However, if one converts
the total effects of all greenhouse gases, aerosols, etc. into an equivalent increase in CO2 concentration (by reference to their effective radiative forcing RF, that from a doubling of CO2 being F2xCO2), then what you suggest would be pretty much in line with the generic definition of TCR in Section 10.8.1 of AR5 WGI:
Not exact matches
Methane
gas is second behind carbon dioxide in contributing to the
greenhouse effect and global warming; cow flatulence and excretion account for 20 percent, or 100 million tons,
of the
total annual global methane emissions.
To take
effect, the deal requires 55 countries
totaling 55 percent
of the world's
greenhouse gas emissions to join, and the two largest emitters will ensure that nearly 40 percent
of the world's emissions are covered.
... The Earth's atmospheric methane concentration has increased by about 150 % since 1750, and it accounts for 20 %
of the
total radiative forcing from all
of the long - lived and globally mixed
greenhouse gases (these
gases don't include water vapor which is by far the largest component
of the
greenhouse effect).
In addressing the question
of the
effects of greenhouse gases on Atlantic tropical storms, it might clarify (and even partially defuse) the controversy to lump internal variability together with other forced responses (particularly aerosols), rather than to focus on internal variability vs the
total forced response.
You argue that this «slowdown» is evidence against the truth that an increased
greenhouse gas effect slows down the rate
of heat flowing out
of the planetary system and thus increases the
total heat in the system.
It is important to know the relative contribution
of each absorbing
gas to the
total (33 K)
greenhouse effect.
The contribution
of greenhouse gases is greater than the observed warming, while the
total anthropogenic contribution is thought to be around 0.7 °C because
of the cooling
effect of aerosols.
Attributing the
greenhouse effect to various
gases was discussed in a resent paperSchmidt, G. A., R. A. Ruedy, R. L. Miller, and A. A. Lacis (2010), Attribution
of the present - day
total greenhouse effect, J. Geophys.
In the very long term, a warming limit
of 1.5 C requires
total greenhouse -
gas concentrations — plus the
effects of aerosols — to be below a level
of 400ppm CO2eq.
John Carter August 8, 2014 at 12:58 am chooses to state his position on the
greenhouse effect in the following 134 word sentence: «But given the [1] basics
of the
greenhouse effect, the fact that with just a very small percentage
of greenhouse gas molecules in the air this
effect keeps the earth about 55 - 60 degrees warmer than it would otherwise be, and the fact that through easily recognizable if [2] inadvertent growing patterns we have at this point probably at least [3] doubled the
total collective amount in heat absorption and re-radiation capacity
of long lived atmospheric
greenhouse gases (nearly doubling
total that
of the [4] leading one, carbon dioxide, in the modern era), to [5] levels not collectively seen on earth in several million years — levels that well predated the present ice age and extensive earth surface ice conditions — it goes [6] against basic physics and basic geologic science to not be «predisposed» to the idea that this would ultimately impact climate.»
While the
greenhouse gas footprint
of the production
of other foods, compared to sources such as livestock, is highly dependent on a number
of factors, production
of livestock currently accounts for about 30 %
of the U.S.
total emissions
of methane.316, 320,325,326 This amount
of methane can be reduced somewhat by recovery methods such as the use
of biogas digesters, but future changes in dietary practices, including those motivated by considerations other than climate change mitigation, could also have an
effect on the amount
of methane emitted to the atmosphere.327
Since 2004, researchers in NOAA's Global Monitoring Division have released the Annual
Greenhouse Gas Index: a single value that compares the
total warming
effect of each year's concentrations
of heat - trapping
gases to 1990 levels.
● Saturation
of CO2
greenhouse effect by water vapor that is actually the main
greenhouse gas, responsible for 90 %
of the
total greenhouse effect.
Through the program the Secretary will make grants to public and private institutions
of higher education to study the
effects of consumer behavior on
total energy use; potential energy savings from changes in consumption habits; the ability to reduce
greenhouse gas emissions through changes in energy consumption habits; increase public awareness
of Federal climate adaptation and mitigation programs; and the potential for alterations in consumer behavior to further American energy independence.
