The team used real -
time seasonal rainfall, temperature and El Niño forecasts, issued at the start of the year, combined with data from active surveillance studies, in a probabilistic model of dengue epidemics to produce robust dengue risk estimates for the entire year.
Not exact matches
They tested four hypotheses that might explain the maintenance of these three distinct giraffe species: isolation - by - distance, physical barriers to dispersal, general habitat differences resulting in habitat segregation, or regional differences in the
seasonal timing of
rainfall.
Changes in land surface properties as the wet season progresses impact surface fluxes and boundary layer evolution on daily and
seasonal time scales that feed back to cloud and
rainfall generation.
Lead author Dr Debbie Polson, of the University of Edinburgh's School of GeoSciences, said: «This study shows for the first
time that the drying of the monsoon over the past 50 years can not be explained by natural climate variability and that human activity has played a significant role in altering the
seasonal monsoon
rainfall on which billions of people depend.»