A third example would be the research on how incoming solar irradiance influences China's thermometer temperature records, showing that over periods of many decades the variations
in total solar irradiance in the upper atmosphere are matched by variations at the surface.
The Sun's largest influence on the Earth's surface temperature is through incoming solar radiation, also known
as total solar irradiance (TSI).
Magnetic field indices derived from synoptic magnetograms of the Mt. Wilson Observatory, i.e. Magnetic Plage Strength Index (MPSI) and Mt. Wilson Sunspot Index (MWSI), are used to study the effects of surface magnetism
on total solar irradiance variability during solar cycles 21, 22 and 23.
«All 18 periods of significant climate changes found during the last 7,500 years were entirely caused by corresponding quasi-bicentennial variations of
[total solar irradiance] together with the subsequent feedback effects, which always control and totally determine cyclic mechanism of climatic changes from global warming to Little Ice Age.»
-LSB-...] This is what the IPCC (the world's most authoritative body on climate change) had to say on solar forcing in its most recent report «Continuous monitoring of
total solar irradiance now covers the last 28 years.
The solar effect on climate has been discounted by the climate modellers because the variation in
total solar irradiance between the peak and the trough of a single eleven year (approximately) solar cycle seems far too small to make any difference to global temperature.
During the solar minimum of 2008, the value of
total solar irradiance at 1 AU (TSI) was more than 0.2 Wm - 2 lower than during the last minimum in 1996, indicating for the first time a directly observed long - term change.
If total solar irradiance does not seem to account for it that is no reason to ignore the phenomenon yet the modellers and the IPCC do so.
During a dry winter, the reduction of aerosol concentrations in weekend days may overwhelmingly impact on the DTR through a direct effect, i.e. by increasing
total solar irradiance near the surface and raising the daytime temperature and maximum temperature, and lowering relative humidity.
The impact of the solar cycle on precipitation in the model experiments arises from two different mechanisms, the first involving UV changes, the
second total solar irradiance.