Concerns that
a tighter monetary policy in China will lead to a slow down in the Chinese economy is encouraging traders to lighten up on higher yielding assets.
Not exact matches
«We expect the stagnation trend to continue and potentially accelerate next year, exacerbated by lower oil prices,
tighter monetary policy and continued uncertainty on the geopolitical front,» noted Barclays economist Eldar Vakhitov
in a recent report.
«
Tighter global
monetary policy is needed
in order to contain inflation pressures and ward off financial stability risks,» the Basel - based central bank of central banks warned
in its most recent annual report.
The notion is that by pursuing a slightly
tighter monetary policy, the central bank would take out insurance against the risk that the rise
in asset prices is a bubble and that its busting would be disruptive.
In this situation, it may be easier to implement a
tighter monetary policy through raising rates, than it would be to implement a looser
policy using unconventional tools.
Empirical research shows that a buildup of household debt
in the economy makes a financial crisis more probable, so we wanted to understand the costs and benefits of leaning against financial imbalances through
tighter monetary policy.
But he wrote that one reason to believe they were effective is that the U.S. economic recovery was much stronger than that of the Eurozone's, where
monetary and fiscal
policies were much
tighter than
in the U.S.
The broad set of Trump's fiscal measures and Republican legislative priorities should be supportive of a strong U.S. dollar, either by boosting growth and
tighter monetary policy — or by contributing to an improved trade balance (through looser regulation
in the energy sector and / or border adjustments).
Specifically, their identification of two main problems of that period — overly
tight monetary policy and allowing the collapse of the banking system — were instructive
in the current environment.
«The slowdown may not necessarily come
in first half of 2019, but maybe the second half as there's a bigger drag from
tighter monetary policy and the fiscal stimulus wears off.»
Former Fed chairman Ben Bernanke,
in a speech to the American Economic Association
in January, said that «excessively
tight near - term fiscal
policies have likely been counterproductive» by weakening the recovery, especially when
monetary policy has less room to maneuver.
Regarding U.S.
monetary policy, the IMF said it still remains «very accomodative,» but that the possibility of future rate hikes «have contributed to
tighter external financial conditions, declining capital flows, and further currency depreciations
in many emerging market economies.»
Hints of a
tighter monetary policy from the ECB and anunlikely interest rate increase from the SNB confirm that both central banksare moving
in opposite directions.
The dollar's sell - off was also helped by investors betting on
tighter monetary policies by major central banks, bringing them
in line with the Federal Reserve.
The yield on the US 10 - year Treasury note continued to advance this week
in anticipation of
tighter monetary policy, rising to 2.58 % from 2.49 % a week ago.
The last time investors digested
tighter monetary policy from the Fed
in the summer of 2013, an event now recognized as the so - called «Taper Tantrum ``, the EMBIG index suffered a -5.25 percent return that year, performance very different from what we've seen this year and last, according to data from Bloomberg
The earlier period of
tight monetary policy, and the weakening
in demand
in late 2008 associated with the escalation of the financial crisis, has seen inflation come down.
In currencies, the U.S. dollar stabilized at two - week highs Friday as economic data continued to support calls for
tighter monetary policy.
The fiscal multiplier is already likely to be low
in an economy as open as the UK; an offsetting impact from
tighter monetary policy would make it lower still.
Critics will accuse the PM of being
in the pockets of big business, but the principles are clear:
tight fiscal
policy, loose
monetary policy, and open door to inward investment, thanks to a competitive tax regime and world - class schooling for future generations.
The growth acceleration that cancels the negative equity duration is the same growth that propels small - caps so much, putting them
in a leading spot to rise with interest rates — especially since
monetary policy is not too
tight so that rising interest rates don't hinder the borrowing by small companies too much.
Recent shifts have now led to a majority of countries
in the EAFE Index with
tighter monetary policies.
The extent to which central banks around the world embark on
tighter monetary policy will be a key driver to the bond market's performance
in the second half of the year.
In 2011, many emerging market countries had
tighter monetary policies to fight inflation.
Tighter monetary policy portends further increases
in mortgage and other lending rates.
There is a shift towards
tighter monetary policy and looser fiscal
policy in major developed markets.
The economy is poised for a bumpy ride
in 2020, and if enough
policy mistakes pile up — overly restrictive fiscal
policy and excessively
tight monetary policy — this could certainly create sufficient downdrafts to create a recession, or at the very least, a growth recession.