Has anyone ever demonstrated convincingly that global temperature is bound by the central limit theorem
on time scales of interest?
Are ocean models so robustly based on first principles that they can be trusted without validation against sound observations over
the time scales of interest?
The important point for this discussion is that radiative forcings are only those changes in TOA energy flux due to external drivers, ie, those not effected by climate variables such as (particularly) temperture and (also) precipitation, wind velocity etc; at least not on
the time scale of interest.
Moreover, depending on
the time scale of interest, one often wishes to study only part of the climate system.