield Hallam.