[ANDY REVKIN notes: One reason for the statistical gridlock is the murkiness of the data on the things that matter most (hurricane
trends over the past century, for instance).
Contrary to the book's premise, multiple studies and surveys have shown that 97 percent or more of actively publishing climate scientists agree that climate warming
trends over the past century are due to human activities (NASA for example).
«To conclude, modeled atmospheric circulation and SST
trends over the past century are significantly different from the observed ones.
While we might expect that a warming ocean should mean stronger storms right across the globe, assessing a global
trend over the past century is difficult.
According to NASA, «Multiple studies published in peer - reviewed scientific journals show that 97 percent or more of actively publishing climate scientists agree: Climate - warming
trends over the past century are extremely likely due to human activities.»
In the most realistic case of half - field capacity, the July daily minimum temperature in the California Central Valley increased by 3.5 °C, in agreement with station observation
trends over the past century in the same area.
«Multiple studies published in peer - reviewed scientific journals1 show that 97 % or more of actively publishing climate scientists agree: Climate - warming
trends over the past century are very likely due to human activities.
Perhaps we should be less concerned with identifying
trends over past centuries, where we are bound to have all kinds of data problems.
I can look at the temperature
trend over the past century and state this trend is increasing over the past 100 years.
«Multiple studies published in peer - reviewed scientific journals show that 97 percent or more of actively publishing climate scientists agree: Climate - warming
trends over the past century are extremely likely due to human activities.»
Not exact matches
But this
trend has significantly reversed
over the
past two
centuries.
Demographic
trends have shifted dramatically in the U.S.
over the
past half
century toward an older population, and hence potential growth has to be structurally lower today, even as we hire great numbers of people (to say nothing of deploying ever greater numbers of robots).
But, given the development of liberalism
over the
past two
centuries, this would seem to require a deliberate act of the will contrary to long «unfolding and deep «seated historical
trends.
Gateway attributes it success
over the
past quarter -
century to not only growing by expansion, but by being dynamic and keeping pace with market
trends.
The research, commissioned by Linda McCartney Foods to celebrate the famous vegetarian food brand's 25th birthday, looked back at food
trends over the
past quarter of a
century and forward to the next quarter.
Because of the strong recent warming, the updated
trend over 1906 to 2005 is now 0.74 ± 0.18 degree C. Note that the 1956 to 2005
trend alone is 0.65 ± 0.15 degree C, emphasizing that the majority of 20th -
century warming occurred in the
past 50 years.
The researchers documented that the North Pacific High has become more variable
over the
past century, and that these
trends have been imprinted on physical and biological indicators from the continental slope to the Sierra Nevada and beyond.
The epicenter of agricultural production has moved north and west
over the
past half -
century, and that
trend will likely continue at an accelerated pace due to global warming, a new study finds.
The model also fails to fully account for the dramatic technological, economic, and demographic
trends that have swept the world
over the
past century, says economist Holger Strulik, a visiting professor at Brown University.
In the paper Retreating Glacier Fronts on the Antarctic Peninsula
over the
Past Half -
Century published this week in Science, we presented new data describing
trends in 244 marine glacier fronts on the Antarctic Peninsula
over the last 50 years.
Past analyses have found ENSO was responsible for 15 to 30 % of interseasonal variability but little of the global warming trend over the past half century (Jones 1989, Wigley 2000, Santer 2001, Trenberth 2002, Thompson 20
Past analyses have found ENSO was responsible for 15 to 30 % of interseasonal variability but little of the global warming
trend over the
past half century (Jones 1989, Wigley 2000, Santer 2001, Trenberth 2002, Thompson 20
past half
century (Jones 1989, Wigley 2000, Santer 2001, Trenberth 2002, Thompson 2008).
Burke blames the national
trend of lower scores on «increasing federal intervention
over the
past half -
century... the resulting burden of complying with federal programs, rules, and regulations, have created a parasitic relationship with federal education programs and states, and is straining the time and resources of local schools.
It is long
past time to move to the next level of reform and accountability — the extrinsic type — and this is the
trend we must and will see
over the next several decades in what I believe will be the civil rights revolution of the 21st
century, which I think will play out simultaneously on the two tracks I have just mentioned: the delivery system for education and the means by which we prepare and compensate educators, primarily teachers.
In clean, bright, and provocative language, a cultural critic and historian discusses
trends in art, literature, music, and history
over the
past five
centuries.
Huang, Shaopeng, Pollack, Henry N., and Shen, Po - Yu (2000) «Temperature
trends over the
past five
centuries reconstructed from borehole temperatures,» Nature, 403 (17 February 2000), 403, 756 - 758.
Even the IPCC does not concur, stating that the «Current datasets indicate no significant observed
trends in global tropical cyclone frequency
over the
past century and it remains uncertain whether any reported long - term increases in tropical cyclone frequency are robust.»
The
trend is 3.3 mm / year, about double the 20th
century trend and clearly an acceleration
over the
past 50 years.
