Not exact matches
I thought this was a good
time to share it, for those of you in
seasonal climates,...
At this
time of year we are prone to
Seasonal affective Disorder (SAD) due to the lack of sunlight, especially those who live in northern
climates.
I thought this was a good
time to share it, for those of you in
seasonal climates, feeling the first signs of spring among the remaining chill of winter.
Instead of waiting for an event to happen, the idea is to incorporate
seasonal forecasts, which are done a month or more ahead of
time, into the
climate models.
Comparing the snakes» most active temperature range with predictions of shifts due to
climate change, the team pointed out that the
timing of
seasonal activities may shift in the future — which could impact their interactions with other species.
So a group of researchers from all over Europe turned to looking at the
timing of flooding, as the
seasonal nature of them is tied much more closely to
climate than to any other interfering factors.
NOAA evaluates the accuracy of its
seasonal forecasts each year, with the aim of seeing the number of storms fall in the given ranges at least 70 percent of the
time, which they do consistently, Gerry Bell, lead
seasonal hurricane forecaster with NOAA's
Climate Prediction Center, said.
Track a Tree will provide insights into the
seasonal timing of U.K. woodland species, and how future changes in
climate may affect the interactions between trees and flowering plants
«During a
time when the
climate was getting wetter and the wetlands expanding, this critical
seasonal resource that is ripe at the peak of the flooding season when other resources are dispersed and scarce, residents of Monte Castelo began to grow larger rice»
Other
climate records point to a sometimes - green Sahara around this
time, and Osborne thinks that
seasonal monsoons could have supported a patchwork of life - saving oases across the desert.
Climate change, resulting in more frost - free days and warmer
seasonal air temperatures, can contribute to shifts in flowering
time and pollen initiation from allergenic plant species, and increased CO2 by itself can elevate production of plant - based allergens.137, 15,16,17,18,19,138 Higher pollen concentrations and longer pollen seasons can increase allergic sensitizations and asthma episodes, 20,21,155,22 and diminish productive work and school days.138, 22,23
A new buzz - word is the concept of «seamless prediction», in which predictions ranging from nowcasting all the way to future scenarios are provided with a sliding
time scale and that doesn't make distinction of incremental types such as «weather forecasts» «
seasonal predictions» and «
climate scenarios».
In this study, we undertake another effort towards understanding the role of the Sun in changing or varying the Earth's
climate on
seasonal to decadal
time scale.
A new analysis published in the journal Environmental Research Letters establishes that
seasonal forecast sea surface temperature (SSTs) can be used to perform probabilistic extreme - event attribution, thereby accelerating the
time it takes
climate scientists to understand and quantify the role of global warming in certain classes of extreme weather events.
A few
climate models have been tested for (and shown) capability in initial value predictions, on
time scales from weather forecasting (a few days) to
seasonal forecasting (annual).
There is no «bad
time» to take a trip, as the small
seasonal climate variances reveal interesting wildlife year round.
For the future, data assimilation might help us to keep the state of a
climate model closer to the real world's, allowing us to improve predictions on
seasonal and decadal
time scales.
In temperate
climates the lethal H5N1 virus will be transferred to humans via cold drinking water, as with the birds in February and March 2006, strong
seasonal at the
time when drinking water has its temperature minimum.
But the talk about water withdrawal is genuine, even if like other long -
time - coming environmental and
climate changes, the river will see plenty of
seasonal ups and downs before and end comes.
Additionally, the publication aims to highlight the full range
climate - related health issues and risks (i.e. nutrition, NCDs, air pollution, allergens, infectious diseases, water and sanitation, extreme temperatures and weather, etc.) where health decision - making can benefit from
climate and weather knowledge at historic, immediate,
seasonal, or long - term
time scales.
With this service,
seasonal predictions, reanalyses and
climate projections will be provided free of charge in the form of global and regional plots in real
time.
For the first
time, researchers have been able to combine different
climate models using spatial statistics — to project future
seasonal temperature changes in regions across North America.
PCIC welcomes Dr. Alex Cannon who has joined PCIC as a Research Climatologist to work alongside the consortium's scientific and technical staff in the development of new tools and methodology for predicting
climate extremes on
seasonal and decadal
time scales.
«to better understand and predict at the timescales of
climate change, we need to work up ladder of the timescales, and figure out how to predict at the sub
seasonal and
seasonal time scales.»
Climate change, resulting in more frost - free days and warmer
seasonal air temperatures, can contribute to shifts in flowering
time and pollen initiation from allergenic plant species, and increased CO2 by itself can elevate production of plant - based allergens.137, 15,16,17,18,19,138 Higher pollen concentrations and longer pollen seasons can increase allergic sensitizations and asthma episodes, 20,21,155,22 and diminish productive work and school days.138, 22,23
3) Snow cover: The radiative and thermal properties of widespread snow cover anomalies have the potential to modulate local and remote
climate over monthly to
seasonal time scales
The increase in trapped heat changes the
climate and alters weather patterns, which may change the
timing of
seasonal natural events, and the frequency of extreme weather events.
