Sentences with phrase «to win probabilities»

Even a team with a 95 percent win probability in every game only has a little better than a 50 % chance of winning 12 out of 12.

Through five weeks, the F / + win probabilities have been pretty much on - track.

We help clients develop and execute tightly focused capture strategies designed to raise win probability.

This gives short - run bullish trades a higher winning probability and that's what we want.

As you would expect, then, only one game has win probabilities anywhere close to even.

This add additional winning probability to this investment (Short - term).

We help clients develop and execute tightly focused capture strategies designed to raise win probability.

And with a No. 103 projection and a schedule that features six games with win probability between 40 and 60 percent, the Bobcats are projected to go only 6 - 6 overall.

BGSU has six games with win probability between 40 and 61 percent.

This week's Football Study Hall stat profiles have been updated, and now that the CFP is officially a topic, the S&P + win probabilities for each team become particularly noteworthy.

The Bulldogs are the projected favorite in 10 games and given at least a 68 percent win probability in six of eight conference games.

If you haven't seen the actual win probability chart from Nevada's comeback win over Cincinnati, check it out here:

Michigan comes into this game a 4 - point favorite, with a 64 - percent win probability according to S&P +.

Here's a look at week - to - week projected win probabilities in the Big 12, based on S&P + ratings.

I would estimate a much lower win probability for shooting 14.3 % from three.

Below are the projected ACC win totals, based on win probabilities culled from the current F / + ratings.

Postgame win probability: 1 percent.

Auburn's tough couple of weeks have increased Alabama's Iron Bowl win probability to 76.1 percent.

I thought some might be interested in the current win probabilities for all future SEC games here.

Even a 90 percent win probability means there's a 10 percent chance of an upset.)

: While Baltimore's win probability took a major hit, Flacco and his offense recovered well.

Swaging win probabilities by game gets me to something in the range of 8 - 9 wins.

And despite the Nittany Lions currently ranking No. 3 in S&P +, S&P + win probabilities give them just a 14 percent chance of going 3 - 0 in this stretch and a 38 percent chance of losing at least two of three.

The F / + ratings don't do much better than Vegas in picking games, but they've done an excellent job of establishing win probabilities.

What can these potentially conservative win probabilities tell us about the B1G race?

And that makes for some minuscule win probabilities.

(They're pretty good for gauging win probability and creating a hierarchy.

For the simulation below (and the probabilities listed here), we will once again use win probabilities gleaned from the current F / + rankings.

Some rounding involved here, but the cumulative win probabilities for Michigan's final four regular - season games (vs. Iowa, vs. Ohio State, at Penn State, at Maryland) are as followed: 4 - 0 (24 - 7)-- 7.2 % 3 - 1 (23 - 8)-- 29.1 % 2 - 2 (22 - 9)-- 40.0 % 1 - 3 (21 - 10)-- 20.9 % 0 - 4 (20 - 11)-- 2.8 %

They proceeded to rip off a 32 - 8 run against the Bearcats to produce a meme - worthy win probability chart, complete a comeback that tied for the second largest in tourney history and earn the program its first trip since 2004 to the Sweet 16, where Nevada will face No. 11 seed Loyola - Chicago on Thursday in Atlanta.

(The exact win probability will depend on whether the closer is actually pitching for the home or road team.)

Over 2.5 players to attempt a pass: Yes +175 The Falcons» win probability peaked at greater -LSB-...]

Looking at each team's projected win probabilities throughout the season, New York's best chance of winning is Week 4 at home against Jacksonville (44.9 %).

Together with the expectations of the bookmakers, the pairwise winning probabilities are added to the computer model, which then runs a simulation of every possible course of the tournament.

In two further steps the statisticians determine the probable winner: The quoted winning odds show general winning probabilities for each team.

Most notably, it found that coaches are overly conservative in key situations such as fourth - down conversions and point - after - touchdown options, which reduces the team's winning probability percentage.

Including non-conference games against SDSU and Texas Tech, the Sun Devils are looking at eight games with win probability between 35 and 60 percent.

Through in - depth analysis, he identified key in - game factors — turnover differential and penalty yardage, among others — that directly correlate with winning probability.

If we look specifically at the games with high win probabilities, we get a look into how Mississippi State and Missouri currently have the highest win projections in their divisions.

Maryland is projected a borderline bowl team and is projected with at least 64 percent win probability in five games, but four of those five come in the first four games of the year.

We help clients develop and execute tightly focused capture strategies designed to raise win probability.

Cincy has between a 37 and 62 percent win probability in seven games; win enough of those, and the Bearcats can eke out a bowl bid.

The Tide have a 42 percent chance to win it all, going by S&P + win probabilities, followed by Clemson at 28 percent, Oklahoma at 22 percent and Michigan State at eight percent.

There is an almost sure win against Rhode Island (projected win probability: 97 percent), and there are likely losses to Syracuse (20 percent), BC (30 percent), Toledo (29 percent), and WMU (30 percent).

Using one of the various betting pools (addresses) on the platform with different rates of winning probability, all a user needs to do is send Ether (ETH) to a wallet and make sure they at least include the minimum bet which of 180,000 gas [0.0036 ETH].

To understand what is driving the national trend, it's worth taking a look at the states where the winning probabilities have changed most over the last two weeks:

Because of road games against bad teams and home games against decent ones, USM has only two games with a win probability below 30 percent, three above 65, and a full seven projected within a touchdown one way or the other.

It's close, but our win probability model thought Doug Pederson was probably too conservative on fourth down there.

Using S&P + win probabilities (which you can find in the Football Study Hall stat profiles), let's walk through which of our national title contenders are most likely to still be in good shape three weeks from now and who's got the toughest remaining slate.