I would be suprised if the increased flow of cold water from the melting polar icecaps could decrease
the total heat content of the oceans, given the amount of additional heat that must be in the oceans that is causing the coral bleaching episodes throughout the tropics.
So
the total heat content of the oceans has double in the past 16 years?
To me the best and perhaps only way to make a strong case for AGW is to measure two simple things: radiation budget at the top of the atmosphere and
total heat content of the ocean.
Accurate monitoring of deep ocean floor water temperatures is, in my opinion, the only way to really get a read on
total heat content of the oceans.
Not exact matches
total ocean heat content to 2009 appears to be about 20 × 10 to the 22nd power J. which I take it means Levitus et.al could be ignoring 8 % or so
of the
heat accumulating in the
ocean.
To calculate the Earth's
total heat content, the authors used data
of ocean heat content from the upper 700 metres.
One very important consideration to think about is that while surface temperature has a very high degree
of variability, you do expect
total ocean heat content to vary a great deal less in response to a constant forcing.
From 1992 to 2003, the decadal
ocean heat content changes (blue), along with the contributions from melting glaciers, ice sheets, and sea ice and small contributions from land and atmosphere warming, suggest a
total warming (red) for the planet
of 0.6 ± 0.2 W / m2 (95 % error bars).
A
total of 2.3 million salinity profiles were used in this analysis, about one - third
of the amount
of data used in the
ocean heat content estimates in Section 5.2.2.
And so far, you still have not replied to my points in 156 and 231 that explain where the
heat increase in the
total system
of ocean and atmosphere comes from and that demonstrates the physically impossibility
of your main causal claim that all the
ocean heat content increase since 2000 is merely due to a transfer
of heat from the atmosphere, where you claim that all this
heat was in the atmosphere in 1979.
The objective
of our study was to quantify the consistency
of near - global and regional integrals
of ocean heat content and steric sea level (from in situ temperature and salinity data),
total sea level (from satellite altimeter data) and
ocean mass (from satellite gravimetry data) from an Argo perspective.
[Response: Theoretically you could have a change in
ocean circulation that could cause a drop in global mean temperature even while the
total heat content of the climate system increased.
However because we don't measure
ocean heat content below 2000m (about half
of the
total volume), the OHC you cite applies to the top half volume only, so the average dT in this part
of volume is just under 0.1 K (0.08) consistent with the estimates.
Also global
heat content of the
ocean (which constitutes 85 %
of the
total warming) has continued to rise strongly in this period, and ongoing warming
of the climate system as a whole is supported by a very wide range
of observations, as reported in the peer - reviewed scientific literature.
DK12 used
ocean heat content (OHC) data for the upper 700 meters
of oceans to draw three main conclusions: 1) that the rate
of OHC increase has slowed in recent years (the very short timeframe
of 2002 to 2008), 2) that this is evidence for periods
of «climate shifts», and 3) that the recent OHC data indicate that the net climate feedback is negative, which would mean that climate sensitivity (the
total amount
of global warming in response to a doubling
of atmospheric CO2 levels, including feedbacks) is low.
For the estimation
of the
total ocean heat content (OHC) a lesser precision would probably be almost as good, because errors
of individual measurements always cancel to a large extent as long as the floats do not have common systematic errors.
I would suggest that a new proxy for
heat being stored (or lost) from the Earth climate system be developed based on
Total System Enthalpy, using a combination of moist enthalpy in the troposphere (after Pielke Sr.), ocean heat content, and total ice mass on the pl
Total System Enthalpy, using a combination
of moist enthalpy in the troposphere (after Pielke Sr.),
ocean heat content, and
total ice mass on the pl
total ice mass on the planet.
Since the IPCC's graph above up to 2003 shows that most
of the energy from global warming is in the
oceans, to a first approximation,
Ocean Heat Content change since then is going to be close enough to the
Total Heat Content change.
I've presented videos and gif animations to show the impacts
of ENSO on ISCCP
Total Cloud Amount data (with cautions about that dataset), CAMS - OPI precipitation data, NOAA's Trade Wind Index (5S - 5N, 135W - 180) anomaly data, RSS MSU TLT anomaly data, CLS (AVISO) Sea Level anomaly data, NCEP / DOE Reanalysis - 2 Surface Downward Shortwave Radiation Flux (dswrfsfc) anomaly data, Reynolds OI.v2 SST anomaly data and the NODC's
ocean heat content data.
From 1992 to 2003, the decadal
ocean heat content changes (blue), along with the contributions from melting glaciers, ice sheets, and sea ice and small contributions from land and atmosphere warming, suggest a
total warming (red) for the planet
of 0.6 ± 0.2 W / m2 (95 % error bars).
I inferred from your statement that since the
heat capacity
of the atmosphere is small compared to «say, the
oceans» that (a) it [the atmosphere] won't store much energy, and (b) as such won't change the
total «
heat content»
of the Earth, and (c) as such won't change the Earth's temperature.
New estimates
of ocean heat content show a growing large discrepancy between
ocean heat content integrated for the upper 300 vs 700 vs
total depth.
The analysis by Trenberth and Fasullo (2010)
of the
total energy budget, which reveals missing energy in recent years because the
ocean heat content has not kept up with the excess
of incoming radiation at the top
of atmosphere, reveals shortcomings in the
total observing system.
Natural variability in air temperature (the lack
of significant warming in the last decade) can be regarded as noise in the monotonic increase due to GHGs, but a one year
total (
ocean)
heat content change can't.
Of course 70 % of the globe is covered in water, we should look for global changes by studying changes in total ocean heat content (TOHC
Of course 70 %
of the globe is covered in water, we should look for global changes by studying changes in total ocean heat content (TOHC
of the globe is covered in water, we should look for global changes by studying changes in
total ocean heat content (TOHC).
Thus in terms
of impacts the problem is surface warming — which is described much better by actually measuring surface temperatures rather than
total ocean heat content.
(By the way, neither has sea - level rise due to thermal expansion, because the thermal expansion coefficient is several times larger for warm surface waters than for the cold deep waters — again it is warming in the surface layers that counts, while the
total ocean heat content tells us little about the amount
of sea - level rise.)
A
total of 2.3 million salinity profiles were used in this analysis, about one - third
of the amount
of data used in the
ocean heat content estimates in Section 5.2.2.