Not exact matches
However, protectionism, unexpected rapid
tightening of
monetary policy in some countries, and geopolitical tensions in North Korea and the Middle East pose potential risks to
global growth, Kuroda said.
But AMRO said its outlook is not without risks as it warned of the potential impact of faster - than - expected
monetary policy tightening on
global financial conditions, and escalation of
global trade tensions, on capital flows and borrowing costs.
Emerging markets also account for over 50 % of world GDP, and have been responsible for the lion's share of
global growth ever since the 2008 financial crisis, but capital has flooded out of them as the Federal Reserve has
tightened its
monetary policy and the limits of China's economic model have become apparent.
The Fed raised its key overnight lending rate in December for the first time in nearly a decade, but it has backed away from further
monetary policy tightening this year largely due to a
global economic slowdown and financial market volatility.
«Inflation in the euro zone is still below target, there's no need to raise rates or to
tighten monetary policy,» Willem Buiter,
global chief economist at Citigroup, said at the World Economic Forum in Davos.
The IMF cites a number of risks to their optimistic outlook for the next two years, risks that are more concerning for the medium term (2020 and beyond), including geopolitical strains, a sudden and severe
tightening of
monetary policies, waning popular support for
global economic integration, and a move toward protectionist trade
policies that would impact
global trade.
While a modest market correction might persuade the Fed to scale back on
monetary tightening, there's further upside to the markets if
monetary policy doesn't prove to be as restrictive as expected, or if the
global economic momentum and tax cuts are more stimulative than expected.
In fact, the divergences in
global economic performance — one of those being that U.S.
monetary policy would
tighten while European
monetary policy would loosen — actually look very much like an explanation for what already happened last year.
Before late January injected a surge of volatility into equities, driven by investor fears over a handful of factors including rising rates,
tightening monetary policy, more regulation on big tech and rising
global trade tensions, investors were smooth sailing on the nine - year bull market.