Sentences with phrase «to bet against the public»

Prior to the start of every season, we release a series of betting against the public articles which discuss the optimal thresholds for fading the public.

Our recent betting against the public report details the sweet spot for contrarian betting, but there are many factors that should be considered before placing a wager.

The screenshot above displays a basic system for betting against the public in baseball.

However, many customers have been anxious to know how a more basic betting against the public philosophy would fare and whether these trends have continued during the 2014 campaign.

With football season over and more casual bettors jumping into college basketball, there's additional value betting against the public in these later months.

We have previously discussed why the increased number of bets creates additional value for most betting against the public strategies, and that has certainly been true during the current bowl season.

And for the record, if you read our other betting against the public articles, we don't use ROI as the only factor in judging a system.

The table below displays the results from betting against the public when that game received at least the daily average.

Similarly, it's quite difficult to find value betting against the public on the over.

For the upcoming season, we wanted to switch things up and create an entirely new betting against the public system using the top historical trends we had found over the years.

Once again, this highlights the importance of considering the number of bets when betting against the public on college football.

Using this data, we can see how betting against the public has done in games with at least the average number of bets that day.

We had uncovered a slight edge by betting against the public, but it wasn't profitable.

With summer winding down and the start of the football season looming, we are pleased to present the latest update on our college football betting against the public results.

However, our hallmark strategy of betting against the public continues to be profitable.

After discovering value betting against the public at the 30 % level, our goal was to layer additional filters to improve the overall ROI of our system.

As you can see, the sweet spot for college football betting against the public comes when teams are receiving no more than 35 % of spread bets.

The table below examines the results from betting against the public using our money percentages from the 2016 college football regular season.

In turn, this is the main reason why betting against the public works best for spreads.

We were also curious about how these teams performed when the public was against them, as betting against the public has been one of our most consistently profitable betting strategies.

The table below displays the results from betting against the public during the 2015 - 16 season.

These artificially inflated lines help to explain why betting against the public has been proven to be a historically profitable strategy.

Although betting against the public continues to be a profitable strategy, bettors become increasingly willing to take the underdog.

For anybody unfamiliar with betting against the public, it's crucial to understand that the value is directly correlated with the number of bets placed on each game.

This performance was particularly remarkable since, broadly speaking, betting against the public did not produce profitable returns over the last year.

Instead, we opted to look at very basic betting against the public filters.

In fact, bettors should not only be familiar with our contrarian plays buy also our annual betting against the public reports.

Although teams receiving less than 50 % of spread bets have posted a winning record, the optimal threshold for betting against the public comes at the 40 % level.

You don't simply bet against the public — whether it's 20 %, 30 %, etc..

However, we rarely post anything about betting against the public when it comes to totals.

The tip is simple: always bet against the public.

While betting against the public represents a consistently profitable strategy, it's only one component of employing a contrarian strategy.

To help illustrate how profitable betting against the public can be, take a look at our contrarian plays below.

In other words, college basketball bettors can't blindly bet against the public — they need to target the most heavily bet games of the day.

These include not only betting against the public, but also ensuring that you buy on bad news and sell on good.

The two discussed betting against the public and talked at length about this matchup.

The tables below display the results from betting against the public based on the number of bets compared to the daily average.

Although betting against the public struggled last week, it continues to be a profitable strategy on the season.

With many sportsbooks changing the manner in which they operate, solely betting against the public isn't a perfect strategy.

Although betting against the public produced miserable results in games where we tracked fewer bets than the daily average, it was an effective strategy in heavily bet games.

It's also worth noting that although we have only been tracking money percentages for one year, the early betting against the public returns have been very positive.

That means betting against the public, buying on bad news, taking the teams that other bettors won't touch and fading the league's top teams.

Below, we'll dive into several situations where betting against the public can be particularly lucrative.

These results indicate that betting against the public becomes a far more profitable strategy when bettors are ignoring the visiting team.

Since betting against the public has been the cornerstone of our success, the next logical filter to add involved the spread betting percentage.

However, our history of betting against the public tells us that the general population is typically wrong.

The value derived from betting against the public increases significantly during the postseason due to the surge of square bettors entering the marketplace.

We always recommend betting against the public and buying back on artificially inflated lines.

This raises the question: Is betting against the public actually a more profitable strategy in major conference games?