[«Noncondensing
greenhouse gases, which account for 25 %
of the
total terrestrial
greenhouse effect...»]
Non-condensing
greenhouse gases, which account for 25 %
of the
total terrestrial
greenhouse effect, thus serve to provide the stable temperature structure that sustains the current levels
of atmospheric water vapor and clouds via feedback processes that account for the remaining 75 %
of the
greenhouse effect.
Noncondensing
greenhouse gases, which account for 25 %
of the
total terrestrial
greenhouse effect, thus serve to provide the stable temperaturestructure that sustains the current levels
of atmospheric water vapor and clouds via feedback processes that account for the remaining 75 %
of the
greenhouse effect.
Noncondensing
greenhouse gases, which account for 25 %
of the
total terrestrial
greenhouse effect, thus serve to provide the stable temperature structure that sustains the current levels
of atmospheric water vapor and clouds via feedback processes that account for the remaining 75 %
of the
greenhouse effect.
The resulting optical depth curve is a measure
of the
total greenhouse gases by
effect over the last 61 years.
The
total amount
of greenhouse gases by
effect (water vapour plus CO2) has hardly changed, so the warming was not caused by
greenhouse gases.
Greenhouse gasses have a lesser effect, of which Co2 is a minor greenhouse gas, and man released Co2 is a portion of t
Greenhouse gasses have a lesser
effect,
of which Co2 is a minor
greenhouse gas, and man released Co2 is a portion of t
greenhouse gas, and man released Co2 is a portion
of that
total.
After all CO2 is itself only a tiny portion
of total greenhouse gases so that it can not have any significant long term
effect when the water vapour primarily affecting atmospheric heat retention is in turn itself but a tiny proportion
of global heat retaining capacity when one adds in the vastly greater oceanic heat retaining
effect.
Cities are responsible for about 75 percent
of the world's
total energy - related
greenhouse gas emissions, while the vast majority
of them are located on or near the coast, making cities especially vulnerable to the dangerous
effects of climate change.
When more than one
greenhouse gas simultaneously absorb in the infrared their
total combined absorption
effect is not the arithmetic sum
of their individual absorption
effects.
Given that > 93 %
of warming is going into the oceans, ~ 2.3 % into the atmosphere, even a small rate change in ocean warming relative to the
total greenhouse gas imbalance will have a huge
effect on air temperatures.
Note that this is only part
of the story since, as far as we are aware, no one has yet investigated a counterintuitive parallel
effect — condensation and precipitation will likely reduce the
total lower atmospheric concentration
of that ubiquitous
greenhouse gas, water vapor, so increasing clear sky radiative cooling.
What is evident is that carbon dioxide still has the edge in
effecting global warming - according to Braathen, it contributed 91 %
of the
total greenhouse gas heating
effect in the past 5 years.
Later in his paper (pages 27 to 28) he raises
total misconception
of the role
of CO2 and other so - called «
greenhouse gases» in the Atmospheric «
greenhouse effect».
This is because some
of the
gases absorb and emit radiation at the same frequencies as others, so that the
total greenhouse effect is not simply the sum
of the influence
of each
gas.
While methane and nitrous oxide make up much smaller portions
of total greenhouse gas emissions, these
gases are still important factors in the climate crisis, in part because they each have stronger global warming
effects than carbon dioxide and also because they constitute an increasing portion
of total emissions.
To calculate
total warming and cooling potentials, the
total effect of aerosols and
greenhouse gases (GHG's) needs to be calculated.
Depending a bit how you weight the overlapping spectral absorptions
of the different
greenhouse gases the contribution
of CO2 to the
total greenhouse effect is about 20 % (with water vapour giving 50 % and 25 % for clouds, which we are sure that Allègre realises are made
of condensate (liquid water and ice) and not vapour...).
Yet, there is little published on the weather feedback
effects of irrigated agriculture spewing the # 1 atmospheric
greenhouse gas pollution via evapotransporation on the order
of 100 %
of the
total concentration
of in the atmosphere (dihydrogen monoxide).