If this approach had been taken a decade ago, perhaps today's policymakers would be delivering measures that cut CO2 in line with a certain probability
of avoiding dangerous warming.
And this geological time scale has little to do with the current push by many climate scientists to curb such emissions to
avoid dangerous warming in the next century or two.
To fully understand the nature of the harm caused by this delay it is necessary to understand the policy implications of a «carbon budget» that must limit global emissions to
avoid dangerous warming levels..
Here's Guido Schmidt - Traub, a leader of the Deep Decarbonization Pathways Project assessing how countries might contribute to the grander task
of avoiding dangerous warming:
We face such hard choices and limited policy options to
avoid dangerous warming in 2016 because we have squandered the 18 years since the Kyoto Accord.
It then becomes hard to see how the world would
avoid dangerous warming and a dangerous rise in sea level, he said.
There remains a huge «reality gap» between the wishful greenhouse - gas emissions projections used to determine whether the agreement can
avoid dangerous warming and the global capacity to cut emissions even as human energy needs continue to surge in coming decades.
This answers the question whether there will in fact be a near term reduction in carbon emissions, giving us all a chance to
avoid dangerous warming that triggers significant additional carbon releases.
The report, however, relies overwhelmingly on bio-CCS and afforestation to achieve negative emissions in its scenarios that
avoid this dangerous warming.
Using separate models for energy supply, buildings, transport and industry, the IEA draws out climate milestones for key areas needed to
avoid dangerous warming.
This would mark the start of an honest conversation on closing the loopholes and ultimately the gigatonne gap, thus living up to the decisions from Cancun to
avoiding dangerous warming and meeting the Convention's requirement of developed country leadership.
The report finds that most of the emissions cuts required to
avoid dangerous warming could be made at no additional cost to the economy, if there is «strong and broad implementation» of its ten point plan.
All eyes will be on the level of ambition on offer: will it be enough to
avoid dangerous warming?
The UN General Assembly should pass a resolution calling on the ICJ to make an advisory ruling, he said, on what sort of responsibilities countries have in terms of cutting carbon emissions to
avoid dangerous warming.
The 2007 IPCC report found that the cost of actions to stabilize concentrations of heat - trapping emissions at a level that gives us a good chance of
avoiding dangerous warming would amount to less than a 0.12 percent reduction in average annual global gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate in 2050.
Given the loss of life and the huge costs of rebuilding after hurricanes, it is essential to do whatever we can to
avoid dangerous warming and protect coastal communities for ourselves and our children.