Sentences with phrase «to vote intention»

Reasons have since been offered for the high - profile provincial misses — in the case of Alberta, a last - minute swing in voting intentions from Wildrose to the PCs; in B.C., the failure of those who said they'd vote NDP to show up on election day.
Here is how the results to the «passion for learning» question differ by voting intentions.
But starting next year the fund will reveal its voting intentions before shareholder meetings, not only to be more transparent but also to influence the debate and the subsequent voting.
In addition, more and more investors are publicizing their voting intentions and working together where appropriate.
Indeed, it wasn't that the polls were wrong about the UK election; results were close, if you took people's voting intentions at face value.
The meeting should be a private one, but the MP could be told quite clearly that afterwards a clear statement will be issued giving his, or her, views about homosexual marriage with the MP's voting intentions.
The strongest indicator of voting intentions among pastors is their political party preference.
They may account on some Trump supporters hiding their vote intention because of peer pressure / embarrassment using historical data, but if peer pressure is higher in this election than in previous elections it is difficult to tune up that effect correctly (how can you measure peer pressure to adjust your model before the election day?).
campaign pooled data analysis entails examining the vote intentions, expectations, and preferences of our respondents and relating these to the information conveyed by the polls at the time respondents were interviewed
Unsurprisingly, one of the best predictors of vote intention in the independence referendum is a voter's national identity.
This pattern is likely to be repeated at the next general election; in almost every voting intention poll, women express a lower propensity than men to vote, sometimes significantly so.
Several of the main pollsters weight voting intention by likelihood to vote.
The graphs below show how changes in the shares of council seats won by each party are strongly correlated with changes in general election vote intentions.
Standard opinion polls do not include under - 18s, and little is known about their voting intentions.
If vote intentions in the referendum aren't a result of objective evaluations of the pros and cons of Scottish independence, where do these opinions come from?
Last November's budget was no exception: voting intention did not change at all.
This measure is worth looking at in more detail as voting intention polls led many forecasters astray in 2015.
In doing so, we did find a statistically significant positive correlation between performance and voting intention as measured by Public Policy Polling data around the same time.
Since the general election was called Labour have gone up in the GB vote intention polls while the Liberal Democrats and especially UKIP have dropped.
Sarah Wollaston, one of the 15, believes that Tory whips leaked her voting intentions to the press.
This meant looking at polling data on voting intentions in key marginal seats, votes in the most recent local elections and the resources each party is likely to have to spend on campaigning in the area.
At that stage, Labour were 22 points ahead of the Conservatives in voting intention.
Continue reading Local elections vote share (PNS) and general election vote intention
The graph below shows the BBC Projected National Share of the vote (PNS) from local elections together with general election vote intention from the polls for the month before each round of local elections.
Our online polling is also being adjusted in a comparable manner to our telephone polling, where supporters of the Green Party or UKIP have their secondary voting intention reallocated to other parties where no Green or UKIP candidate is on their ballot paper or undecided refused or would not vote.
On European election voting intentions, Labour (32 per cent) lead Ukip (21 per cent) with the Conservatives and the Greens tied on 16 per cent each, and the LibDems on 8 per cent.
The graph below shows the latest What Scotland Thinks / ScotCen Poll of Polls of voting intentions in Scotland for the 2015 UK general election and how it has evolved over time.
Without this change the headline voting intentions would have been Conservative (42 %), Labour (34 %), Lib Dems (9 %) and UKIP (5 %).
Fairfax's latest count of Labor MPs and their voting intentions has the Prime Minister holding her ground, two to one against Mr Rudd.
Much like yesterday's Panelbase poll in The Sunday Times today's poll suggests there might have been some narrowing of the SNP lead in voting intentions for May's Westminster election.
UKIP now regularly pips the Liberal Democrats to third place in national voting intention polls.
Its standing in polls of vote intentions for Scottish Parliament elections averaged just 16 %, while its reading on vote intentions for a Westminster election were, at 14 %, even slightly worse.
One of the major talking points has been Lord Ashcroft's recent polls of 16 Scottish constituencies, which attracted special attention because unlike the other polling companies it drilled down to constituencies rather than just voting intentions as a whole.
The questions involve voting history, interest in the current campaign, and likely voting intentions.
UKIP's share of general election vote intention, at 14 % last week, is much more muted than the 23 % they achieved in the Projected National Share of the vote (PNS) from the local elections.
The latest poll of voting intentions for Thursday's election, conducted by Survation for the Daily Record, is of particular interest for two reasons.
Second, the wording of the question used to ascertain voting intentions on the list vote is markedly different from the one that the company has used previously.
Last week a poll from Survation suggested that the huff and puff of the campaign, including not least two televised leader debates that took place either side of the Easter weekend, had not made much difference to the balance of voting intentions for next month's Scottish Parliament election.
And the voters liked them: viewing figures were high, reaching a peak audience of almost 10 million, and many said afterwards that the debates had affected their voting intentions.
Because the polling stayed broadly positive, I assumed this was having very little impact on voting intentions.
These polls typically do not show much sign of switching between general and constituency specific vote intention, except in Liberal Democrat seats where it is unclear whether the switching is tactical or due to the personal popularity of the sitting MP.
Projecting the changes in the Westminster vote intention on to seats with the regression method (final two columns) suggests the Conservatives will emerge (for the first time in a long time) with a substantial lead in both votes and seats.
By Jane Green and Chris Prosser There is no doubting that the Independence Referendum has had a profound impact on vote intentions for May's general election.
In three of the seats I found UKIP ahead by up to six points on the standard voting intention question, and they were tied with Labour in Dudley.
When a doubtful ballot is discovered — for example the bloke in Hackney who apparently drew a picture of a penis next to the Women's Equality party — your job is to argue that the voting intention is clear.
Second, the wording of the question used to ascertain voting intentions on the list vote -LSB-...]
This morning's Times carried the result of the latest YouGov poll of voting intentions in Scotland, while this evening Channel 4 News released further results from the same poll.
Since our previous poll, we have made a change to our headline voting intention.
Between now and the general election, which if we believe Alan Johnson is at most eight months away, there will probably be more than 100 voting intention polls bandied about, so I thought it would be helpful to offer Total Politics readers some basic pointers to help pick their way through this particular thicket.
Hardly the sign of a policy which has actually influenced people's voting intentions.
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