I don't know about you, but I'm in need of a little diversion, given the flow of news and analysis in recent days on everything from gas drilling to family planning, debates over the forces behind devastating fire losses in the West to new
tree ring studies showing past very warm summers in the far north (Finland and Sweden).
Based on observations from the Guo Shou Jing telescope, and the
terrestrial tree ring study, the team estimates that our Sun would experience one superflare incident per millennium.
But let's go back to Chu's comment, what group and
what tree ring study was he talking about back in February?
The Chinese have figured out that a warmer climate benefits them, and they have their
own tree ring study, you know.
As seen in their graph, Greenland temperatures show a more cyclical nature with more warmth in the 30s and 40s and in agreement with
most tree ring studies.
In an amazing comment
about tree ring studies, Roseanne D'Arrigo said if you're going to make cherry pie you have to pick cherries.
Scientists studying forest plots, who have seen hints that growth is increasing, are critical of
the tree ring study.
Davies says that the 12 tree species in
the tree ring study, drawn from the seasonally dry peripheries of the rainforests in South America, Central Africa, and Southeast Asia, are not representative of the rainforest itself (though the species were necessary to do the study, because many rainforest species don't have annual growth rings).
The tree ring study puts these changes in troubling perspective.
- Many of the cores used as data in
the tree ring studies come from trees that have had their bark stripped off.
The Yamal data is definitely better than most data sets, at least relative to RCS detrending concerns (as is that of Esper et al., 2012), and also better than the Polar Urals, but other critical concerns remain (as they do for virtually
all tree ring studies attempting to estimate relative climatic state variables over centuries).
He could have concluded that tree rings are not sufficiently good temperature proxies and therefore thrown out
the tree ring study on that basis, and never had the MBH98 paper published.
The court asked to see the data from Dr. Mann's
tree ring study, and Dr. Mann failed to comply with the court request.
Anyway, to change course slightly, it seems to me that the tree - line studies would be much better at identifying climate variations than
tree ring studies.
Or that not one
tree ring study (from locations where temperatures are not influenced by urbanization effects) supports Muller's interpretation of rapidly rising temperatures.
4 In contrast to Muller's reconstructions, a majority of
the tree ring studies show a slight cooling since the 40s, despite the rise in during the 80s and 90s.
Tree ring studies from oak trees show that «the temperature 100 year before Christ indeed rose.
If you think
tree ring studies are relevant, show the tree ring studies, even those that don't match your narrative.
The tree ring study was done in the western Sierra Nevada, in the United States.
Hansen's research also omits more recent studies of ice core samples, lake bottom samples, and
tree ring studies all showing a natural cyclical occurrence the Earth has seen many times before.