Near - real - time updates (which are preliminary) indicate that at this year's minimum, only 106,000 square kilometers (41,000 square miles) of 4 + year old ice remained, or 3.1 percent of
the total ice extent.
The study looked at arctic - wide changes in ice age as well as regional changes and noted that the fraction of
total ice extent made up of multiyear ice in March decreased from 75 % in the mid 1980s to 45 % in 2011.
The fresh - water theory fits this idea neatly; it provides a physical mechanism whereby deglaciation can be triggered only when
total ice extent is sufficiently large.
With these earlier data records, the ice concentrations would not be as reliable as
the total ice extent, which is why most folks only show the extent.
«Arctic sea ice extent declined quite slowly in April; as a result,
total ice extent is now close to the mean extent for the reference period (1979 to 2000).»
As the September ice extent and ice thickness decrease, they will be more subject to variable and unpredictable wind patterns earlier in the season, making
the total ice extent more difficult to predict.
The main preconditioning considered in our outlook is the area of robust multiyear ice in spring (April - May), the thickness of the FY ice as determined by the number of freezing degree days during winter / spring and the spring / summer
total ice extent at the time of issue of the outlook.
Although July data indicated that the sea ice might be on track for a slight recovery from 2007 (though still well below «normal» climatological conditions), new sea ice data and weather forecasts show that
total ice extent in early August declined at about twice the rate of any other time this summer.
Total ice extent over the Arctic Ocean also remains low and consists of a record - high amount of first - year ice.
Total ice extent loss in August was 2.34 million square kilometers (904,000 square miles).
Interesting you cut - off
total ice extents at 2012, especially since the total extent of Arctic sea ice has actually increased since then, and in fact the Antarctic ice extents are at a RECORD MAXIMUM — so things aren't always what they appear to be in a very complex system known as global climate.
Not exact matches
Complementary analyses of the surface mass balance of Greenland (Tedesco et al, 2011) also show that 2010 was a record year for melt area
extent... Extrapolating these melt rates forward to 2050, «the cumulative loss could raise sea level by 15 cm by 2050 ″ for a
total of 32 cm (adding in 8 cm from glacial
ice caps and 9 cm from thermal expansion)- a number very close to the best estimate of Vermeer & Rahmstorf (2009), derived by linking the observed rate of sea level rise to the observed warming.
This week, Arctic sea
ice extent - that is, the
total ocean area in which the
ice concentration is at least 15 percent - was at 1.96 million square miles.
According to the latest Piomas data, a combination of the smallest sea
ice extent and the second - thinnest
ice cover on record puts
total volume of sea
ice in November 2016 at a record low for this time of year.
Overall, sea
ice extent declined at a slightly slower rate than normal (relative to the 1981 - 2010 average rate) during June (Figure 6), losing a total of 1.6 million km2 as noted in NSIDC's Arctic Sea Ice News and Analysis repo
ice extent declined at a slightly slower rate than normal (relative to the 1981 - 2010 average rate) during June (Figure 6), losing a
total of 1.6 million km2 as noted in NSIDC's Arctic Sea
Ice News and Analysis repo
Ice News and Analysis report.
Zhang, 5.1 (+ / - 0.6), Modeling The seasonal prediction focuses not only on the
total Arctic sea
ice extent, but also on sea
ice thickness field and
ice edge location.
I think Dr. Curry made it clear above that all she expects is a partial (all other things equal) negative correlation between artic sea
ice extent and NH snowfall
totals.
However, since August 26,
total sea
ice extent is already lower than at the same time in 2007 and is currently tracking as the second lowest daily
extent on record.
The paper actually talks about
total snowfall, not
extent and it does point out that it is autumn sea
ice extent that is the important factor, whereas Willis has looked at
total annual sea
ice area and snow
extent as opposed to
total fall.
If you measure the latitude of the
ice margin at just one point, you can make a very reasonable estimate of the
total extent.