These changes bode well for the future of American health and are indicative of a wider
trend toward acknowledging home - cooked food's protective and healing power — something that was once a given, when it was all people had to work with, but then lost its status with the rise of cheap, effective pharmaceuticals (not to mention accessibility to processed food)
over the
past half -
century.
-- I calculated potential intensity
trends over the period 1980 - 2012 & The disparity between the reanalysis potential intensity
trends over the
past 30 years and the projected
trends over this
century suggests either that most of the observed increase in potential intensity (and actual intensity of high category storms) is due to natural variability,....»
«
Century of Data Shows Intensification of Water Cycle but No Increase in Storms or Floods Released: 3/15/2006 12:13:21 PM» (excerpt) A review of the findings from more than 100 peer - reviewed studies shows that although many aspects of the global water cycle have intensified, including precipitation and evaporation, this trend has not consistently resulted in an increase in the frequency or intensity of tropical storms or floods over the past c
Century of Data Shows Intensification of Water Cycle but No Increase in Storms or Floods Released: 3/15/2006 12:13:21 PM» (excerpt) A review of the findings from more than 100 peer - reviewed studies shows that although many aspects of the global water cycle have intensified, including precipitation and evaporation, this
trend has not consistently resulted in an increase in the frequency or intensity of tropical storms or floods
over the
past centurycentury.
When using longer datasets in the northern hemisphere such as US landfalls
over the
past century, no
trend emerges in the second half of last
century.
In short, an objective look at the data is equivocal at best as to the true
trend in the tropical Pacific ocean - atmosphere system
over the
past century.
What is fairly hypocritical is to publicly claim that the data
over the
past few
centuries is good enough to support this AMO explanation for hurricane activity, while at the same time claiming that the data is too poor to produce a statistically relevant
trend over the
past few decades.
States that while no significant
trends have been identified in the Atlantic since the late 19th
century, significant observed
trends in TC numbers and intensities have occurred in this basin
over the
past few decades, and
trends in other basins are increasingly being identified
Generally, the remaining uncorrected effect from urban heat islands is now believed to be less than 0.1 C, and in some parts of the world it may be more than fully compensated for by other changes in measurement methods.4 Nevertheless, this remains an important source of uncertainty.The warming
trend observed
over the
past century is too large to be easily dismissed as a consequence of measurement errors.
The PAGES 2k team found that a global surface cooling
trend over the
past 2,000 years has been erased by the global warming
over the
past century.
«Current datasets indicate no significant observed
trends in global tropical cyclone frequency
over the
past century» 2.
Volcanic activity proceeds
over the decades at a level of only about 1 percent of industrial CO2 emissions, and even major eruptions observed during the
past century have changed atmospheric CO2
trends only minimally and transiently.
The forests of the eastern United States (including the Midwest) have been accumulating large quantities of carbon
over the
past century, 26 but evidence shows this
trend is slowing in recent decades.
Your comment on error bars
over short time periods makes sense, but the UAH record would tell us that 21st
century total warming would be around 1C, if
past trends continue (and that was the point I wanted to make).
This slideshow shows how well models predict
past temperature
trends, and the extent to which human activity was the primary cause of warming
over the last
century.
Working with a total of 2,196 globally - distributed databases containing observations of NPP, as well as the five environmental variables thought to most impact NPP
trends (precipitation, air temperature, leaf area index, fraction of photosynthetically active radiation, and atmospheric CO2 concentration), Li et al. analyzed the spatiotemporal patterns of global NPP
over the
past half
century (1961 — 2010).
Jones et al., 2016 http://www.nature.com/nclimate/journal/v6/n10/full/nclimate3103.html «Most observed
trends [
over the 36 - year satellite data] are not unusual when compared with Antarctic palaeoclimate records of the
past two
centuries.
The
trend in numbers of major hurricanes making landfall in the United States has been slightly downward
over the
past century.
The pattern of rainfall
over the
past century does not point to a
trend of reduction in rainfall.
As he pointed out, a dominant unforced contribution to surface warming relative to forced
trends would be expected to be accompanied by a
trend of declining OHC, which is inconsistent with the observed
trends averaged
over the
past half
century as evidenced by mixed layer temperature measurements and sea level rise.
The first decade of this
century was the warmest on record for more than a
century, part of a
trend in increasing warmth
over the
past 50 years, according to the U.S. National Oceanographic and Atmospheric Administration.
Orbital forcing changes associated with 5 deg C or greater variation but operating
over 22,000 to 100,000 years, or diurnal variations of 5 to 10 C between mid-afternoon and pre-dawn temperatures are largely irrelevant to
century long
trends, such as the 0.8 C temperature rise during the
past 100 years.
Over the
past few hundred years, there has been a steady increase in the numbers of sunspots, a
trend that has accelerated in the
past century, just at the time when the Earth has been getting warmer.
Temperature
trends over the
past five
centuries reconstructed from borehole temperatures.