"Tornado outbreaks" refers to a series of multiple tornadoes that occur over a relatively short period of time and in the same general area. It means that several tornadoes are happening together or one after another, causing potential damage and danger.
Full definition
But the study also yields a big surprise: The increased severity of
such tornado outbreaks, at least at first glance, doesn't seem to be related to climate change.
Smoke from fires in Mexico and Central America may have worsened one of the largest
tornado outbreaks in recent decades, a new study suggests.
1974: The Super Outbreak is the
largest tornado outbreak on record for a single 24 - hour period - 148 tornadoes, 13 US states
In the study, published in the Dec. 16 issue of Science, the researchers used new statistical tools, including extreme value analysis — a branch of statistics dealing with deviations — to analyze observation - based meteorological estimates associated
with tornado outbreaks together with National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration datasets.
The Iowa Tornado Outbreak of November 2005 was a large and exceptionally rare late autumn season
tornado outbreak on the afternoon and evening of November 12, 2005 all throughout the state but concentrated in central Iowa.
In a new paper, published December 1 in Science via First Release, the researchers looked at increasing trends in the severity
of tornado outbreaks where they measured severity by the number of tornadoes per outbreak.
The April 6 - 8, 2006 Tornado Outbreak was a
major tornado outbreak in the Central and parts of the Southern United States that began on April 6, 2006 and continued until April 8 across at least 13 states, with most of the activity on April 7.
The link between the changes in
severe tornado outbreaks and an increase in storm relative helicity is unsurprising but difficult to explain, Brooks says.
The kind of framing used by McKibben in the Daily Beast also came up during the astounding
tornado outbreaks earlier this year, as Michael Mann of Pennsylvania State University told ThinkProgress that «climate change is present in every single meteorological event.»
Earlier studies had projected a warming climate would increase CAPE, creating conditions favorable to a rise in severe thunderstorms — and
potentially tornado outbreaks.
«An assessment of
changing tornado outbreak size is highly relevant to the insurance industry,» notes Kelly Hererid, AVP, Senior Research Scientist, Chubb Tempest Re R&D.
Elsner and his team point out the statistical trend — that «the risk of big tornado days featuring densely
concentrated tornado outbreaks is on the rise» — but only a suggest a hypothesis for what environmental changes might be behind this trend.
In April 2011, five days before a powerful storm system tore through six southern states, NOAA's current polar - orbiting satellites provided data that, when fed into models, prompted the NOAA Storm Prediction Center to forecast «a potentially
historic tornado outbreak.»
And new research
shows tornado outbreaks are getting more dangerous: More tornadoes are hitting during each round, even though the overall annual number of American twisters hasn't changed.
The study by researchers including Joel E. Cohen, a visiting scholar at the University of Chicago, finds the increase in
tornado outbreaks does not appear to be the result of a warming climate as earlier models suggested.
The prospect of a
substantial tornado outbreak has ebbed since Monday night (see below), but the new Storm Prediction Center forecast still sees more tornadoes likely late today:
To date, 2012 has seen 11 disasters that have reached the $ 1 billion threshold in losses, to include Sandy, Isaac, and
tornado outbreaks experienced in the Great Plains, Texas and Southeast / Ohio Valley.
He notes that high sea temperatures linked to human - driven climate warming are contributing to extreme rainfall and thunderstorm activity and
possibly tornado outbreaks:
It's fine for Kevin Trenberth of the National Center for Atmospheric Research to say he feels «it is irresponsible not to mention climate change» when
discussing tornado outbreaks.
On February 2, 2007, a severe thunderstorm moving across central Florida spawned three tornadoes, which resulted in 21 deaths in the second -
worst tornado outbreak in state history.
But the deadly
tornado outbreak Sunday night illustrated, once again, why it's time for communities at risk to consider some new approaches to building — and learning — safely in harm's way.
The reality is «unprecendented»
tornado outbreaks also occurred in 1928, 1965 and 1974 and they were all associated with strong La Nina in the Pacific Ocean, just as this years are.
More extreme and violent climate is a direct consequence of human - caused climate change (whether or not we can determine if these
particular tornado outbreaks were caused or worsened by climate change).
While Arkansas is not normally included within the limits of the infamous Tornado Alley, the state has suffered many
devastating tornado outbreaks.
The October 2010
Arizona tornado outbreak was the largest single - day tornado event in Arizona history, with eight tornadoes touching down.
In May 2013, during a
peak tornado outbreak, one single tornado resulted in more than $ 3.5 million in crop loss and more than $ 1.8 million in property damage.
As the devastation of the
Illinois tornado outbreak becomes clear, REALTORS ® spring into action to help victims pick up the pieces.
In reading through some of Lauren's old Instagram captions I learned that they lost their first home in the horrific
EF4 tornado outbreak that occurred in April of 2011.
The largest U.S. impacts of tornadoes result
from tornado outbreaks, sequences of tornadoes that occur in close succession.
The researchers used two NOAA datasets, one containing tornado reports and the other observation - based estimates of meteorological quantities associated
with tornado outbreaks.
Therefore, natural disasters (such as the
recent tornado outbreak, the Asian tsunami of 2004, the Japanese earthquake, sickness, cancer, accidents) as well as evil perpetuated by others (the Sandy Hook shootings, the Boston bombings, the Holocaust, 9 - 11) are merely expressions of this god's unending, unquenchable, and unpredictable wrath upon humankind.
Her first book, «What Stands in a Storm,» is a literary nonfiction account of the
biggest tornado outbreak in recorded history.
The past two years have seen
major tornado outbreaks, severe impact on the northeast from tropical storms, and a devastating drought stateside.
This year's early
March tornado outbreak was significant for a number of reasons, according to Jake Crouch, a climatologist with the National Climatic Data Center (NCDC), and co-author of a new State of the Climate report from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration released today (April 9).