This work concerns only sea
ice extent without considerations of the age, thickness, and
total volume of sea
ice.
The region's sea
ice extent — defined by NSIDC as the
total area covered by at least 15 percent of
ice — varies from year to year because of changeable weather conditions.
I have to add that another graph has been making the rounds, showing the
total global sea
ice extent.
Annual Antarctic sea
ice extent (
total area of at least 15 %
ice concentration) for selected years since 1979.
Total sea
ice extent for the previous three months was near or below the level of 2007, the year with the lowest minimum summer
ice extent during the satellite record.
Will an excess of 2.0 Mkm ^ 2 in September be «trivial» compared to a
total of 20.0 Mkm ^ 2 sea
ice extents?
NSIDC reported that the 2010 seasonal sea
ice maximum was quite late (31 March compared to the climatological date of 26 February) and the
total maximum
ice extent approached the climatological mean.
Perhaps with all that is known now, someone will propose a well - defined multivariate test entailing all relevant global data (including Antarctic
ice extent and
total Antarctic
ice mass, mean and extremal rainfall everywhere, mean and extremal cyclonic storms everywhere.)
Extent here is defined as the
total area of
ice with concentration (over an area of at least 100 square kilometers) greater than 15 %.
The
total extent of the Arctic sea
ice reached 5.59 million square miles, which is about 450,000 square miles less than the average and 20,000 square miles more than 2017.
All such areas are then
totalled together, and that is the
ice extent.
Zhang and Lindsay, 5.1 (± 0.4), Modeling Our seasonal prediction focuses not only on the
total Arctic sea
ice extent and
ice concentration field, but also on
ice thickness field and
ice edge location.
In combination with the low Arctic sea
ice extent for November, this produced a remarkably low global sea
ice total.
While
total extent and the general distribution of the
ice cover is similar to last year, the atmospheric patterns are quite different.
With 19
total responses, 14 provided a value for the arctic sea
ice minimum
extent for September 2008; 6 provided regional outlooks.
All individual Outlook estimates (20 groups
total contributed) in the June and July reports were higher than the observed September arctic sea
ice extent.
See lower figure 5.7
total heat flux is essentially zero higher than 80 north and very little down to 70 north outside winter sea
ice extent.
Earlier studies have predominately focused on the loss of sea
ice concentration (fraction of
ice within an area) and therefore the
total sea
ice extent (Fig. 1).
Even if the
total albedo remained the same (highly unlikely) they are allowing heat to be absorbed north of the southern
ice extent.
Extent is defined as the
total area in which the
ice concentration is at least 15 percent.
The researchers used satellite photos to analyze the
extent of the
ice in about a quarter of the
total range — about 2,167 square miles (5,615 square kilometers).
Kaleschke, 4.6 (± 0.9), Statistical I provide a simple statistical estimate for the September sea
ice extent based on the
total sea
ice extent measured on July 11: 4.6 ± 0.9.
And though 500,000 square kilometers is not an insignificant figure, it bears repeating that the
total Arctic sea
ice extent for the month of February was 14.8 million square kilometers.
Zhang and Lindsay, 4.60 (4.00 - 5.20), Modeling Our seasonal prediction focuses not only on the
total Arctic sea
ice extent, but also on sea
ice thickness field and
ice edge location.
Arctic sea
ice melted to a lesser
extent than in 2012, although the
total sea
ice extent was still lower than in any year before 2007.
The PIOMAS sea
ice volume estimates, based on a model constrained by satellite
extent observations, indicate a
total volume through May in line with recent years, though not at a record low (Figure 7).
The time series of
total Arctic
ice extent shows a statistically significant positive trend and correlates negatively with recent high - latitude temperature fluctuations.
Across the Arctic, there has been only a marginal decline in
total sea
ice extent (Fig. 6) between March and June, the critical spring feeding period when polar bears require the
ice as a hunting platform for gorging on young, fat seals.