Not exact matches
Three approaches were used to evaluate the outstanding «carbon budget» (the
total amount of CO2 emissions compatible with a given
global average warming) for 1.5 °C: re-assessing the evidence provided by complex Earth System Models, new experiments with an intermediate - complexity model, and evaluating the implications of current ranges of uncertainty in climate system properties using a simple model.
In accordance with California's
Global Warming Solutions Act's (AB32) guidance, the ROW recommends that California allow states or countries that reduce their
total emissions from deforestation below an historical
average to generate compliance credit in California.
Consider the quasi-official
global goal (codified, for example, in the Copenhagen Accord) to hold
total planetary
warming to 2 °C (Earth surface
average) above pre-industrial levels.
Anthropogenic GHG
warming is about the Earth's energy balance, and thus, looking at an
average global near - surface temperature, or the
total ocean heat content can tell us something useful about that energy balance.
If we keep ignoring the IPCC's recommendations then, on
average, the
total global warming (from preindustrial levels) is headed toward 4 °C (7 °F).
If the
total global average temperature (assuming there is such a thing) were falling, CO2 wouldn't be «caus [ing]
warming.»
Even if Watts et al are 100 % correct, that only means a downward adjustment in the
global average of under 15 % of the
total historical
warming.
Unfortunately using
global average surface air temperatures as a measure of
total warming ignores the fact that most of the heat (more than 93 %) goes into our oceans, which continue to
warm without any sign of a pause, as you can see below.
This is the
total amount of CO2 emissions that we can still emit whilst limiting
global average warming to 1.5 C.
If they are the cause of
global warming,
average nighttime temperatures should increase more than daytime ones — reducing the
total daily temperature swing.