That is a form of market
timing I call valuation analysis timing.
Not exact matches
So if we look at a range of market
valuation measures, whether it's Shiller CAPE, whether its price - to - book, whether it's price - to - trailing earnings, price - to - peak earnings, when we look at these measures, they look like they're in the, what we would
call, the 10th decile, meaning generally,
valuations are cheaper 90 % of the
time.
Richards's target price for RIM is $ 72, or, as he points out just «10
times this year's earnings per share,» a
valuation he
calls «ridiculous.»
This portfolio was started in the spring of 2015, a
time when everyone was
calling for a correction,
valuations were high and stock prices too expensive.
CONCLUSION: While this topic was not covered on TSLA's 1Q18 conference
call last night (our analysis on this
call will be published shortly), given Autopilot is among the main key drivers of TSLA's current
valuation, and the «Autopilot was found by the U.S. government to reduce crash rates by as much as 40 %» line has been used by TSLA
time - and -
time again, we feel this development could prove more important than the company's earnings conference
call yesterday.
«At a
time when cyclical pressures are building and asset
valuations are stretched, we should be
calling for large banking organizations to safeguard the capital and liquidity buffers
Benjamin Graham would not have
called Valuation Informed Indexing a form of
timing.
You can now avail our missed
call facility to get the
valuation of your investments at any
time!
The 4th rule is interesting because a stock that is selling at say 18
times earnings would qualify (given the other conditions), and that
valuation is not exactly what you'd
call cheap.
Some of us
call this
valuation timing.
Question: Is the sweet spot for covered
call stock selection buying solid balance sheet / good cash flow companies with a history of paying a growing dividend (and a payout ration say less than 70 %) during
times when implied volatility may be higher (such as now)- so
valuations for the stocks you are writing
calls on are lower - despite being solid companies.
It's
called The «Why» Behind Michael Kitces» Strange Finding That High
Valuations Point to Low Returns Only for a
Time and Then to Higher - Than - Normal Returns.
It's
called Valuation - Informed Indexers Don't Have Good or Bad Years — We Measure Success Over 10 - Year
Time - Periods.
It's
called There Would Be Great Benefits to
Valuation - Informed Indexing Even If Market
Timing Did Not Work.
The Buy - and - Hold
call is that this is going to be the first
time in history when
valuations have zero effect on long - term returns.
Total Market Cap Relative to Gross National Product is often
called the «Buffett Indicator» because he has
called it his all -
time favorite
valuation indicator.
«On a
call with the Staff on January 5, 2018, the Staff expressed concerns regarding the liquidity and
valuation of the underlying instruments in which the Fund intends to primarily invest and requested that the Trust withdraw the Amendment until such
time as these concerns are resolved.