Not exact matches
There are more than a dozen widely used
global climate models today, and despite the fact that they are constantly being upgraded, they have already proved successful
in predicting seasonal rainfall averages and
tracking temperature changes.
Hi Andrew, Paper you may have, but couldn't find on «The phase relation between atmospheric carbon dioxide and
global temperature» CO2 lagging temp
change, which really turns the entire AGW argument on its head: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0921818112001658 Highlights: ►
Changes in global atmospheric CO2 are lagging 11 — 12 months behind changes in global sea surface temperature ► Changes in atmospheric CO2 are not tracking changes in human emi
Changes in global atmospheric CO2 are lagging 11 — 12 months behind
changes in global sea surface temperature ► Changes in atmospheric CO2 are not tracking changes in human emi
changes in global sea surface
temperature ►
Changes in atmospheric CO2 are not tracking changes in human emi
Changes in atmospheric CO2 are not
tracking changes in human emi
changes in human emissions.
Maybe it's time to revisit a question I explored
in 2008: whether it's better to
track «
global heating» (heat gain) than «
global warming» (
temperature change).
If one postulates that the
global average surface
temperature tracks the CO2 concentration
in the atmosphere, possibly with some delay, then when the CO2 concentration continues to rise monotonically but the
global average surface
temperature shows fluctuations as a function of time with
changes in slope (periods wherein it decreases), then you must throw the postulate away.
So while CET can be expected to
track global temperature (Lamb's thesis), this is somewhat masked by this additional regional climate
change, as reflected
in the transition from regularity to chaos
in its Hale curve around mid-18th century (one reason for preferring HadCRUT3 over CET
in identifying multidecadal components of climate
change for recent centuries).
«On forced
temperature changes, internal variability, and the AMO» «
Tracking the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation through the last 8,000 years» «The Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation as a dominant factor of oceanic influence on climate» «The role of Atlantic Multi-decadal Oscillation
in the
global mean
temperature variability» «The North Atlantic Oscillation as a driver of rapid climate
change in the Northern Hemisphere» «The Atlanto - Pacific multidecade oscillation and its imprint on the
global temperature record» «Imprints of climate forcings
in global gridded
temperature data» «North Atlantic Multidecadal SST Oscillation: External forcing versus internal variability» «Forced and internal twentieth - century SST trends
in the North Atlantic» «Interactive comment on «Imprints of climate forcings
in global gridded
temperature data» by J. Mikšovský et al.» «Atlantic and Pacific multidecadal oscillations and Northern Hemisphere
temperatures»
This is essentially CO2 perturbation data and the results are very interesting; the following graph summarizes the findings: Rapid differential
changes in CO2 levels
track with
global temperatures, with a variance reduction of 30 % if d [CO2] derivatives are included
in the model.
Hi Andrew, Paper you may have, but couldn't find on «The phase relation between atmospheric carbon dioxide and
global temperature» CO2 lagging temp
change, which really turns the entire AGW argument on its head: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0921818112001658 Highlights: ►
Changes in global atmospheric CO2 are lagging 11 — 12 months behind changes in global sea surface temperature ► Changes in atmospheric CO2 are not tracking changes in human emi
Changes in global atmospheric CO2 are lagging 11 — 12 months behind
changes in global sea surface temperature ► Changes in atmospheric CO2 are not tracking changes in human emi
changes in global sea surface
temperature ►
Changes in atmospheric CO2 are not tracking changes in human emi
Changes in atmospheric CO2 are not
tracking changes in human emi
changes in human emissions.
Since 1850, variations
in global surface
temperature appear to
track changes in the level of solar activity at least as well as they
track increasing greenhouse gas concentrations.
(
In effect, just as you will see people plot the raw sea surface temperature data and incorrectly attribute all the change in the region to «AMO», you've tracked the raw surface temperature change, and others are incorrectly attributing the entire effect to «global warming»
In effect, just as you will see people plot the raw sea surface
temperature data and incorrectly attribute all the
change in the region to «AMO», you've tracked the raw surface temperature change, and others are incorrectly attributing the entire effect to «global warming»
in the region to «AMO», you've
tracked the raw surface
temperature change, and others are incorrectly attributing the entire effect to «
global warming».)