Lead author Dr Debbie Polson, of the University of Edinburgh's School of GeoSciences, said: «This study shows for the first
time that the drying of the monsoon over the past 50 years can not be explained by natural
climate variability and that human activity has played a significant role in altering the
seasonal monsoon rainfall on which billions of people depend.»
The researchers sought to understand
seasonal - transition
timing to offer strategies as
climate change unfolds.
Tony Brown's «Long Slow Thaw» based on CET records and later supported by C Loehle's multi proxy
climate study, cross references voluminous empiric data on weather across regions, UK and Europe eg frost fairs, crop failure data, famine reorts and farmers» accounts of
seasonal shifts in planting
times.
By measuring the
seasonal timing of floods, it is much more likely that any detected changes are due to
climate.»
Regional
Climate Impacts and Outlook documents summarize
seasonal conditions four
times a year, in March, June, September and December.
During
times of low sea level the continents are emergent, land faunas flourish, migration routes between continents open up, the
climate becomes more
seasonal, and probably most importantly, the global
climate tends to cool off.
A unified treatment of weather and
climate models (i.e. the same dynamical cores for the atmosphere and ocean are used for models across the range of
time scales) transfers confidence from the weather and
seasonal climate forecast models to the
climate models used in century scale simulations.
The global warming signal itself is a multidecadal feature of the
climate, but just like the
seasonal example above, it has been possible at
times to take one period of one temperature record - surface air temperatures in most cases - and do a «January - February» job with it, thereby making the claim that temperatures are flatlining or even cooling.
The mitigation focus is on global
climate and the century
time scale, whereas the adaptation focus is regional and on timescales from the
seasonal to decadal.
To describe and understand the physical processes responsible for
climate variability and predictability on
seasonal, interannual, decadal, and centennial
time - scales, through the collection and analysis of observations and the development and application of models of the coupled
climate system, in cooperation with other relevant
climate - research and observing programmes.
I ask for a definition in part because you (Judith) seem to have defined «
climate services» as occurring on the «
seasonal to decadal
time scale»... and things on that
time scale in the past have always been called «weather».
Brian Ettling, a long -
time seasonal ranger with the National Park Service, gave many examples of how
climate change is harming national parks during his Wednesday talk at Runge Nature Center in Jefferson City.
The improved robust and reliable forecasting can help meteorological and
climate services to better deliver tailored predictions and advice, including sub-
seasonal to
seasonal time scales, will take Arctic
climate prediction beyond seasons and to teleconnections over the Northern Hemisphere.
This paper aims to address the question of how the runoff extremes change in the future compared to the historical
time period, investigate the different behaviors of the regional
climate models (RCMs) regarding the runoff extremes and assess the
seasonal variations of runoff extremes.
The S2S4E project will create an operational
climate service that will enable renewable energy producers and providers, electricity network managers and policy makers to design better informed strategies at sub-
seasonal to
seasonal time scales.
Findings suggest that realistic land surface initialization is important for
climate predictability at subseasonal to
seasonal time scales.
6 Allison, M., and M. McEwen, 2000: A post-Pathfinder evaluation of aerocentric solar coordinates with improved
timing recipes for Mars
seasonal / diurnal
climate studies.
The climateprediction.net
Seasonal Attribution Project used computing
time donated by the general public to run state - of - the - art high - resolution model simulations of the world's
climate.
The primary objective of this work was to expand upon the capabilities of past GFDL models used to study
climate on
seasonal to centennial
time scales by the addition of a comprehensive and interactive carbon cycle in the land, ocean and atmosphere to «close the carbon cycle» in the same way we do for water and energy in a traditional
climate model.
The primary functions of treeclim are to (1) perform bootstrapped response and correlation functions; (2) conduct
seasonal correlation analysis with tree growth; (3) conduct forward and backward evolution analyses for temporal stability tests; (4) evaluate trends on correlations betwen tree growth and
climate over
time; and (5) evaluate reconstruction skills for use in dendroclimatology and dendroecology.
The data is robust and comparable through
time, which will enable
climate researchers to better understand long - term changes in monthly and
seasonal climate, as well as changes in day - to - day weather, such as the frequency of heat and cold extremes.
Modes or patterns of
climate variability - Natural variability of the
climate system, in particular on
seasonal and longer
time scales, predominantly occurs with preferred spatial patterns and
time scales, through the dynamical characteristics of the atmospheric circulation and through interactions with the land and ocean surfaces.
Altimeter data are used extensively in observationally based studies of ocean
climate variability on
seasonal and longer
time scales.