Financial advisor Ric Edelman gave Howard Gold at MarketWatch some pretty sobering
thoughts on the bond market this past week:
Matt sums up
his thoughts on the bond market and gives predictions for the year ahead.
Not exact matches
Deutsche Bank also
thinks there are also potentially endogenous factors, or factors directly inside the
market, weighing
on the
bond market's behavior.
In a note sent out to clients
on Monday, Major lists five reasons he
thinks the
bond bull
market remains intact:
Here are some examples: You can own a mid-size company index; a small company index; an international index; an emerging
market index (
think Third World countries); a government
bond index; a corporate
bond index; a real estate index fund and
on and
on.
Any
thoughts on what an annual rebalance into a 10 or 20 year slow moving
bond bear
market would do to a 60/40 mix?
«We
think it will be slow to act
on rate cuts, but stands ready to intervene in case of disruptive
market developments, especially in the currency and
bond markets,» says Nell.
This podcast covers many areas of investing, including his current opinions
on the
bond market and how it might affect stocks, his
thoughts on commodities, and why he continues to believe in cryptocurrencies long - term.
And that's not only in the US, that's in Europe in particular, certainly in the UK, and it's difficult I
think to have a certainty around it but I
think our bias is that
bonds are
on the expensive side at the moment and we are generally in most developed
markets running shy of benchmark duration positions.
Think about it: how much will a
bond with a NEGATIVE yield be worth
on the day that investors lose confidence in their central bankers» abilities to control the weather financial
markets?
this is just playing around with numbers, I know; but I would be happy reading your
thoughts about comparing
bonds and stocks
on the basis of pe ratios — I
think that metric has it's limits; but how to deal with that, if the
market should go higher and which other metric would you take, do you take today.
I
think that means European
bonds are potentially positioned to perform well — especially relative to other
bond markets in the world — because the ECB is very much
on a heavy easing cycle, compared with other countries where there is talk that rates eventually will rise (namely the United States).
They
think the 998 Presidential staffers is the best alternative Ghanaians needed, the use of Vigilante groups to terrorise innocent citizens is what they promised us, issuing of
bond without following laid down procedure is what we prayed for, entering into negotiations with nations to establish military bases was what we fasted for, allowing the land to be used as conduit for the propagation of homosexual practice
on the continent was what we prayed to God for,
market women consulting other gods to support their dying businesses was what we went
on our knees for?
Whether or not stocks can continue to sustain current valuation is partly dependent
on what happens in the
bond market, but just not in the way many people
think.
The talk regarding an illiquid public corporate
bond market goes
on, and if you've read me over the past year
on this topic, you know that I don't
think it is a serious issue.
Stocks,
bonds and many other investment vehicles
on secondary
markets you may
think of are highly liquid but they still require that
markets are open and then an additional 3 - 5 business days to settle the transaction and for funds to make their way to your bank account.
I
think the
bond market is unlikely to treat retirees as well going forward, so I'd be inclined to err
on the conservative side and stay with the 5 % withdrawal rate.
There must be a way to see the Big Picture and lighten up
on areas that are over-valued, but still enjoy an average return at least approaching that of the
market as a whole... I'd love to hear some simple strategies that require a little
thought, and don't just focus
on keeping a lot of money in cash and short term
bonds.
I am
thinking on investing in Steady Income sources i.e. NCD, Taxfree
bonds from Secondary
market.
okay here's my two cents worth folks im up for renewal and have just nagotiated a rate 5 yr variable1.75 persent or if i want a five yr fixed at 4.49 still quite a gap between fixed and variable here i believe i have a little lee way here apparently i was only interesed in variable and five yr fixed but i made it absulutly apparent to them that when lock in from a variable i get the whosale discounted rate at that time and written into the contract i kinda believe this the way the
market is heading as we head out of ressesion and the bank of canada is going to make there move i believe coming up in june and just to make this firm i do not believe the boc will raise rates in fast mode far from it will be slow process i don't care what the ecconmists are
thinking we have to remember manufactering sector is reallt taking a hit
on the high dollar and don't forget our niegbours to the south how dependent our canada is with them i believe it will be a slow process a lot of people heve put themselves in a debt load over these enormously low interest rates but i may be wrong i
think a variable is the way to go if you want to work
on that princibal at least should i say the say the short to medium term and betting that the
bond markets stay put for the short to medium term - i have given enough interest to the banks maybe i can pay a little less at least fot the short to mediun term here i have not completly decided yet put i
think im going variable although i wish my mtge was up a year ago that would have been just great congradulations to all that did.
Given the recent volatility in the
bond market, we
thought it was a good time to re-visit why we prefer
bond funds to
bond ETFs (we first wrote about this in the March 2013 in NoLoad FundX and Janet Brown wrote about it
on the Forbes Intelligent Investing blog that month, too).
Some
market participants do
think that
bond yields will inevitably rise but
on the opposite side of the trade are investors who
think bond yields are not going anywhere.
this is just playing around with numbers, I know; but I would be happy reading your
thoughts about comparing
bonds and stocks
on the basis of pe ratios — I
think that metric has it's limits; but how to deal with that, if the
market should go higher and which other metric would you take, do you take today.
Or, if you are holding
bonds for a little while, if you
think the stock
market is too high, this can give you an idea
on how long to buy the
bonds if you don't want to take losses if you decide to reinvest in stocks.
Since my recent posts discussing my own asset allocation and my
thoughts on Treasury
bonds vs. Vanguard's Total
Bond Market Fund, I've gotten a steady stream of emails about asset allocation — especially for retirees or soon - to - be retirees.